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Fordham at Duquesne
When and Where: Wednesday, Jan. 9, A.J. Palumbo Center, Pittsburgh, Pa., 8 p.m. EST.
A pair of Atlantic 10 teams looking to bounce back from defeats in their respective conference openers collide in Pittsburgh on Wednesday night when Duquesne hosts Fordham.
Neubauer gets rude welcome to A-10 from VCU
First-year Fordham coach Jeff Neubauer had done well crafting a home-heavy schedule designed to give his young Rams (9-5, 0-1 Atlantic 10) some confidence ahead of conference play. It worked to a degree as Fordham matched its win total for all of last season ahead of Saturday’s opener at home versus VCU.
That game, however, did not go to plan as Fordham was flattened 76-51. Fordham was torched by a VCU squad that shot 66.7 percent — tied for the ninth-best mark this season involving games between Division I teams — and committed 18 turnovers that led to 18 points for VCU.
VCU wins, 76-51. The leading scorers of the game were Cobb with 14 points and Eyisi with 9 points. Fordham's next game will be Wednesday at Duquesne.
— Fordham Basketball (@FordhamMBB) January 5, 2019
Freshman and leading scorer Nick Honor was held to single digits for the first time as he finished with eight points on 2-of-16 shooting. He is averaging 16.4 points, but the 5-foot-10 guard has shot 40 percent or worse in four of his last five games after scoring a season-high 30 in a win over Rutgers on Dec. 8.
Antwon Portley is also in double figures for the Rams, chipping in 12.0 points per contest. The Rams are forcing 15.4 turnovers per game and limiting opponents to 29.7 percent shooting from 3-point range. The 4.9 treys allowed per game are sixth-fewest among Division I teams.
Fordham is 1-2 in its true road games this season, with all three contests decided by seven or fewer points.
Dukes try to bounce back from tough loss at Davidson
Duquesne (9-5, 0-1) is trying to avoid a third straight loss and fourth in five games after opening conference play with a tough 65-61 loss at Davidson on Saturday night.
Freshman Sincere Carry hit 8 of 13 shots and scored 17 points for the Dukes, who played the Wildcats even for nearly 38 minutes before failing to score in the final 2:09. Duquesne’s struggles from 3-point range continued as it made just 5 of 21 from beyond the arc.
— Duquesne Basketball (@DuqMBB) January 8, 2019
Eric Williams — who averages a team-best 13.4 points — accounted for two of those five treys and is one of the few Dukes not struggling from the perimeter, making 41.1 percent (30 for 73) of his long-range attempts. Duquesne is shooting 31.3 percent from beyond the arc but 25.5 percent (24 for 94) in its last four contests.
Michael Hughes and Carry also are in double figures at 12.3 and 11.5 points per game, respectively. The Dukes lead the A-10 in forcing turnovers at 17.6 per game, which also ranks tied for 15th nationally.
- 3-0-1 ATS in its last four Wednesday games.
- The over is 9-2 in its last 11 games following an ATS win.
- The over is 9-4 in its last 13 games vs. Fordham.
- The over is 20-8 in its last 28 games as a favorite between 7-12.5 points.
- 0-5-1 ATS in its last six road games.
- 5-16-1 ATS in its last 22 games vs. Atlantic 10 opponents.
- 3-13 ATS in its last 16 games following three or more consecutive home games.
- The over is 8-1 in its last nine games following a double-digit loss at home.
- The over is 5-1 in its last six games following a straight up loss.
- The over is 8-2 in its last 10 games vs. above-.500 teams.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
With Fordham starting four freshmen, the expectation is Neubauer’s team will take its lumps in January before starting to learn how to contend and then how to win in February and March. The Dukes should be able to turn the Rams over repeatedly and get enough easy baskets to cover.
Prediction: Duquesne -7
Full-Game Total Pick
Duquesne should not have to throw up too many 3-pointers and play into Fordham’s strength if it forces live turnovers that lead to transition baskets. The Dukes have scored 80 or more points in six of their 11 home games and are 8-0 at the Palumbo Center when they reach 70. It may come late, but the over should deliver.
Prediction: Pick: OVER 129 points
Half-Time Side Pick
The Dukes have trailed at intermission in their last two games, but had led their previous three games at the Palumbo Center by a combined 46 points after 20 minutes. With Fordham playing its first conference road game, the small number is too good to pass up with the home team here.
Prediction: Pick: Duquesne -4
Half-Time Total Bet
Though there is a little risk with this pick given how much Fordham struggled against VCU, the belief is Duquesne will carry most of this number given its offense averages 73.6 points. The Dukes also do not have a great defense — they give up 70.7 per game — and a mediocre perimeter defense gives a margin of error to help the over clear.
Prediction: Pick: OVER 61 points