Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#793 Minnesota 135.5 vs.
#794 Butler -7.5
Tuesday, November 12, 2019 at 8:35pm EST
Written by Benjamin Hayes

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#793 University of Minnesota
#794 Butler University
1-1
2-0
18-18
13-19-1
17-19
17-16
70
71
69
70

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This article covers a past game!

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Butler takes on Minnesota as part of the Gavitt Tipoff Games from Hinkle Fieldhouse in Indianapolis.

Gophers lose a tough one to Sooners

Minnesota is off to a 1-1 start, which includes an easy 85-50 win over Cleveland State last Tuesday. In Game 2, the Golden Gophers got off to a strong start against Oklahoma from Sioux Falls, taking a 32-26 lead at the half. But they were outscored, 45-30 in the second half, to fall 71-62 to the Sooners. Marcus Carr led the Gophers with 16 points and 10 boards, while Payton Willis and Daniel Oturu added 15 points apiece. The Sooners shot just 40% from the field but they outrebounded Minnesota, 39-31. The Gophers hurt themselves by making just 4-of-12 from the line (33.3%) and 8-of-32 from beyond the arc (25%).

Minnesota returns two starters from a 22-14 team that finished 9-11 (7th) in the Big Ten. Richard Pitino's squad made the NCAA Tournament and lost in the second round. He has to replace three key starters in Amir Coffey, Jordan Murphy and Dupre McBrayer. The Gophers were hoping that center Eric Curry (4.1ppg, 3.1rpg) would be in the mix, but he's out for the season with a knee injury. They brought in Drexel grad transfer Alihan Demir (14.8ppg, 6.4rpg last season), who had just four points and three rebounds against Oklahoma. Oturu is a 6-10, 225-pounder center who could really explode this season after averaging 10.8 points and 7 rpg last year. He's averaging 15.5ppg and 9.5rpg this season.

Big test for Butler

Butler won their first two games over IUPUI at home (80-47) and New Orleans at home (79-53). Butler's top player, Kamar Baldwin, was held to just four points in 14 minutes. Baldwin (oblique) was injured in their opener against IUPUI, when he scored just three points in five minutes. The 6-1 senior averaged 17.0 points on 44.7% shooting last season.

Fortunately, Butler has good depth. They were missing about half of their roster in the first game, but still won by 33. Jordan Tucker filled in for Baldwin against New Orleans and had 16 points on 6-of-14 shooting. The Bulldogs outrebounded the Privateers, 38-21 and shot 9-of-19 from beyond the arc. Butler was also missing 7-1 center Derrik Smits (knee), a transfer from Valparaiso, who averaged 12.2 points and 5.7 rebounds last season. He's listed as questionable for this game. Redshirt senior Bryce Nze (10.3ppg, 8.5rpg in 2017-18) had a huge game against New Orleans, with 18 points and 10 boards. The 6-7 redshirt junior is a transfer from Milwaukee.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

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This line is an overreaction to the easy Butler wins against subpar competition. This is the game where the injuries will hamper Butler. Especially knowing that Baldwin is not going to be 100%. If you are Butler, why would you push him for 30 minutes in a non-conference game this early in the season? Minnesota, despite losing three key players, is loaded with talent. Richard Pitino didn't forget to recruit overnight. They will cover this game, despite it basically being on the road.

Prediction: Minnesota +8

Full-Game Total Pick

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Rating:

Time to check pace of play. Minnesota is 206th with 72 possessions per game. Butler is almost always a deliberate basketball team. Pitino's squad is also about defending the basketball. The Bulldogs rank 340th in the nation in adjusted tempo as they hold the ball for a 21.6 second average per offensive possession (333rd).  They've gone under the first two games and four of their last five. Butler has also gone under in their first two games.

 

Prediction: Under 136
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Written By Benjamin Hayes

Ben has been a sports writer for over 30 years, dabbling in college and pro basketball, college and pro football, baseball, college lacrosse, minor league baseball and even college gymnastics. He's also been involved in the gaming industry for over 25 years and has been looking to beat the books since he was 13!