Check out our best plays in this week’s Fab Five:
When and where: November 16, 2018, Lawlor Events Center, Reno, NV, 11:00 PM ET
The Little Rock Trojans are looking for their third consecutive win on Friday when they go on the road to take on the Nevada Wolf Pack. Things are already off to a much smoother start for the Trojans with Darrell Walker as the head coach. Their last couple wins came over SE Oklahoma State and Tennessee State. Meanwhile, the Wolf Pack are coming off wins over Pacific and BYU.
Nowell crashes back down to reality
Markquis Nowell opened the season by hitting a game-saving shot at the end of regulation to send the Trojans into overtime against SE Oklahoma State. He then proceeded to tack on 14 points in the extra period to ice the game for the Trojans. His team-high 34 points, four rebounds and eight assists turned head right out the gates. It’s unusual to see a freshman take over a game in those kinds of clutch moments.
Was that performance a preview of what’s to come from Nowell, or was it simply an anomaly from a player that got hot at the right time?
The answer seems to lean towards the latter after his recent performance against Tennessee State. He finished that game with only four points, four rebounds and two assists. There’s obviously going to be some inconsistencies when dealing with such a young and promising player, and the Trojans could spend the entire season peeling back the layers of their standout freshman.
Martin and Caroline providing a strong one-two punch for Nevada
The formula for winning early in the season for Nevada has been the success of their dynamic senior duo, Caleb Martin and Jordan Caroline. Both forwards have made significant contributions, including scoring in double figures in back-to-back games. Teams are going to have a difficult time keeping one of them in check, much less both of them over the course of a 40-minute basketball game.
Martin scored a team-high 22 points, six rebounds and three assists to lead the Wolf Pack past the Pacific Tigers on Friday. A few days after scoring 25 points in the win over BYU, Caroline turned in 16 points, four rebounds and two assists against the Tigers. It was a lopsided win that helped the Wolf Pack climb to the No. 6 spot in the NCAA rankings.
— Nevada Basketball (@NevadaHoops) November 12, 2018
Junior Jazz Johnson also contributed 12 points off the bench in the game.
- Wolf Pack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
- Wolf Pack are 19-8-1 ATS in their last 28 games after an ATS win
- Wolf Pack are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games played on a Friday
- Wolf Pack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games
- Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after an ATS win
- Trojans are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games after a win
- Trojans are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games against teams with a winning % above .600
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Trojans are in way over their head.
They are essentially going on the road to take on one of the top teams in the country, and we’re still talking about how a freshman had to bail them out at home a little over a week ago against SE Oklahoma State. There are too many weapons for the Wolf Pack offensively, and the Trojans aren’t talented enough on defense to stop any of them. They struggled stopping Tennessee State early in that game as well.
One particular area where the Trojans will struggle will be down low, where the Wolf Pack should have their way crashing the boards. The inability to win those match-ups down low cost the Trojans against SE Oklahoma State, who cashed in on too many second chance opportunities. They’ll get bullied by the Wolf Pack on the boards in a game that won’t even be close.
Prediction: Nevada Wolf Pack (-26.5)
Full-Game Total Pick
The under is 7-3 in the Wolf Pack’s last 10 home games and 6-2 in the Trojans last eight games played on a Friday. I have no doubt the Wolf Pack will show up and show out on offense, but I’m not holding my breath for the Trojans to match that offensive intensity enough to even consider the over in this match-up. The Trojans may not even score 60 points. Take the under in this game.
Prediction: Under (151)