Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#807 Pepperdine -5 vs.
#808 Cal State Northridge 157
Tuesday, November 12, 2019 at 10:00pm EST
Written by Sporty Jordy

Stats

Back

Teams
Logo
W/L
ATS
O/U
PPG
OPPG
#807 Pepperdine University
#808 California State University, Northridge
1-1
0-2
19-13
22-8-2
15-16-1
17-14-1
75
76
74
79

More

This article covers a past game!

View upcoming games.

When and where: November 12, 2019, Matadome, Northridge, CA, 10:00 PM ET

The Cal State Northridge Matadors hope to earn their first win of the season on Tuesday when hosting the Pepperdine Waves. Cal State hasn’t won a game since defeating Hawaii back on March 3, and they have opened up this season with consecutive losses to Oregon State and New Mexico. Meanwhile, Pepperdine bounced back from a season-opening loss to California with a dramatic 77-73 win over UC Irvine.

Waves find magic in Malibu

UC Irvine had the Waves dead to rights at the Firestone Fieldhouse on Saturday night. They led the game 73-64 with 2:11 left in the fourth quarter. The Waves would then work their way back into the game with clutch 3-point shots from Kessler Edwards and Colbey Ross, setting the stage for Kameron Edwards to step up and hit the game-winning 3-pointer that served as the dagger to the Anteaters.

Cal State has given up 87-plus points in consecutive outings, and the Waves have shown the offensive firepower to give them problems. The Edwards brothers are both averaging double figures in scoring, along with the standout play from Ross and Skylar Chavez. They’ll look to attack a Cal State defense that allowed New Mexico to go 60 percent shooting from the floor.

Defense still remains a bit of a question mark for Pepperdine. They did a tremendous job on that end of the floor against UC Irvine, following a meltdown performance against California. The struggles defending the perimeter were apparent with the Golden Bears finishing with a 52.6 shooting percentage from long-range. Cal State doesn’t have that sort of firepower, but they also haven’t played as soft of a defense.

Can Cal State end the streak?

Losing is all Cal State has known since the middle of March.

If we’re counting last season, they have lost their last five straight games. The two losses this season have been demoralizing considering their continued struggles on the defensive end of the floor. They are handing out buckets like free food samples, and opposing teams are gobbling them up on a nightly basis.

Pepperdine is an unselfish basketball team with plenty of scorers to get buckets. If the Cal State isn’t careful, Tuesday’s meeting could turn into an early Thanksgiving with their defense on the menu. This isn’t anything new for the Matadors coming off a season where they had one of the worst scoring defenses in the nation.

Perhaps their only hope is big scoring nights from Terrell Gomez and Lance Coleman. Gomez, in particular, should be able to find success against a suspect Pepperdine defense. He is shooting 50.0 percent from 3-pointer and leading the team with a 16.5-point scoring average. Coleman has proven to have some range on his shot as well.

The Matadors will need it if this game creeps into shootout territory.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

The Edwards brothers looked like the college version of the Splash Brothers in the fourth quarter against UC Irvine. They are sure to be featured in this game as well against an opponent in Cal State that hasn’t been able to put it together on defense. There is clear carryover from last season, and that isn’t going to suddenly change by Tuesday night.

The most recent opponent the two teams have in common is UC Irvine. While the Waves ended up shooting the Anteaters off the floor, the Matadors got thumped by them on the road in a game where they gave up 86 points.

It’s basically the same story this season as well with opposing teams getting buckets from every angle on the floor against Cal State. Gomez and Coleman have been a nice duo for the Matadors, but they won’t be able to carry the sort of offensive weight that will be needed to get a win on Tuesday. Give me the Waves in this game.

Prediction: Pepperdine Waves (-5.5)

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I could go on and on about how poorly the Matadors have looked on defense, but the Waves haven’t looked great, either. We can’t pretend like they didn’t give up 87 points to California and allow them to shoot 57.4 percent from the floor. Cal State is lacking in offensive firepower to really make some noise in this game, but they will take advantage of their opportunities to put points on the board.

Pepperdine is entering this game averaging 74.0 points per game, but they aren’t leaving without dropping at least 80-plus on a Cal State defense bleeding buckets. I’m taking the over betting total here.

Prediction: Over (154)
Loading...

Written By Jordy McElroy , "Sporty Jordy"

Born in Germany and raised in the beautiful state of Tennessee, Jordy McElroy is a storyteller of sports, a sports betting enthusiast and a semi-deep thinker. Being a New England Patriots fan means he's a six-time Super Bowl winner as well, which means you'd have to be a fool to ignore his advice. Prior to joining our team here at Winners & Whiners, Jordy’s work appeared on CNN.com, FOX Sports, Bleacher Report, USA TODAY and BJPenn.com. There are no beaches where he comes from -- just rolling hills, green valleys and all the Sun Drop you can drink.