Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#621 SMU 138.5 vs.
#622 Cincinnati -5.5
Tuesday, January 28, 2020 at 7:00pm EST
Written by Adam Rauzino



#621 Southern Methodist University
#622 University of Cincinnati


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The SMU Mustangs will head on the road to battle the Cincinnati Bearcats in an AAC showdown Tuesday night from the Fifth Third Arena. The Mustangs tallied a 74-70 road win against Memphis last time out, and the Bearcats posted an 89-82 road win against Temple in their latest action. Cincinnati defeated SMU in all three meetings last season.

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SMU Stuns #20 Memphis in 5th Conference Win

The SMU Mustangs are playing their best basketball of the season. They have rebounded from a mini two-game slide with three consecutive wins to climb into third place in the AAC standings with a 5-2 record. SMU were four-point underdogs in their big 74-70 road win against #20 Memphis on Saturday. The Mustangs are playing outstanding defense in their current streak.

Kendric Davis is playing well and has eclipsed 20 points four times this season. The sophomore guard netted 20 points in Saturday’s win, and he features an average of 16.2 PPG on 47% shooting. Isiaha Mike has scored double-digits in points in two out of his last four games. The junior forward is sporting terrific stats, filing an average of 14.7 PPG on a 52% clip from the field accompanied by 7.1 rebounds. Tyson Jolly will attempt several three’s per game. The junior guard only went 1 for 6 from deep on Saturday, although he still owns a 38% clip from three-point range and he is averaging 14.5 PPG.

The Mustangs are currently placed 75th in the country in Ken Pomeroy’s college basketball ratings, and they stand at 4-3 on the road. SMU is thriving offensively and they are averaging 76.5 points, ranking them 65th overall. They are limiting opponents to 67.3 points, positioning them 125th in DI.

Cincinnati Defeats Temple, Seeks Third Straight Victory

The Cincinnati Bearcats are targeting their third consecutive win. They have also tallied a victory in four out of their last five games overall to lift their AAC record to 5-2 on the season. The Bearcats were 2.5 point favorites in an 86-82 road win against Temple in their previous game last Wednesday.

Jarron Cumberland scored 22 points in the win against Temple. The senior guard has now surpassed 20 points four times and has increased his season average to 14.1 PPG on 39% shooting. Chris Vogt is a force and has connected on at least 60% of his field goals in five out of his last seven games. The junior center holds an average of 13.2 PPG on a sizzling 68.7% mark from the field. Keith Williams is a threat from beyond the arc where he owns a 37.5% efficiency. The junior guard is now posting 12 PPG and 5.3 RPG.

The Bearcats are now ranked 45th in the country in Ken Pomeroy’s college basketball ratings and are sporting an 8-1 home record. Cincinnati is averaging 73.1 points, ranking them 133rd overall. They are limiting opponents to 66 points, poisoning them 102nd in DI.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


I am siding with SMU in this one. SMU is the real deal and they are red-hot, winning three consecutive games which included a big 74-70 road win against #20 Memphis on Saturday, while the Bearcats lost in their game against Memphis earlier this month. The Mustangs defense is key to this game. They are an outstanding defensive team and they have allowed an average of only 62 points in their last three games.

Furthermore, Cincinnati just surrendered 82 points to Temple on Saturday and SMU is looking good offensively, sinking 84 and 74 points respectively in their last two games.

Prediction: SMU Mustangs

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


I am going with the over in this one considering the recent offensive performance of both teams. The Bearcats have scored over 80 points in two straight games and SMU will give up points on the road. They have allowed at least 70 points in five straight road games. The over is 4-0 in the Bearcats’ last four Tuesday games.

In addition, the Mustangs just hit 15 three’s against Memphis on Saturday and they have scored over 80 points in six out of their last ten games. The over is a convincing 8-3 in the Mustangs’ last 11 games overall.

Prediction: Over

Full-Game Prop Bet

Insiders Status:


The over on the SMU team total offered on PointsBet is an attractive prop. SMU features tremendous scoring punch with four players averaging 12 points or better. The Mustangs are hot from deep as mentioned above. They have lifted their three-point efficiency to 34.2% on the season.

Prediction: SMU Team Total Over

Half-Time Side Pick

Insiders Status:


I am sticking with SMU on the halftime line. SMU enters this one very confident after their road win and they are a strong first half team. They are averaging 34.1 points in the opening half and are holding opponents to only 29.5 points in the first half good for 45th in the country.

Prediction: SMU

Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.