Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#623 Ball State 138 vs.
#624 Bowling Green -2
Tuesday, January 28, 2020 at 7:00pm EST
Written by Adam Rauzino

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#623 Ball State University
#624 Bowling Green State University
11-8
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The Bowling Green Falcons will clash with the Ball State Cardinals in MAC action Tuesday night from the Stroh Center. The Cardinals were dealt a 71-66 loss to Central Michigan in their previous game, and the Falcons registered an 85-79 home win against Toledo on Saturday. Bowling Green defeated Ball State in both meetings last season.

Ball State's Two-Game Streak Erased

The Ball State Cardinals head into this one a winner of two out of their last three games. They had a mini two-game winning streak thwarted in a 71-66 road loss to Central Michigan on Saturday in a matchup that had the Cardinals favored by two points. Ball State features a 4-2 conference record led by their solid defense.

Tahjai Teague is locked in, sinking at least 17 points in four out of his last five games. The senior forward earned the double-double 17 points and 18 boards in Saturday’s loss, and he is currently averaging 14.8 points and 8.9 rebounds per game. Ishmael El-Amin has consistently produced most of the season and is an accurate shooter. The junior guard is averaging 14.2 points on a 47% clip from the field. Kyle Mallers has not fared well recently, shooting below 40% in four out of his last five tilts. The senior forward stands third in team scoring with 10 PPG and 4.2 RPG.

The Cardinals are placed 106th overall in Ken Pomeroy’s college basketball ratings and own a 3-3 road record on the year. Ball State is scoring an average of 71.2 points, ranking them 187th in the country. They are playing terrific defense and are holding opponents to 62.1 points, good for 33rd overall.

Bowling Green Targets Seventh Straight Win

The Bowling Green Falcons remain one of the hottest teams in the MAC. They lost their MAC opener but have since collected six straight wins to climb into a first-place tie with Akron in the MAC East with a 6-1 record. The Falcons’ are consistently piling on the points which resumed in their 85-79 road win against Toledo on Saturday in a matchup that had Bowling Green labeled as 4.5 point dogs.

Justin Turner continues to shine. The junior guard racked up 20 points in Saturday’s win and has eclipsed the 20 point mark seven times this season. Turner features an average of 17.6 points on a 45% field goal efficiency. Dylan Frye netted 22 points in his latest action. The senior guard has lifted his season average to 14.5 points accompanied by a team-leading 4.2 assists per game. Daeqwon Plowden is playing well and has picked up 33 rebounds over his last three games. The junior guard is coming off a double-double on Saturday and he has compiled an average of 13.5 PPG and 8.2 RPG.

The Falcons are positioned 156th in DI in Ken Pomeroy’s college basketball ratings and feature a 9-1 record on their home floor. Bowling Green is averaging a solid 75.7 points, ranking them 78th in the country. They are allowing an average of 71.8 points, placing them 245th overall.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I expect a decisive home win from Bowling Green in this one. Bowling Green is flying right now, compiling a win in six consecutive games and they are a dominant 9-1 on their home floor. They are clicking offensively, averaging 76.5 points in their current winning streak.

Furthermore, Ball State is an inconsistent team that owns a 2-2 record in their last four games overall. They are having trouble generating offense, registering 69 or fewer points in three out of their last four games, and the Falcons defense has been solid recently, allowing an average of only 69 points in their last three contests.

Prediction: Bowling Green Falcons

Full-Game Total Pick

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I expect a lower scoring game. Ball State is struggling offensively and the under has been a common trend as a result. They have scored 69 or fewer points in their three MAC road games, and the under is 10-3 in their last 13 road games against a team with a winning home record.

In addition, while I expect enough offense from Bowling Green to cover the points, the Cardinals lean on their defense. They have limited their opponents to 62 or fewer points in two out of their last three games. The under is 6-2 in Bowling Green’s last eight home games against a team with a losing road record.

Prediction: Under

Full-Game Prop Bet

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Bowling Green should thrive offensively and a play on its team total is a strong option. Bowling Green has a ton of offensive momentum as they are coming off an 85 point effort on the road against Toledo on Saturday. The Cardinals have squandered over 70 points in two out of their last three road games overall. Bowling Green has several hot shooters and they should post another big number on their home court.

Prediction: Bowling Green Team Total Over

Half-Time Side Pick

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I expect a solid lead at the half from Bowling Green. The Cardinals are only averaging 30.8 points in the opening half this season, placing them down at 270th in DI. Bowling Green is playing terrific defense in the first half where they have allowed an average of only 29 points in their last three games.

Prediction: Bowling Green
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Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.