Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#799 Long Beach State 141.5 vs.
#800 Stanford -13
Tuesday, November 12, 2019 at 9:00pm EST
Written by Daniel Benjamin

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#799 California State University, Long Beach
#800 Stanford University
1-1
2-0
18-12-2
14-15-2
18-14
13-18
74
72
75
71

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Long Beach State is back on the road to face another Pac-12 team as they visit the Stanford Cardinal on Tuesday. Stanford won last year's contest 93-86 and now leads the all-time series 4-1.

The Beach is searching for first road win

This is Long Beach State’s second road contest, as well as its second contest against a PAC-12 school. The Beach fell to UCLA 69-65 in its season opener. LBSU is coming off a "homecoming" victory over San Diego on Saturday as the Beach converted 29 Toreros turnovers into 30 points on their way to a 74-62 victory. Chance Hunter led the way for LBSU with 21 points and nine rebounds. Colin Slater contributed 18 points on seven of 10 shooting, and Michael Carter III added 14. San Diego jumped out to a quick six-point lead, but the Beach turned a steal from Romelle Mansel into a bucket for Drew Cobb to give them their first lead of the game at 16-15. LBSU would never trail from that point on. The Beach shot 45.2% from the field and 37.5% from the 3-point line while holding the Toreros to 38.9% shooting from the field and 28.6% from 3-point range.

Hunter is leading the Beach's offensive attack at 20 points a game on 56.5% shooting from the field as well as 67% (six of nine) from beyond the arc. Hunter also leads the team with 6.5 rebounds a game. Carter is second on the team at 17 points a game and is tied for second on the squad with six triples. LBSU is averaging 69.5 points on 45.6% shooting from the field and 42.9% from the 3-point line. The Beach is also averaging six offensive rebounds, 7.5 assists, along with 16 turnovers.

Defensively, LBSU is surrendering 65.5 points on 39.3% shooting from the field and just 25.5% from beyond the arc. They are allowing 12 offensive rebounds to their opponents and force 21.5 turnovers a game.

Cardinal looking to remain unbeaten at home

Stanford is amid a six-game homestand. Stanford already has home wins over Montana and Cal State Fullerton. Oscar da Silva leads a balanced attack with 17.5 points a game as he is shooting 66.7% from the field. Da Silva has scored in double-figures in both games, which includes tallying a career-high 21 points against Montana. Tyrell Terrell (12.2 points, 3.5 assists, three rebounds) has reached double digits in scoring in each of the two games. Meanwhile, Spencer Jones is averaging 10.5 points and four rebounds.

Stanford is averaging 71.5 points a game as the Cardinal are shooting 50% from the field and 35.3% from beyond the arc. They are hauling in 30 rebounds a game, doling out 11.5 assists, and committing 13 turnovers.

Defensively, Stanford is permitting 59 points a game as the Cardinal is limiting their opponents to 38.7% from the field and 26.2% from beyond the arc. They are allowing their opponents 9.5 offensive rebounds and are forcing 16.5 turnovers.

Best Bets for this Game

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Long Beach State has played some of the second-tier Pac-12 programs pretty well, falling to UCLA (twice), Stanford (once) and Oregon State. The Beach nearly pulled off a win at Pauley Pavilion this year and they have earned victories over Oregon State and Stanford in the past three years. So, LBSU has the pedigree to be at the very least competitive.  I believe that Carter and Hunter can provide enough firepower to make Stanford at least sweat as the metrics point to Stanford winning this contest. The key to the game will possibly be how freshman Joshua Morgan performs against Da Silva. If Morgan is able to stay out of foul trouble he has the ability to be a difference-maker.

 

Prediction: Long Beach State - 14

Full-Game Total Pick

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Both teams have struggled shooting the ball from the perimeter --with the exceptions of Jones for the Cardinal and Carter as well as Hunter for the Beach -- and they have been pretty good at defending the 3-point line as well. In the same token, each team has been pretty good defensively with Stanford posting a defensive rating of 81.1 while LBSU sits at 87.7. None of Stanford's or Long Beach State's games have combined to reach 142 points.

The under is 4-1 in the Beach's last five games and 5-1 in their last six non-conference games overall. The under also has hit in five straight Cardinal home contests and 13 of their last 16 games overall.

Prediction: Under 142
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Written By Daniel Benjamin

Daniel Benjamin is extremely passionate about sports particularly all things basketball. He loves crunching numbers and providing in-depth analysis. Prior to joining our staff here at Winners & Whiners and StatSalt, Daniel has written sports for a variety of outlets. He has covered the NBA, college basketball, NFL, college football, WNBA, soccer, and MLB since 2010.