Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#617 Indiana State vs.
#618 Louisville
Wednesday, November 13, 2019 at 8:00pm EST
Written by Chris Kubala

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#617 Indiana State University
#618 University of Louisville
0-1
2-0
14-15
17-15-2
14-14-1
15-19
69
74
71
68

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It’s a non-conference tilt on the hardwood when the Missouri Valley Conference is on the road to battle the ACC in the Bluegrass State. The Indiana State Sycamores are on the road as they travel to face the #4 Louisville Cardinals Wednesday night. Indiana State opened their season with an 86-81 road loss to Dayton Saturday night. Louisville ran their mark to 2-0 on the season as they rolled over Youngstown State 78-55 at home Sunday in their home opener. The Cardinals won both previous meetings between the schools, including an 83-43 win at home in the most recent matchup on December 6, 2008.

Indiana State Sycamores Try to Spring Second Big Upset by MVC This Week

Indiana State battled to the wire but came up a little short on the road against Dayton in their season opener. The Sycamores now try to earn a road win and follow in the footsteps of Evansville, who upended #1 Kentucky 67-64 Tuesday night. Indiana State trailed by 12 during the second half but clawed back to within 81-79 with 23 seconds to play. Dayton hit their free throws down the stretch to keep the Sycamores at bay in the game. Indiana State put together a solid enough showing but they’ll face a much stiffer challenge in this contest.

The Sycamores shot 47.4 percent from the field in the game, including knocking down six of 15 from beyond the arc. Indiana State connected on 21 of their 27 free throw attempts and owned a 39-34 edge on the glass in the loss. Tyreke Key led the Sycamores with 21 points but he fouled out in only 23 minutes of action: the team needs him on the floor as much as possible. Jordan Barnes contributed 19 points plus nine rebounds while Christian Williams finished with 14 points and eight boards in the loss as the only other player in double figures for Indiana State.

Louisville Cardinals Go for 3-0 Start

Louisville rolled past Youngstown State in their home opener Sunday to run their mark to 2-0 on the season. The Cardinals have won both games by double digits this season and look to extend that run in this contest. Louisville led by 17 late in the first half before giving up a 10-0 run to see their lead trimmed to seven at the half. That seemed to wake the Cardinals up as they used a 19-5 run in the opening 7:36 of the second half to go up 21. Louisville didn’t look back after that: they shot 50.8 percent from the field, including seven of 22 from three-point range, and lost the rebounding battle 46-38. Jordan Nwora put up 21 points and six boards to lead the Cardinals in the contest.

The Cardinals enter the game tied for 91st in scoring offense with 82.5 points per contest this season. Louisville is tied for 148th in rebounding with 39 per contest while the team is tied for 47th by dishing out 18 assists per contest. The Cardinals are tied for 131st in scoring defense as they allow an average of 64.5 points per game this year. Jordan Nwora leads the team with 22 points and nine rebounds per contest. Ryan McMahon puts up 16 points a game while Steven Enoch adds 14 points plus 13 boards a night. Samuell Williamson, Dwayne Sutton and Darius Perry are solid contributors though the team would like to see more from LaMarr Kimble on the floor. Louisville shoots 52.3 percent from the floor as a team this season. The Cardinals are splashing eight triples a night while shooting 39 percent from beyond the arc. Louisville has been sound at the charity stripe by cashing in 75 percent of their attempts this season.

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After seeing Kentucky get upended by Evansville, you have to think that Louisville is not going to take it easy here. The last thing that the Bluegrass State needs is to have two top-five squads in the country upended at home by mid-major programs from the Missouri Valley Conference in a 24 hour span. Louisville has taken care of business in their first two games this season and they are 38-0 at the KFC Yum! Center in the month of November. The Sycamores hung tough against Dayton but it’s tough to beat Louisville at home. Indiana State hangs in for a while but eventually gets knocked out as Louisville goes to 3-0.

Prediction: Louisville Cardinals -22.5

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Louisville has been playing terrific basketball out of the gate and you know that they won't overlook anyone after seeing what befell Kentucky Tuesday night. The Cardinals are clicking with Nwora, a frontrunner for ACC Player of the Year, leading the way. Indiana State did a solid job against Dayton but having Key foul out in 23 minutes wasn't the best course of action for the team to come up with a road win. Even if he avoids a similar fate here, the Sycamores are going to need more than just Key and Barnes to step up and put points on the board. Can Indiana State find their secondary scoring and spring an upset here?

The over is 4-0 in the Sycamores' last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 5-1 in their last 6 non-conference games and 4-1 in their last five overall. Louisville has seen the over go 5-1-1 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 and 8-2 in their last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Given the way we've seen things break in the opening week of the season, this one goes over the number as Louisville goes off offensively.

Prediction: Over 146.5
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.