Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#695 Texas A&M vs.
#696 Auburn
Wednesday, January 25, 2023 at 9:00pm EST
Written by Blake V.

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Texas A&M will be looking to bounce back from a loss at Kentucky when it travels to No. 15 Auburn on Wednesday night. The Aggies had won seven consecutive games prior to their loss to the Wildcats. Auburn is trying to extend its five-game winning streak and stay near the top of the SEC standings.

Aggies looking to bounce back from first SEC loss

Texas A&M was a team with high expectations coming into this season, but it went just 6-5 through its first 11 games. The Aggies suffered surprising losses to Murray State and Wofford to go along with setbacks against Colorado, Boise State and Memphis. They wrapped up the early non-conference portion of their schedule with wins against Northwestern State and Prairie View A&M to kickstart a seven-game winning streak. Texas A&M added five SEC wins after that, including a win over then-No. 20 Missouri. The Aggies had that winning streak snapped in a 76-67 loss at Kentucky on Saturday as 5-point underdogs.

Sophomore guard Wade Taylor IV leads Texas A&M with 14.8 points, 3.8 assists and 2.8 rebounds per game. Tyrece Radford (12.7) and Julius Marble (10.0) are both scoring in double figures as well. They lead an offense that ranks No. 43 in KenPom’s adjusted offensive efficiency ratings. Texas A&M’s strength has been in the paint, as it is shooting 52.6% from 2-point range and has the No. 11 offensive rebounding percentage in the country. The Aggies are facing an Auburn defense that is No. 10 in adjusted efficiency, No. 5 in effective field goal percentage (42.6) and No. 2 in 3-point defense (25.1). It is going to be tough for Texas A&M to have much success from the perimeter, as it ranks No. 291 in 3-point shooting (31.5).

Auburn riding nation's longest home winning streak

Auburn got off to a strong start this season, racing out to an 8-0 record through its first eight games. The Tigers lost three of their next six games, falling to Memphis, USC and Georgia. Their loss to the Bulldogs came in stunning fashion, as they were 6.5-point favorites in that matchup. They have bounced back with a five-game winning streak, beating Arkansas, Ole Miss, Mississippi State, LSU and South Carolina. Auburn was a single-digit favorite in the first four games before covering the 12.5-point spread in its 81-66 win over the Gamecocks. The Tigers are now riding the nation’s longest home winning streak (29).

Veteran guard Wendell Green Jr. scored 16 points and dished out 12 assists for Auburn in the win over South Carolina, marking the program’s first double-double with points and assists since he did so against Georgia one year before. Green has scored in double figures in five straight games and leads the team with 13.7 points per game. The Tigers have not been a good offensive team this season, though, ranked outside the top 210 nationally in effective field goal percentage (49.4) and turnover rate. They are No. 331 in 3-point percentage (29.9), but they are No. 106 in 2-point percentage (51.9) and No. 15 in offensive rebounding rate. Auburn is facing a Texas A&M defense that is No. 67 in adjusted efficiency.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I have some serious concerns about Texas A&M’s ability to score points in this matchup. The Aggies have been a terrible 3-point shooting team this season, and they are facing an Auburn defense that ranks second in 3-point percentage. Texas A&M’s strength has been inside the arc, but it is facing a taller Auburn defense that has been shutting teams down all season. The Tigers have had their fair share of struggles on the offensive end this season as well, but they have been playing better of late, covering the spread in four of their last five games.

Prediction: Auburn -6.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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This is a pretty simple bet for me, especially since I like Auburn to cover the spread. Texas A&M is not going to be able to get much done against Auburn’s defense, as the Tigers rank fifth nationally in defensive field goal percentage. Both teams tend to slow their opponents down defensively as well, ranking outside the top 230 in average possession length. Texas A&M has gone under the total in six of its last nine games, and these teams have cashed the under in seven of their last 10 head-to-head meetings.

Prediction: Under 136
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Written By Blake Von Hagen , "Blake V."

Blake is a lifelong sports fan and hoops junkie. Prior to joining our team at Winners & Whiners and StatSalt, Blake worked for several newspapers and websites. He enjoys combining his beat writing expertise with the knack for finding the winning edge in a matchup. Blake is also an avid sports being expert and you would not be disappointed in following him on a daily basis. Remember, it’s a marathon, not a sprint. 
Follow on Twitter @Blake_Vonhagen