Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#863 Georgia State 151.5 vs.
#864 Georgetown -11
Sunday, November 17, 2019 at 7:30pm EST
Written by Nick Cowie

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#863 Georgia State University
#864 Georgetown University
1-2
2-1
16-15-2
13-19-1
16-17
19-14
76
79
73
78

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The Georgia State Panthers will travel to the Nation's Capital to take on the Georgetown Hoyas this Sunday evening. Georgia State has shown some offensive power as well as an ability to hang with the big dogs in the early goings of the 2019-20 season. Georgetown comes into this one off a disappointing performance against Penn State but will look to remind everyone why the name Georgetown in synonymous with basketball dominance.

Georgia State gets another shot at a big opponent

Georgia State is off to a 1-2 start this season but they have challenged themselves with some tough opponents early on. In those two losses against Charleston and Duke, the Panthers have shown that they can hang with some of the best. They put up 80 points on a defensively dominant Charleston team, coming just four points from a win. They also played a pretty close game against Duke, losing 74-63, going into halftime just two points down. The Panthers are able to stick with top opponents through a full game due to their excellent depth. No player on the roster averages over 15 points per game, but nine different players put up an average of over five points. With so many options at their disposal, Georgia State can mix and match to create favorable matchups.

The guards have been the key to the Georgia State offense so far this season. Junior classmates Kane Williams and Corey Allen are the best example of this, averaging 14.7 and 14.3 points respectively to lead the team. These two men are also the team leaders in threes for a squad that attempts 18.3 per game. This number is lowered significantly because the Panthers attempted just 12 threes against Duke. Still, they are consistent as a team, at 43 percent from deep. Georgetown allows opponents to land a healthy 38 percent of their threes on 28.6 attempts per game, making this a potential area of exploitation for the Georgia State guards.

Yurtseven continues to be a force in the paint for Georgetown

Georgetown got off to a quick start, clobbering Mount Saint Mary's and Central Arkansas before dropping a disappointing loss to Penn State. The Hoyas lost that one by a score of 81-66, trailing for the whole game with a 42-34 score at halftime. In this loss, Turkish center Omer Yurtseven was a major bright spot as he has been all season. The seven-footer added 16 points and pulled in 10 rebounds. He averages a double-double through three games this season. Getting the ball to Yurtseven down low is imperative for the Hoyas who will have an advantage against the guard-heavy Panthers.

Like their opponents, Georgetown does not attempt a huge amount of threes, but they make 36 percent of the ones they do take. The difference is that Georgetown opponents shoot 38 percent from beyond the arc on far more attempts. To cover in this one, the Hoyas will need to make it a gritty battle around the rim. Led by Yurtseven, Georgetown has been dominant on the boards, racking in an average of 12.5 more rebounds than their opponents. They also tend to dominate the offensive boards with 39 rebounds on the offensive end to their opponent's 23. This was even the case in the loss to Penn State. The Hoyas picked up 13 offensive rebounds to 11 by Penn State. Second chances on the offensive end could be the difference in this one.

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As long as they can hold their own in the rebounding battle, Georgia State has a real chance to get the win here. They are consistent shooting from the outside and are up against a team that is not great at defending the three and gives up a ton of three-point attempts. If the Panthers can shoot as consistently as they have all season, their experience against high-level opposition will at least see them cover the spread.

Prediction: Georgia State +10.5

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With this kind of stylistic matchup, a low scoring game can be expected. Neither team particularly loves taking a ton of threes and a slower pace could be the result. Against Duke, Georgia State ended up in a slower game that was not very high-scoring. Of course Georgetown is not comparable to Duke these days, but another opponent in a top conference, more of the same should be in the cards.

Prediction: Under 151.5
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Written By Nick Cowie

Nick graduated with an environmental science degree and is a freelance writer, covering anything from fighting to forestry. He is a washed up swimmer and a sports and comedy enthusiast.