Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#689 Georgia State vs.
#690 Duke
Friday, November 15, 2019 at 7:00pm EST
Written by Chris Kubala

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#689 Georgia State University
#690 Duke University
1-1
3-0
16-15-2
18-20
16-17
11-26-1
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It’s a battle on the college hardwood between the Sun Belt and the ACC down on Tobacco Road. The Georgia State Panthers are on the road as they travel to face the #2 Duke Blue Devils Friday night. Georgia State was defeated 84-80 on the road by the College of Charleston Saturday night in their previous game. Duke bombed Central Arkansas 105-54 at home in their previous game on Tuesday night. The Blue Devils won the only previous matchup between the teams, taking a 74-55 home win on November 9, 2012.

Georgia State Panthers Seek Monumental Upset

Georgia State battled down to the wire but ended up on the short end of their contest on the road to the College of Charleston. The game lived up the billing leading up to it as a couple of mid-majors went toe to toe from the opening tip to the final horn. Georgia State trailed by as many as nine in the first half only to cut the deficit to one at the half. In the second half, the Panthers led by as many as five, the last time at 75-70 with 5:33 to play in the game. Georgia State then gave up an 11-2 run over the next 5:08 to trail by four at 81-77. The Panthers tried to get back into it but the Cougars hit their free throws down the stretch to prevail. Georgia State shot 44.1 percent from the field, including five of 16 from three-point range, but turned the ball over 19 times in the game. Justin Roberts had 22 points to lead the Panthers in the loss.

The Panthers are 19th in the nation in scoring offense by putting up 92 points per game. Georgia State is tied for 11th in rebounding by pulling down 47.5 boards a night while the team is tied for 151st by dishing out 14.5 assists per contest. The Panthers are tied for 65th in the nation in scoring defense by allowing 59.5 points per game. Kane Williams leads the team with 13.5 points per game on the season. Damon Wilson chips in 13 points plus five boards per contest, Justin Roberts adds 13 points per contest and Corey Allen puts up 12 points a night. Nelson Phillips (11 points, 5.5 rebounds) and Josh Linder (10 points, seven rebounds) are also solid scoring options. Georgia State shoots 47.7 percent from the field as a team this season. The Panthers connect on 9.5 triples per contest while shooting 43.2 percent from beyond the arc. Georgia State has been mediocre at the charity stripe this season as they sink 68.3 percent of their attempts on the year.

Duke Blue Devils Try to Remain Unbeaten

Duke has whipped Colorado State and Central Arkansas by a combined 88 points in their last two games after edging Kansas in the Champions Classic to start the year. The Blue Devils look to maintain their perfect mark in this contest as they host another mid-major program. Duke used an early 19-0 run to take a 25-5 lead and didn’t look back against Central Arkansas. The Blue Devils led 57-20 at the half and led by as many as 52 in the game as they cruised. Duke shot 56.8 percent from the field, including nine of 18 from three-point range, and dominated the boards 46-26 in the game. Matthew Hurt had a career-high 19 off the bench to lead the Blue Devils.

The Blue Devils enter this contest 36th in the nation in scoring offense with 87.3 points per game this season. Duke is 137th in rebounding with 39.7 boards a night and stand 146th in assists with 14.7 assists per game. The Blue Devils are 51st in the country in scoring defense by allowing 58.3 points per game. Cassius Stanley leads the team with 15 points per game on the year. Vernon Carey Jr. contributes 13 points plus 6.3 rebounds a night while Matthew Hurt (13 points), Tre Jones (12.3 points, four rebounds, 5.7 assists) and Alex O’Connell (11 points) are solid contributors on the offensive end of the floor. Duke is shooting 49.3 percent from the field as a team this season. The Blue Devils are knocking down seven triples a night despite shooting 32.3 percent from beyond the arc on the year. Duke is sputtering at the free throw line, cashing in only 67.3 percent of their attempts on the year.

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Duke has been a tough team in the early going as they have put the boots to their last two opponents after surviving their tough game with Kansas to open the year. All the top-10 teams are wary after seeing #1 Kentucky lose to Evansville at Rupp Arena earlier this week. The Blue Devils are motivated and ready to reclaim the top spot, which would make them the third team to already hold that lofty perch this season. Georgia State hung tough against Charleston but taking on a team like Duke here is a major step up in the talent pool. Look for the Blue Devils to remain unbeaten as they roll to a victory here.

Prediction: Duke Blue Devils -28

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While Georgia State coach Rob Lanier has a pedigree, being the cousin of Hall of Famer Bob Lanier, he finds himself at a massive disadvantage here. The Panthers are a solid mid-major program that has had success in the Sun Belt in recent seasons but facing a team like Duke, a perennial powerhouse, is a massive challenge, especially when you're on the road. Coach K has his team ready to go and will caution his squad about being complacent. The Blue Devils have a lot of young guys that they are working into the system. Playing at home helps ease things: can Duke deliver another one-sided home victory?

The under is 6-2-1 in the Panthers' last 9 vs. Atlantic Coast Conference teams. Duke has seen the under go 11-1-1 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, 7-1 in their last 8 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game and 7-1-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. This one should be a solid Duke victory but it ends up falling short of the total in the contest.

Prediction: Under 150.5
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.