Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#801 Louisville vs.
#802 Boston College
Wednesday, January 25, 2023 at 9:00pm EST
Written by Chris King

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A pair of programs who now call the ACC home take the floor up in the shadow of Beantown. The Louisville Cardinals are on the road as they travel to face the Boston College Eagles Wednesday night. Louisville was drubbed 75-54 at home by Pitt in their previous game last Wednesday, failing to cover the line as a 9.5-point underdog in that contest. Boston College went on the road and earned an 84-72 win at Notre Dame Saturday in their previous game, winning outright as a five-point underdog. In the all-time series between the teams, Louisville owns a 10-4 edge and has won the last three meetings. That includes a 67-54 home win in the most recent matchup on January 19, 2022.

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Louisville Cardinals Try for Rare Win in Lost Season

Louisville has had problems all year long and that trend continued as they were walloped at home by Pitt last Wednesday in their most recent contest. The Cardinals dropped to a miserable 2-17 overall and stand in the basement of the ACC with a 0-8 mark this year. Against Pitt, Louisville led by four about seven minutes into the game before giving up a 19-2 run that left them down 29-16 with 6:31 to play in the first half. The Cardinals trailed by nine at the half and never narrowed the margin below six the rest of the way. Louisville shot 33.9% from the floor, including five of 20 from beyond the arc, and turned the ball over 17 times in the loss. El Ellis led the way with 19 points and five assists in the loss.

The Cardinals enter the game 349th in scoring offense with 62.4 points per contest this season. Louisville is 311th in the nation in rebounding with 32.2 per contest while the team is 363rd, or dead last, in Division I by dishing out 8.7 assists per contest. The Cardinals are below average defensively, ranking 320th in scoring defense as they allow an average of 75.2 points per game this year. El Ellis is the team’s leading scorer and the lone player scoring in double figures as he puts up an average of 17.8 points plus 4.7 assists a night. Jae’Lyn Withers (8.1 points, 4.8 rebounds) and Mike James (8.9 points) are good secondary options offensively. Brandon Huntley-Hatfield, JJ Traynor, Roosevelt Wheeler, Hercy Miller, Sydney Curry, Kamari Landis and Zan Payne are other contributors for coach Kenny Payne. Louisville shoots 40.3% from the floor as a team this season. The Cardinals are splashing 5.9 triples a night while shooting 31.4% from beyond the arc. Louisville has been average at the charity stripe in limited efforts by cashing in 71.5% of their attempts this season.

Boston College Eagles Shoot for Back-to-back Wins

Boston College snapped a four-game slide as they took down Notre Dame on the road Saturday in their previous game. The Eagles enter this game 9-11 overall and stand 11th in the ACC with a 3-6 mark this season. Against Notre Dame, Boston College led 6-0 early, trailed by as many as nine in the first half and regrouped to take a one-point lead at halftime. The Eagles opened the second half on a 13-0 run to take a 49-35 advantage, then gave up a 24-9 burst to trail 59-58 with 8:21 to play before taking the lead for good with an 8-3 run that gave them a 66-62 edge. Boston College didn’t let the lead slip below two from there en route to the win. The Eagles shot a blistering 56.9% from the field, including 11 of 19 from three-point range, and held a 30-25 advantage on the glass in the game. Quinten Post piled up 29 points and 14 rebounds to lead the Eagles in the win.

The Eagles come into this contest 322nd in scoring offense with an average of 65.9 points per game. Boston College is a below-average team in the rebounding department as they are pulling down 33.6 rebounds per game while ranking 320th by dishing out 11.2 assists per contest. The Eagles are 194th in scoring defense as they give up an average of 69.7 points per game. Makai Ashton-Langford is second on the team with 12.4 points per game this season. Quinten Post leads the team with 14.3 points plus 6.4 rebounds per game though he has played only seven games. Jaeden Zackery (10.4 points), DeMarr Langford Jr., CJ Penha Jr., Prince Aligbe, Devin McGlockton, T.J. Bickerstaff, Mason Madsen and Chas Kelley are important pieces for the Boston College rotation. Boston College shoots 43.2% from the field as a team on the year. The Eagles are knocking down 4.9 triples a night while shooting 29.2% from beyond the arc. Boston College has been mediocre at the free throw line, sinking 70.1% of their attempts.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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We’re looking at a pair of teams that have been weak on the offensive end of the floor, which is part of the reason they are under the .500 mark on the year. Louisville has been awful this season, starting the year with three straight one-point losses to mid-major programs and has never recovered. They have yet to beat a power conference team this season and have lost eight straight games entering this contest. The Cardinals have gone 0-4 on the road and 0-3 on neutral floors this season. Boston College has struggled but they are coming off a win over Notre Dame on the road. The Eagles are 6-4 at home and they take advantage of a miserable Louisville team to make it two straight wins.

Prediction: Boston College Eagles -10.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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Louisville has seen the under go 12-6-1 in their 19 games on the year. The Cardinals are 317th in offensive efficiency and 242nd in defensive efficiency on the year. Louisville is a miserable 326th in effective field goal percentage defense (54.4%) and 335th in effective field goal percentage offensively (45.9%) while they are 358th in turnover percentage (23.8%) this season. The Cardinals are 152nd in tempo with 67.9 possessions a night. Boston College has seen the over post an 11-9 mark in their 20 games this season. The Eagles have struggled offensively, ranking 253rd in offensive efficiency, 303rd in effective field goal percentage (47.4%), 233rd in two-point shooting (48.8%) and 348th in three-point shooting (29.2%) this season. The Eagles are going to slow it down and grind things out as they are 221st in tempo with 66.6 possessions a night. Both teams are starving offensively so this game likely ends up falling under the total.

Prediction: Under 134.5
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Written By Chris King , "Chris King"

Chris King has been immersed in the world of professional and collegiate sports for more than three decades. Whether it's playing pickup games or being involved in organized sports to being a fan, he's checked all the boxes. From the NFL to arena football, the NHL to the KHL, the NBA to the WNBA to college hoops, and even MLB to the KBO.  If it's out there, he's covered it and bet on it as well, as Chris has been an expert bettor in his career.  Before joining Winners and Whiners back in 2015, his work appeared around the internet and in print. He's written books for Ruckus Books about college basketball, the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, golf, and the World Cup. If you're looking for the inside track on hitting a winner, do yourself a favor and read what Chris has to say.