Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#805 UT Arlington 144.5 vs.
#806 Nevada -5
Tuesday, November 12, 2019 at 10:00pm EST
Written by Chris Kubala



#805 University of Texas Arlington
#806 University of Nevada Reno


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It’s a battle of mid-major teams on the college hardwood when the Sun Belt collides with the Mountain West in the Silver State. The UT Arlington Mavericks are on the road as they travel to face the Nevada Wolf Pack Tuesday night. UT Arlington ran to a 73-59 win over Tulsa at home in their last game Saturday night. Nevada got their first win of the Steve Alford era by defeating Loyola Marymount 72-67 at home Saturday night. This marks the first time that the two teams have taken the floor against each other with both teams as Division I programs.

UT Arlington Mavericks Look for 3-0 Start

UT Arlington took care of business at home against Tulsa to remain unbeaten on the season by prevailing Saturday night. The Mavericks now go on the road to face a stout challenge in Nevada. UT Arlington led by 10 just over four minutes into the game, saw the Golden Hurricane come back to tie the game at 12, then ripped off a 9-0 run to regain control. The Mavericks were up 10 at the half and led by as many as 22 in the second half en route to the win. UT Arlington shot only 40 percent from the field, including nine of 34 from three-point range, but knocked down 16 of 17 free throws. Jabari Narcis led the Mavericks with 16 points and 10 rebounds in the victory.

The Mavericks are tied for 129th in scoring offense as they put up 78.5 points per game on the season. UT Arlington is tied for 65th in rebounding with 43.5 boards a night and tied for 18th by dishing out 20.5 assists per game. The Mavericks are solid on the defensive end, ranking 33rd in the nation by allowing 54.5 points per game on the year. Jabari Narcis leads the team with 11 points plus 7.5 rebounds per contest. TiAndre Jackson-Young chips in 10.5 points plus 4.5 boards a contest while Jordan Phillips adds 10 points a night. David Azore, Radshad Davis, Brian Warren and Sam Griffin each average at least eight points a night. UT Arlington shoots 44.7 percent from the field on the year. The Mavericks knock down an average of 12 three-pointers a night while sinking 33.8 percent from beyond the arc. UT Arlington is solid at the charity stripe as they cash in 74.2 percent of their attempts this season.

Nevada Wolf Pack Try for Second Straight Win

Nevada bounced back from their season-opening loss to Utah as they took down Loyola Marymount in their previous contest. The Wolf Pack now looks to earn their second straight win for coach Steve Alford. Nevada trailed 8-0 two minutes into the contest but closed to within four at the half. The game was tied at 47 midway through the second half but a 9-2 run gave the Wolf Pack a 56-49 lead they wouldn’t relinquish. Nevada shot 42.9 percent from the field despite going seven of 30 from three-point range. The Wolf Pack cashed in 17 of 22 free throws and controlled the boards 34-26 in the game. Lindsey Drew finished with 24 points, nine rebounds and seven assists in the win.

The Wolf Pack enter this contest tied for 196th in scoring offense with 73 points per game. Nevada is tied for 302nd in rebounding by collecting 33 boards a night and stand tied for 121st by dishing out 15 assists a contest. The Wolf Pack is tied for 233rd in scoring defense by allowing 73 points per game. Lindsey Drew leads Nevada with 27 points, 7.5 rebounds and 7.5 assists per contest on the year. Jazz Johnson chips in 18 points while Nisre Zouzoua and Johncarlos Reyes are the only other players putting up better than four points a game. Nevada is shooting 41.9 percent from the field as a team this season. The Wolf Pack knocks down nine triples a night while shooting 30 percent from beyond the arc. Nevada is very good at the free throw line as they convert 77.4 percent of their attempts this season.

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The Wolf Pack earned the win in their last game but the fact remains that outside of Drew and Johnson, there’s not much in the way of proven commodities in the rotation. That’s something that is concerning. It takes time to try and work new pieces into the rotation and Nevada had to overhaul on the fly with all five starters plus their head coach from last season gone. UT Arlington has been tough in the early going and they proved they can win against teams other than doormats as they took out Tulsa in their last game. Take the points and the Mavericks here as the Wolf Pack has to prove that they’re even a shadow of the team we’ve seen in recent years.

Prediction: UT Arlington Mavericks +6

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UT Arlington has been sharp in their first two contests and they look to take the next step in the Sun Belt this season. The Mavericks weren't as high scoring of a team last season, ranking 270th in the nation by scoring 69.2 points per game while they were 134th in scoring defense by allowing 69.8 points per contest. Nevada has to find some secondary scoring to help bail out the combination of Drew and Johnson. The Wolf Pack struggled to get past Loyola Marymount after losing to Utah: can they bounce back and make it two straight wins at home?

The under is 6-0 in the Mavericks' last six Tuesday games, 16-6 in their last 22 games following an ATS win and 15-6 in their last 21 games following a straight up win. Nevada has seen the under go 4-0 in their last four after an ATS loss and 8-2 in their last 10 non-conference games. With Nevada missing so much talent from a year ago and UT Arlington playing solid defense, this one ends up under the number.

Prediction: Under 145.5

Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.