Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#865 UT Arlington vs.
#866 Oregon
Sunday, November 17, 2019 at 8:00pm EST
Written by Chris Kubala



#865 University of Texas Arlington
#866 University of Oregon


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It’s a non-conference contest on the college hardwood when the Sun Belt locks up with the Pac-12 up in the Pacific Northwest. The UT Arlington Mavericks are on the road as they travel to face the #14 Oregon Ducks Sunday evening. UT Arlington was upended 80-73 on the road by Nevada Tuesday night in their last contest. Oregon turned back #13 Memphis 82-74 in the Phil Knight Invitational Tuesday night in their last game. This marks the first time that the two teams have met on the hardwood as Division I programs.

UT Arlington Mavericks Seek Bounceback Win

UT Arlington battled but ended up with their first loss of the season as they fell on the road to Nevada. The Mavericks look to earn a bounceback victory in their trip here to the Pacific Northwest against a good Oregon team. UT Arlington gave up an 11-0 run in the first half to trail by 10: they cut the deficit to three at halftime. The Mavericks’ last lead came at 43-42 three and a half minutes into the second half but gave up a 9-2 run to trail by six. UT Arlington got no closer than three the rest of the way. The Mavericks shot only 34.4 percent from the field, including 11 of 36 from three-point range, and clanked nine of 27 free throw attempts in the game. Radshad Davis led the way for UT Arlington with 14 points and 10 rebounds in the loss.

The Mavericks are 144th in scoring offense as they put up 76.7 points per game on the season. UT Arlington is 77th in rebounding with 42.3 boards a night and tied for 27th by dishing out 18 assists per game. The Mavericks are solid on the defensive end, ranking tied for 99th in the nation by allowing 63 points per game on the year. Jabari Narcis leads the team with 11 points plus eight rebounds per contest. TiAndre Jackson-Young chips in nine points plus 3.3 boards a contest while Jordan Phillips adds seven points a night. David Azore (10.3 points, 4.3 boards), Radshad Davis (11 points, 6.7 rebounds), Brian Warren and Sam Griffin each average at least seven points a night. UT Arlington shoots 41.2 percent from the field on the year. The Mavericks knock down an average of 11.7 three-pointers a night while sinking 32.7 percent from beyond the arc. UT Arlington is solid at the charity stripe as they cash in 70.7 percent of their attempts this season.

Oregon Ducks Shoot to Remain Unbeaten

Oregon ran their record to 3-0 as they took care of Memphis in the Phil Knight Invitational with a solid performance. The Ducks try to maintain their early-season success at home as they prepare to face UT Arlington in this contest. Oregon led by as many as 12 in the first half and held a six-point advantage at intermission. In the second half, the Ducks were down 49-48 just over four minutes into the second half before going on a 9-0 run to take the lead for good. Oregon didn’t see their lead drop below four the rest of the way. The Ducks shot 48.3 percent from the field, including nine of 23 from three-point range, to help overcome 18 turnovers and 12 missed free throws in the contest. Shakur Juiston led Oregon with 17 points and 10 rebounds in the win.

The Ducks are 34th in the nation in scoring offense as they average 86.3 points per game this season. Oregon is grabbing 39.3 boards a night (147th in the nation) while they are tied for 27th in assists by handing out 18 dimes a night. The Ducks are 184th in scoring defense as they allow 68.7 points per game. Payton Pritchard leads the team with 19 points, 5.7 rebounds and 6.7 assists per game this season. Anthony Mathis puts up 17 points a night, Shakur Juiston contributes 12.7 points, 6.3 rebounds plus 4.3 assists a night while Chris Duarte chips in 10 points a game. Francis Okoro, Will Richardson and Addison Patterson are solid secondary scorers. Oregon is shooting a solid 53.3 percent from the field as a team this season. The Ducks are draining 7.7 triples a night while shooting 41.8 percent from beyond the arc. Oregon is shooting a mediocre 65.7 percent from the free throw line as a team this season.

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UT Arlington hung tough against Nevada but ended up falling short on the road in their last contest. The Mavericks now have to deal with a ranked team in Oregon, who has plenty of offensive weapons and experience to lean on after last seasonโ€™s successful run. Pritchard leads the way for the Ducks and the addition of Juiston to the low post group is a big boost for the frontcourt group. Playing at home is a big bonus for Oregon at this point in this one. The Ducks have the upper hand in this contest as they run their mark to a perfect 4-0 by triumphing here.

Prediction: Oregon Ducks -16.5

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We've seen Oregon clicking offensively so far this season as they have put up at least 71 points in each of their three games. The Ducks had an impressive showing over Memphis in their last game, giving them an early marquee win to put on the resume. UT Arlington hung tough in their first two wins and had their chances against Nevada but was doomed by poor shooting. Facing a Ducks team that has been stingy against opposing teams this season is going to be a test for the Mavericks. Will UT Arlington be able to earn an upset win on the road against a ranked opponent here?

The under is 11-2 in the Mavericks' last 13 non-conference games and 11-4 in their last 15 against teams with a winning percentage above .600 on the year. Oregon has seen the under go 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400, 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 8-1-1 in their last 10 home games. Look for this one to end up falling short of the total as both teams are fairly good on the defensive end of the floor to leave the game below the total.

Prediction: Under 139

Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chrisโ€™ content daily.