Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#647 Cal State Fullerton 129.5 vs.
#648 Wyoming -3
Wednesday, November 13, 2019 at 9:00pm EST
Written by Nick Raffoul

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#647 California State University, Fullerton
#648 University of Wyoming
0-2
1-1
11-21
11-20
15-15-2
11-19-1
71
65
70
75

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The Cal State Fullerton Titans will travel on the road to the Arena-Auditorium in Laramie, Wyoming on Wednesday evening for a non-conference showdown against the Wyoming Cowboys.

The Titans dropped their first two games of the season in a similar fashion on the road against top-100 teams. Meanwhile, Wyoming is trying to rebound from being limited to a dismal 32 points in their last game on the road in South Carolina. Can the Cowboys bounce back at home against an 0-2 Titans team on Wednesday evening?

Cal State Fullerton unable to earn quality win

Cal State Fullerton lost its second straight game to open the season on Saturday night, falling short on the road to Stanford 70-54. Sophomore guard Wayne Arnold scored a team-high 14 points while Brandon Kamga added 10 off the bench for the Titans, who shot just 4-for-22 from 3-point range in the loss.

Dedrique Taylor’s squad enters the week ranked No. 241 in the latest KenPom rankings after starting the season with an 0-2 record. Through two games, Cal State Fullerton has scored just 92.1 points per 100 possessions (298th in the NCAA) while shooting an effective field goal percentage of only 39.2 percent (306th in the NCAA). The Titans have struggled to score at all three levels, shooting 40 percent from 2-point range (292nd in the NCAA), 25.0 percent from beyond the arc (277th in the NCAA), and 56.8 percent from the charity stripe (294th in the NCAA) so far this year.

On defense, the Titans have surrendered 98.0 points per 100 possessions (154th in the NCAA) while allowing opposing teams to shoot 56.1 percent from inside the arc (260th in the NCAA) and 39.0 percent from deep (271st in the NCAA).

Cowboys muster just 32 points vs. South Carolina

The Cowboys were embarrassed on the road versus South Carolina over the weekend, putting together one of the worst offensive performances in school history. Wyoming shot just 23.1 percent from the field and 4-for-17 from beyond the arc while turning the ball over 15 times in the 66-32 defeat. Hunter Maldonado was the only Wyoming player to finish in double-figures with 10 points but no other player scored more six points in the loss.

Following back-to-back 20-win seasons in Laramie, head coach Allen Edwards guided the Cowboys to a disappointing 8-24 record last year. Judging by the early signs, it could be another tough year for the Wyoming basketball team. Edwards’ squad comes in slotted at No. 291 in the latest KenPom rankings following their 1-1 start. The Cowboys have scored 89.8 points per 100 possessions (325th in the NCAA) while sporting an effective field goal percentage of 40.1 percent (295th in the NCAA). They have shot just 18.5 percent from 3-point range (324th in the NCAA) while hauling in a meager 10.9 percent of their missed field goal attempts (337th in the NCAA) for the season.

On defense, Wyoming has surrendered 100.0 points per 100 possessions (197th in the NCAA) through two games. They have held their opponents to 25.5 percent shooting from beyond the arc (65th in the NCAA) while forcing turnovers on 21.8 percent of their defensive possessions (104th in the NCAA).

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Cal State Fullerton is in rebuilding mode right now and their tough opening-season schedule didn’t do them any favors. On the other hand, Wyoming isn’t the basketball powerhouse that people had been growing accustomed to in years past but they should still have an edge at home here. Neither of these teams is particularly gifted offensively but Wyoming’s length and ability to create turnovers on defense could be the difference in this game. Look for the Cowboys to come out on top in this non-conference battle on Wednesday night. 

Prediction: Wyoming Cowboys -2

Full-Game Total Pick

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Neither of these teams has shown the ability to shoot the rock through their first two games, so points could be harder to come by than usual in this one. Wyoming enters with an effective field goal percentage of only 40.1 percent (302nd in the NCAA) and they are only shooting 18.5 percent from the 3-point line (330th in the NCAA). Meanwhile, the Titans own an effective field goal percentage of 39.2 percent (311th in the NCAA) and have been inefficient from all three levels through their first two games. Take this game to stay under the projected total on Wednesday night. 

Prediction: Under 127.5
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Written By Nick Raffoul

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. And has now joined our team here at Winners & Whiners. Nick uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits. Let Nick win for you.