Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#663 Georgia vs.
#664 Tennessee
Wednesday, January 25, 2023 at 7:00pm EST
Written by Chris King

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A pair of teams from the SEC take the floor in the Volunteer State looking to earn a conference victory. The Georgia Bulldogs are on the road as they make the trip to face the #4 Tennessee Volunteers Wednesday night. Georgia battled but fell 85-82 at home to Vanderbilt in their previous game Saturday afternoon, losing outright as a four-point favorite. Tennessee cruised to a 77-56 road win over LSU in their previous game Saturday, covering the line as an 11-point favorite. In the all-time series between the teams, the Volunteers own a 77-51 advantage and have won the last two meetings. That includes a 75-68 road win in the most recent meeting on March 1, 2022.

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Georgia Bulldogs Look to Steal a Win in the Volunteer State

Georgia fought to the end but ended up falling short at home for the first time this season as they were beaten by Vanderbilt Saturday. The Bulldogs fell to 13-6 on the season overall and stand tied for seventh in the conference with a 3-3 mark entering this game. Against Vanderbilt, Georgia gave up an 8-0 run over the final 2:25 of the first half to go from a 36-36 tie to trailing 44-36 at the half. The Bulldogs trailed by 12 with 4:51 to play before reeling off an 11-0 run to get within 77-76 with 2:13 remaining. They were unable to get past that however as Vanderbilt managed to hang on for the win. Georgia shot 44.1% from the field, including nine of 27 from three-point range, and won the rebounding battle 40-30 only to fall short. Jabri Abdur-Rahim led the Bulldogs with 21 points off the bench in the loss.

The Bulldogs are averaging 71.1 points per game this season, putting them 191st in the nation in scoring offense. Georgia is above average on the glass this season as they collect 38.7 boards a night while dishing out 11.9 assists per contest. The Bulldogs are above average on the defensive end of the floor as they are 85th in scoring defense by allowing 66.1 points per game. Braelen Bridges is third on Georgia when it comes to the offensive end of the floor as he puts up 7.9 points plus 4.6 rebounds per game this season. Terry Roberts (15.9 points, 4.1 boards, 4.2 assists) and Kario Oquendo (13.4 points) are capable scoring options. Jabri Abdur-Rahim, Justin Hill, Matthew-Alexander Moncrieffe, Mardrez McBride, Jailyn Ingram, Jusaun Holt, Jaxon Etter and Frank Anselem are key pieces for the Bulldogs’ rotation. Georgia shoots 42.5% from the field this season. The Bulldogs average 7.2 triples a night on 34.2% shooting from beyond the arc. Georgia is above average at the charity stripe, cashing in 74.1% at the line.

Tennessee Volunteers Seek to Keep Rolling at Home

Tennessee won their second straight and their seventh in the last eight games as they rolled over LSU down in the bayou Saturday. The Volunteers improved to 16-3 overall and stand tied for second in the conference with Auburn as both teams are 6-1. Against LSU, Tennessee used a 9-0 run to take a 15-7 lead and was off and running from there. The Volunteers led 39-22 at the half and were up as many as 27 in the second half en route to the win. Tennessee shot 44.6% from the field, including 12 of 32 from three-point range, and forced 19 turnovers in the victory. Josiah Jordan-James led the Volunteers with 22 points in the win.

The Volunteers put up 74.3 points per game on the season, leaving them 132nd in the nation in scoring offense. Tennessee pulls down 39.6 rebounds a night while dishing out 17.4 assists per game. The Volunteers are excellent on the defensive end, ranking 2nd in the country by allowing 54.4 points per game. Josiah-Jordan James is one of five players on the team averaging in double figures with 10.1 points plus four rebounds a night this season. Tyreke Key (9.2 points, 2.9 rebounds) and Zakai Ziegler (10.6 points, 3.1 boards, 4.8 assists) are good options offensively as well. Olivier Nkamhoua (10.4 points, 4.9 boards), Santiago Vescovi (12.5 points, 3.2 assists), Julian Phillips (10.3 points, 5.5 rebounds), Jahmai Mashack, Jonas Aidoo and Tobe Awaka have to step up and help out on both ends of the floor for coach Rick Barnes. Tennessee shoots 44.3% from the field as a team this season. The Volunteers knock down 8.2 triples a night while shooting 34.2% from beyond the arc. Tennessee knocks down a very solid 73.8% of their attempts at the charity stripe this season.

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Georgia has the ability to put up big point totals but they have their work cut out for them here when it comes to getting things down offensively against Tennessee. The Volunteers are extremely stingy on the defensive end of the floor, allowing more than 65 points just once in their last eight games entering this one. Tennessee has very good depth in their rotation as they have five guys averaging in double figures this season, so it could be any one of a handful of guys that could go for 20-plus points on any given night. Georgia doesn’t have that kind of weaponry to lean on as they rely mainly on Oquendo and Roberts on that end of the floor. Look for Tennessee to clamp down defensively and earn the home win here.

Prediction: Tennessee Volunteers -16.5

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On the season, the Bulldogs have seen the over post a 10-9 mark in their 19 games with a posted total this season. Georgia is 118th in offensive efficiency but they turn the ball over quite a bit. The Bulldogs are 273rd in turnover percentage by coughing the ball up on 20% of their possessions this season. Georgia is 176th in tempo with 67.4 possessions a night this season. Tennessee has stayed under the number in 10 of their 19 games this season. The Volunteers are a stellar 1st in defensive efficiency, 1st in effective field goal percentage defense (38.8%), 9th in turnover percentage (25%) and sixth in steal percentage (14.1%) this season. Tennessee is an average team in tempo as they are 202nd with 67 possessions per contest. The Volunteers’ defense clamps down here and that keeps this game under the total.

Prediction: Under 134

Written By Chris King , "Chris King"

Chris King has been immersed in the world of professional and collegiate sports for more than three decades. Whether it's playing pickup games or being involved in organized sports to being a fan, he's checked all the boxes. From the NFL to arena football, the NHL to the KHL, the NBA to the WNBA to college hoops, and even MLB to the KBO.  If it's out there, he's covered it and bet on it as well, as Chris has been an expert bettor in his career.  Before joining Winners and Whiners back in 2015, his work appeared around the internet and in print. He's written books for Ruckus Books about college basketball, the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, golf, and the World Cup. If you're looking for the inside track on hitting a winner, do yourself a favor and read what Chris has to say.