Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#615 Villanova -2 vs.
#616 Providence 134.5
Saturday, January 25, 2020 at 12:00pm EST
Written by David Hess

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#615 Villanova University
#616 Providence College
15-3
11-9
8-10
7-11-1
8-9-1
11-8
74
71
66
66

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College Basketball action within the Big East Conference on Saturday afternoon and we will see the Villanova Wildcats grapple with the Providence Friars at the Dunkin Donuts Center in Providence, Rhode Island. Villanova won all three meetings between these teams last year. Villanova enters this game at 15-3 on the year, including 5-1 in the Big East while the Friars have gone 4-3 in league play, including 11-9 overall.

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Cats Reel Off Five Wins In A Row

The Villanova Wildcats are having another solid year as they enter this game at 15-3 overall and ranked #11 in the latest AP Poll. KenPom has them ranked a bit less at 18th in the land while having the Cats facing the 29th ranked schedule in the nation. This team has been battle-tested and they have weathered most of the storms that they have faced. Villanova comes into this game having won their last five games in a row and they have been led by their defense over that stretch. The Cats have allowed just 61.6 ppg (In Regulation) during their win streak and they will be facing an averaged offensive team in this one.

In their latest contest, the Wildcats beat Butler at home by a score of 76-61 and their offense did not play all that well in the contest. Villanova shot just 38% from the field overall, including 36% (9/25) from long range but they did hit 21 of their 23 free throw attempts. Nova outscored the Bulldogs 21-4 at the stripe and that was pretty much the difference. Leading their attack in the contest was Jermaine Samuels, who had 20 points while three players had 14 and Jeremiah Robinson-Earl had 12 points and 13 boards. The defense was strong as they allowed the Bulldogs to hit just 41% of their shots overall, including 25% (5/20) from long range.

The Wildcats enter this game ranked 95th in the nation in scoring at 74.9 ppg, 147th in field goal percentage at 44.3%, 91st in three-point shooting at 35.2% and 5th in free-throw shooting at 79.0%. On the defensive end of the floor, they are ranked 109th in points allowed at 66.5 ppg, 253rd in defensive FG% at 44.2% and 94th in three-point defense at 31.0%.

Providence Comes In Struggling

The Providence Friars are not expected to challenge in the Big East Conference but they are 4-3 in league play while going 11-9 overall. This would be a huge win for them in terms of building their resume for the NCAA Tournament and they have faced the 44th ranked slate of games in the nation so far. Their strength of schedule is pretty strong. KenPom has them rated at 73rd in the nation. Having said all that, the Friars do come in struggling a bit as they have lost three of their last four games. The offense has been their issue of late as they have averaged just 64.8 ppg over their last four games. It will not get easier against a very hot Villanova defense.

In their last game, the Friars lost to Seton Hall on the road by a score of 73-64. It was the offense that let them down as the Friars shot just 36% from the field overall and they were just four of 24 (17%) from long range. they will need far better-shooting percentages in this one. Leading their attack in the game was Alpha Diallo, who had 13 points and eight boards while Nate Watson had 10 points. Seton Hall did hit just three of their 13 attempts from long range but they also hit 58% of their shots from the field overall. Their defense will need to be better overall in this one, especially if their offense can't crack the Villanova defensive code.

The Friars enter this game ranked 185th in the nation in scoring at 71.4 ppg, 323rd in field goal percentage at 40.5%, 242nd in three-point shooting at 32.2% and 259th in free-throw shooting at 67.5%. On the defensive end of the floor, they are ranked 118th in points allowed at 66.9 ppg, 174th in defensive FG% at 42.3% and 210th in three-point defense at 33.3%.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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Rating:

I love the Wildcats in this game. They are far better than that Friars and Villanova is on a roll as they have won their last five games in a row and 11 of their last 12. The Friars have been trending in the opposite direction as they have lost three of their last four games. Their offense has struggled over that stretch, putting up just 64.8 ppg in the four games. That number will not improve here as the Cats have allowed just 61.6 ppg in regulation over their last five games. Villanova has the momentum right now and the Friars will not stand in the way of their train. Take the Cats to win this one by at least seven points.

Prediction: Villanova -2

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

The defense has been very solid of late as the Cats have allowed just 61.6 ppg over their last five games in regulation. The defense will be key here, especially since the Friars have struggled of late as they have averaged just 64.8 ppg over their last four games. The Wildcats have not been the explosive offensive team as they have been over the last few years and they have averaged a modest 73.1 ppg on the road while the Friars have allowed 62.5 ppg here at home. Villanova plays at the 285th fastest pace in the nation while the Friars are 177th in tempo. This will not be an uptempo game. Lastly, the Under is 18-5 in Providence's last 23 games as a home underdog and 19-6-1 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. That seals the deal for me.

Prediction: Under
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Written By David Hess

David has always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so he combined the two to become a handicapper and a writer for us here at Winners & Whiners, along with StatSalt. All the information that David puts in his articles are well-researched and his predictions are well-thought out. He is a big fan of all the major pro sports and the colleges making David a very versatile and a constantly winning handicapper. David has been writing for the past 10 years and has been handicapping for over 20 years. He will help you beat the Man, so be sure and follow along.