Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#857 Rider 158 vs.
#858 Arizona State -11.5
Sunday, November 17, 2019 at 6:00pm EST
Written by Daniel Benjamin



#857 Rider University
#858 Arizona State University


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The Arizona State Sun Devils conclude their short two-game homestand with a tilt against the Rider Broncs in the Air Force Reserve Basketball Hall of Fame Tip-Off- Campus Game. Both teams will advance to Springfield (Mass.) next week with ASU facing St. John's in the Naismith Bracket and Rider facing Columbia in Springfield Bracket.

The Sun Devils are playing its second game after returning from its 10-day China trip. Meanwhile, the Broncs are in the midst of a four-game road trip. This is the first time that the Broncs and Sun Devils have ever met.

Rider looking to get off to best start in more than 50 years

Rider is 2-0 to open the season for the first time since 2016-17. Rider, which has not played in over a week, has road victories over Coppin State and Delaware State. The Broncos have not been undefeated after their first three contests since the 1971-72 season. This is Game No. 3 of a four-game road trip for Rider, which still has to go to UMass.

The Broncs are a veteran team as they return four starters, including their top three scorers from a year ago. And all four returning players are off to great starts. 6-8 forward Frederick Scott (17 points, 8.5 rebounds), who is shooting 63.2% from the field, is the reigning MAAC Player of the Week. Scott is two double-doubles shy of matching his total for last season as he recorded 21 points and 13 rebounds against Delaware State. 6-9 center Tyere Marshall (16 points, eight rebounds), like Scott, has been a highly effective scorer with a scoring efficiency of 2.0 points per shot as he is shooting 86.7% (13-for-15) from the field.

Sun Devils work in progress

Arizona State evened up its record at 1-1 with a 90-49 shellacking of Central Connecticut State on Thursday. Despite holding the lead for 37 minutes and 37 seconds and limiting the Blue Devils to the fewest points since taking over the program, coach Bobby Hurley called his team a work in progress.

"I think we are a bit of a work in progress, that would be my best call here after tonight. Some bright spots, some things to be pleased about, and some others that we have to improve and get better."

ASU opened its season with a non-conference loss to Colorado (81-71) in China. Remy Martin (18.5 points, 5.5 assists, 5.5 rebounds) has been tremendous through the first two games scoring in double figures in both games. After taking a lead role against Colorado, he took a much more reserve approach versus CCSU. Senior Rob Edwards is also off to a strong start with two straight 20-point games. The 23 points that Edwards against CCSU and the 20 points he had versus Colorado are his second and third-highest scoring output as a member of the Sun Devils.

Freshman Jaelen House, who is the son of former Sun Devil great Eddie House, is third on the team in scoring at 10.5 points a game. Romello White grabbed 11 rebounds in his season debut against CCSU.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


I am taking ASU despite the Sun Devils laying 10 points, as I believe this contest will be very competitive and fun to watch. Arizona State has a slight edge in both Ken Pom's offensive and defensive rating, plus they are playing at home. Martin and Edwards are prime time players on the offensive end, but I believe the difference in this game will be ASU's defense as a result of the rim protection that Jalen Graham and White provide. Overall, the Sun Devils are holding opponents to 39.8% shooting from the field and 30.3% from beyond the arc. ASU is allowing less than a point per shot and forcing a turnover on 22.2% of their opponent's possessions. Speaking of turnovers,  Rider is nearly turning the ball over on 21% of their offensive possessions this year, with 44.7% of the turnovers being live ball miscues.  ASU is averaging 12 steals a game with Remy and Martin, each averaging 3.5 thefts a contest.

Prediction: Arizona State -10

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


Expect a high scoring affair between the Sun Devils and Broncs as the team's play at the 15th and the 16th fastest pace in the NCAA at 76 possessions a game, according to ASU is averaging 1.23 points per shot while Rider is averaging 1.41 points per shot. The Broncs have the 17th highest free throw rate in the nation at 46.7% as they are drawing 21 fouls a contest while the Sun Devils have the 70th highest rate at 39.2%, also drawing 21 fouls a game.  However, Arizona State is a considerably better foul shooting team at 74.5% compared to Rider at 66.1%. Both teams are making 7.5 three-pointers a game with Rider sinking those shots at a 38.5% clip.

Prediction: Over -158

Written By Daniel Benjamin

Daniel Benjamin is extremely passionate about sports particularly all things basketball. He loves crunching numbers and providing in-depth analysis. Prior to joining our staff here at Winners & Whiners and StatSalt, Daniel has written sports for a variety of outlets. He has covered the NBA, college basketball, NFL, college football, WNBA, soccer, and MLB since 2010.