Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#691 Butler vs.
#692 Providence
Wednesday, January 25, 2023 at 8:30pm EST
Written by Eric P.

This article covers a past game!

View upcoming games.

The Providence Friars play host to the Butler bulldogs in a crucial Big East showdown from the Dunkin' Donuts Center on Wednesday evening. For Butler, they continue one of the toughest road trips in the Big East after stumbling against UConn the last time out. For Providence, they'll be happy to be able to stay at home, especially after grabbing a win on the weekend themselves. Providence swept a trio of meetings against the Bulldogs last season but with those three wins coming by a combined 12 points, it'll be interesting to see if this meeting is more in line with those, or in line with Providence's 20-point win back in December over the Bulldogs.

Bulldogs Continue Road Trip

Butler continues to limp along this season, as they make the return trip to Providence. The Bulldogs were dominated at home by the Friars back in December, so it shouldn't come as a shock to see them as a heavy underdog in this one. The Bulldogs sit in second-to-last place in this one and after a tough loss the last time out against UConn, the road doesn't get easier. Butler is 2-5 away from home this season and with how well Providence plays at home, to ask the Bulldogs to spring the upset, especially on the second leg of a road trip, is too much to ask of this young and inexperienced group. It also doesn't help matters that the Bulldogs were swept across three games last year against the Friars. With confidence already dragging this season, that bit of information isn't likely to help matters.

It hasn't helped matters that Butler continues to battle the injury bug as well, as they could be without two players in this one. John Michael Mulloy (ankle) continues to miss time, though his absence hasn't impacted this team. The more pressing concern remains the status of Manny Bates (knee). As one of the best big men in the Big East, he's questionable heading into this one.

Butler's offense has struggled without Bates in the lineup and even if he is able to come back for Wednesday night's tilt, it seems unlikely that his addition makes a massive difference for this group. They rank 263rd nationally in scoring and will have a tough time keeping pace with Providence. The biggest concern is how they'll fare on the offensive and defensive glass. They rank near the bottom of the nation in both categories and considering how strong the Friars are, the rebounding battle could be the difference in this one. The backcourt will lead the way in this one but if Bates (12.6 ppg, 5.9 rpg) can find his way into the lineup, it could go a long way towards easing some of the concerns mentioned.

Friars Home Magic Continues

After winning the Big East regular season title last season, the Friars haven't wasted any time finding success this season. At 15-5, they've barely fallen off from last season's strong run and at 7-2 in the conference, are only a game back of first place. A win over DePaul on Saturday helped this group break out of a two-game losing streak, though with both of those coming on the road, it's clear that this team is quite a bit different when at home. They have a perfect 11-0 record at home this season, made even more impressive after going 16-1 at home last season. Adding in that they don't have any travel to worry about over the last few days, compared to life on the road for Butler, the home court advantage in itself will be enough to carry them in this one.

The Friars have a few injuries of their own to worry about as they head into this one. Quante Berry (undisclosed) remains out but his absence isn't likely to impact this group considering he's been out since mid-November. Jared Bynum (abdominal) is questionable and as their point guard, would be missed massively.

After grinding out games last season, the offense has been the sparkplug of this team this season. They rank 40th nationally in scoring and the only struggle in this one could come from the three-point line, where Butler is surprisingly efficient defensively. The offensive glass is sure to be a difference, with the Friars ranked 18th nationally in offensive rebounding, as they continue to generate second-chance points. Bryce Hopkins (16.6 ppg) has been elite and with four players scoring in double-figures this season, their depth is liekly to wear down the Bulldogs in this home matchup.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

The Friars aren't known for blowing out many opponents but this one is primed for them to mount a massive win. Butler could continue to be without their top frontcourt presence, which is only going to further hurt the Bulldogs, especially considering how strong Providence is inside. Beyond that, Butler only has two wins on the road and with Providence being one of the toughest places to play in the Big East, they are likely to be shell-shocked for the start again in this one. The lack of scoring was evident in their game on the weekend against UConn and with the road trip continuing against another top opponent, there's no doubt that this will be a blowout as well. Additionally, according to covers.com, Butler is 0-5 ATS in their last five games against a team with a winning straight-up record. For Providence, they are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games and are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall.

Prediction: Providence (-10)

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Even with providence's scoring ability, this one expects to be of the lower-scoring variety on Wednesday night. Butler comes in struggling to find much scoring, partly due to their lack of depth, while the lack of frontcourt presence is sure to make it difficult for them to find paint points as well. For Providence, their scoring hasn't been an issue but they might be without their point guard in this one, which is sure to add some chaos to the offensive gameplan. Adding in the likely blowout that this game should be, Providence could take their foot off the gas in the second half. Additionally, according to covers.com, for Providence, the under is 4-1 in their last five games following a straight-up win.

Prediction: Under 139
Loading...

Written By Eric Ploch , "Eric P."

Eric grew up surrounded by sports, whether it was spending the weekend catching games in person or on tv, or heading out to the fields to play whatever sport was in season. What started as a hobby, soon became a passion, as he became the sports editor of his high school newspaper, then wrote for his university newspaper during his undergrad years. After obtaining a degree in Sports Operations and Promotions, and spending 8 years deeply immersed in the sports world, Eric decided to take his love for analytics and predictions, and his experience, to online sports fans everywhere. James is now an integral part of our team here at StatSalt and has also been a very successful sports bettor over the years. Be sure and follow him daily.