Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#765 East Carolina 143 vs.
#766 Appalachian State -6.5
Tuesday, November 12, 2019 at 7:00pm EST
Written by Benjamin Hayes

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Teams
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W/L
ATS
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#765 East Carolina University
#766 Appalachian State University
1-1
1-1
13-18
13-16
14-17
17-11-1
67
79
74
79

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East Carolina meets Appalachian State on Tuesday from the Holmes Convocation Center in Boone, N.C. These teams met last season with the Pirates winning, 83-81 at home. Both teams also opened with a 1-1 record.

ECU is coming off a 62-57 loss at Navy, while the Mountaineers crushed Ferrum, 83-56 at home on Nov. 7.

Sloppy play for Pirates against Navy

ECU opened their season with an 80-68 win over VMU and faced another military school on Friday. The Pirates traveled to Annapolis to face Navy in the Veterans Classic and wound up scoring just 57 points in a loss. East Carolina shot 40.7% from the field and 5-of-18 (27.8%) from the three-point line in the loss. ECU had a 38-31 lead with 14 minutes left and led by four with 6 1/2 minutes left, but allowed the Mids to go on a 19-10 run. Jayden Gardner led the Pirates with 15 points, while Seth LeDay added 11.

East Carolina returned just one starter from last season and that means things could be a little rocky in the early going. The defense is going to have its struggles though they did force 20 turnovers. LeDay made 12 starts last season and averaged 11 points per game with 5.87 rebounds, but suffered an ACL injury late in the year. Gardner (6-7, 225) is a steady power forward who averaged 16.3 points and 8.5 rebounds as a freshman. He's getting some help up front from Ludgy Debaut (7-0, 245), who has averaged 13.5 minutes in the first two games and just two points per game.

A bigger test than Ferrum

Ferrum is a tiny college in Virginia that plays Division III sports. Beating the Panthers by 27 points at home wasn't that of an impressive feat for Appy State, but holding them to 29.6% shooting from the floor and forcing 16 tunovers was. On the negative side, head coach Dustin Kerns could not have been pleased that his team was outrebounded by two. Justin Forrest led the Mountaineers with 17 points and six boards on 6-of-10 shooting. They shot 53.1% from the field, but just 25% (5-of-20) from beyond the arc.

Appalachian State played a solid game in their opener, falling to Michigan by just eight, 79-71. Forrest led them again with 27 points and the Mountaineers shot 45.6% from the field. But they also turned the ball over 18 times led by six from guard Adrian Delph, a sophomore who averaged 7.1 points per game last season. Forrest (16.2ppg last year) is a 6-2 junior, who shot 36.2% from the three-point line and 72.4% from the free throw line. With four starters returning from an 11-21 (6-12 Sun Belt team) squad, they'll need more from their frontcourt to have a successful season.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I'm not ready to lay six points with Appalachian State at home against East Carolina. This was an 11-win team last season and a squad that got outrebounded by a Division III squad. Sure, ECU has a new/old coach in Joe Dooley, who coached them over a decade ago, but I think the Pirates have enough to cover this game on the road. It starts with a player like Gardner, who is good enough to keep them in most games against equal competition. Take the road dog in this one.

Prediction: East Carolina +6

Full-Game Total Pick

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I like to mainly use unders in the early part of the season. A lot of teams are trying to get their bearings under them after practicing for over a month. Also, the new three-point line is a bit longer this season and I think three-point shooting percentages are going to be slightly lower in non-conference play. ECU scored just 57 points in that Navy game. Both teams will turn it over because they will want to push the tempo. Most likely, this is a high sixties type of a game.

Prediction: Under 143

Half-Time Side Pick

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The Mountaineers are at home so they want to get off to a fast start to get the crowd into it. Forrest is off to a red-hot start and he'll continue until ECU makes some adjustments in the second half.

Prediction: App State -4 first half

Half-Time Total Bet

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Again, sticking with the early-season theme, it's likely that both teams will be looking to get into a rhythm in the first half.

Prediction: Under 67 first half
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Written By Benjamin Hayes

Ben has been a sports writer for over 30 years, dabbling in college and pro basketball, college and pro football, baseball, college lacrosse, minor league baseball and even college gymnastics. He's also been involved in the gaming industry for over 25 years and has been looking to beat the books since he was 13!