Indiana Hoosiers (13-6) vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers (7-11)
Week 12 of the 2022-23 college basketball season continues Wednesday, January 25, with the Indiana Hoosiers taking on the Minnesota Golden Gophers in the Big Ten Conference showdown at Williams Arena in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
The tip-off is set for 9:00 PM ET, and the Hoosiers open as 9-point road favorites with a total of 136.5 points. Indiana shoots for its sixth consecutive SU and ATS victory over Minnesota, while their last four encounters have gone over the total.
The Hoosiers heavily lean on Trayce Jackson-DavisThe Indiana Hoosiers (13-6; 9-9-1 ATS; 4-4 conf.) extended their winning streak to three games this past Sunday. After a 63-45 dismantling of the No. 18 Wisconsin Badgers at home and an 80-65 thrashing of the Illinois Fighting Illini on the road, the Hoosiers beat the Michigan State Spartans 82-69 as 4.5-point home favorites.
Indiana erased a nine-point first-half deficit against Michigan State. The Hoosiers went 9-for-15 from beyond the 3-point line and 21-for-24 from the charity stripe while posting a 13/9 assist-to-turnover ratio. Senior forward Trayce Jackson-Davis went off for 31 points, 15 rebounds, four assists, and five blocks, while sophomore guard Tamar Bates and junior guard Trey Galloway accounted for 17 points apiece.
A B1G deal. pic.twitter.com/xVY9f4HimX— Indiana Basketball (@IndianaMBB) January 23, 2023
Jackson-Davis has been unstoppable of late. He had an 18-point, 12-rebound double-double versus Wisconsin and notched 35 points against Illinois on the road. The Hoosiers rank 20th in the nation in points scored per 100 possessions (114.7). They shoot 56.0% from inside the arc (27th in the nation) and 38.1% from downtown (27th) while handing out 16.4 assists per game (22nd). Indiana is No. 19 in the NCAA NET Rankings and No. 21 in the KenPom rankings.
The Gophers nearly upset the WolverinesAfter a couple of home losses to Illinois 78-60 and the No. 3 Purdue 61-39, the Minnesota Golden Gophers (7-11; 8-10 ATS; 1-7 conf.) extended their losing streak to three games with a 60-56 defeat at Michigan this past Sunday. The Gophers blew a ten-point first-half lead against the Wolverines but still managed to cover a huge 12.5-point spread at Crisler Center in Ann Arbor.
Minnesota held Michigan to 36.7% shooting from the field (2-for-14 from deep). The Golden Gophers made 40.4% of their field goals (6-for-23 from deep), but they also committed 15 turnovers. Junior guard Ta’Lon Cooper posted a double-double of 15 points and ten rebounds, junior forward Jamison Battle had 14 points and five boards, while sophomore forward Dawson Garcia tallied 13 points, three assists, and a thumping seven turnovers.
Dawson Garcia leads the way for Minnesota with 14.9 points and 6.3 rebounds per game this season. The Golden Gophers score just 99.7 points per 100 possessions (261st in the country) on 48.2% shooting from inside the arc (287th) and 32.1% from downtown (278th). They are No. 212 in the NCAA NET Rankings and No. 187 in the KenPom rankings.
Best Bets for this Game
Full-Game Side Bet
Minnesota is a solid defensive unit. The Golden Gophers allow 100.8 points per 100 possessions (111th in the country) on 46.1% shooting from inside the arc (59th). They’ll try their best to contain Trayce Jackson-Davis, but I’m not sure the Gophers will find a way to deal with the Hoosiers’ defense. Minnesota has struggled a lot on the offensive side of the ball so far this season, while Indiana allows just 95.9 points per 100 possessions (42nd) on 41.0% shooting from the field (62nd).
The Hoosiers have played very well over their last three outings, and I’m expecting to see more of the same when they take on the slumping Golden Gophers. As I’ve mentioned in the intro, the Hoosiers are 5-0 SU and ATS in their last five meetings with the Gophers, who have gone 1-8 ATS in their previous nine outings on the home court.
Full-Game Total Pick
The Hoosiers play at a steady pace, racking up 69.1 possessions per 40 minutes (87th in the nation). They are a solid rebounding team, but their defense won’t force a lot of turnovers. On the other side, the Golden Gophers tally 65.2 possessions per 40 minutes (289th). Minnesota ranks 296th in the country in defensive rebound percentage (68.2%) and 304th in opposing turnover percentage (16.4).
The Gophers will try to slow things down and play aggressive defense, so I lean the under on the totals. However, Minnesota also needs to somehow control the defensive glass and prevent second-chance points. The under is 7-2 in the Gophers’ last nine games overall, whereas the total has gone over in eight of the Hoosiers’ previous 11.