Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#639 Nevada 145.5 vs.
#640 Davidson -9
Tuesday, November 19, 2019 at 7:00pm EST
Written by Adam Rauzino

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#639 University of Nevada Reno
#640 Davidson University
2-2
1-2
17-15-1
17-15-1
13-20
15-17-1
80
70
66
65

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The Davidson Wildcats will host the Nevada Wolf Pack in non-conference action Tuesday night from the John M. Belk Arena. The Wolf Pack dropped a 76-66 decision to USC this past weekend, and the Wildcats clobbered UNC Wilmington 87-49 in their latest action. These teams last met in 2017 in a game Nevada won at home by an 81-68 score.

Nevada Endures Tough Schedule

The Nevada Wolf Pack head into their first road game of the season in this one. The Wolfpack have already played a few challenging opponents this season. They lost to Utah in their home opener and are coming off a 76-66 home loss to USC in a game that had the Wolf Pack as four-point underdogs. Nevada’s shooting has been an issue early. Jazz Johnson leads the way with a stellar 19.5 PPG on a 43% clip from the field. The senior guard averaged 11 points last year, and he has reached 20 points twice this season.

Lindsey Drew opened the season on a roll with 54 points in his first two games and has since only scored 19 points in his last two games. The senior guard has great numbers through four games, registering an average of 18.3 PPG along with 7.3 RPB and six APG.

Jalen Harris is another good player that can do damage. The junior guard sat out last season after transferring over from L.A. Tech. Harris scored 24 points in a win against Texas-Arlington in the third game of the season.

The Wolf Pack are currently ranked 112th overall in Ken Pomeroy’s college basketball rankings, and they should be near the top of the MWC this season. Nevada is currently averaging 73 points, ranking them 182nd in the country. They are conceding an average of 73.8 points, placing them 262nd overall.

Davidson Ends Slide with First Win of Season

The Davidson Wildcats are seeking their second straight win. The Wildcats opened their season with two losses which included a defeat to a ranked Auburn team, and an upset loss to Charlotte. They took their frustration out on UNC Wilmington with a dominating 87-49 home win on Saturday. Kellan Grady has recovered from his slow start by scoring a combined 34 points in his last two games. The junior guard is a very talented player that averaged over 17 points last season. Grady is averaging 13.3 points on 44% shooting so far, but these numbers will increase.

The Wildcats feature another star player in Jon Axel Gudmundsson. The senior guard has shot over 50% in two straight games and he is logging 10 PPG and 6.3 RPG. Gudmundsson can do a little bit of everything and he averaged 7.3 rebounds last year. Luke Frampton is red-hot from deep, connecting on 9 of his 17 three-point attempts on the season. The sophomore guard is third in team scoring with 11.3 PPG.

The Wildcats are currently placed at 66th in the country in Ken Pomeroy’s college basketball rankings, and they have high expectations this season with a very talented roster. They had trouble offensively in their first two games and are averaging 70.3 points, ranking them down at 221st overall. Davidson is conceding an average of only 65.3 points, placing them 141st in the country.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I am siding with Davidson in this one. Nevada enters their first road game of the season against a very tough Davidson opponent. The Wildcats got back on track with a dominating 87-49 home win against UNC Wilmington in their latest action after losing their first two games. Davidson is a deep team that features most of their roster on a team that sported a 24-10 record last season.

Furthermore, Nevada is struggling in the offensive end which is not ideal up against a Davidson team that can pile on the points and go on big runs. The Wolfpack are shooting a poor 40.7% as a team. Also, the Wolfpack haven’t been sharp defensively either. They have allowed at least 73 points in three out of their four games, so I expect Davidson’s scoring depth to lead to the cover.

Prediction: Davidson Wildcats

Full-Game Total Pick

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I expect steady scoring in this one which will lead to the over. Davidson is a team full of depth. They have five players averaging double-digits in points and they are red-hot from deep, compiling a 39.5% clip from three-point range. 

In addition, Nevada has a set of players in Jazz Johnson and Lindsey Drew that take a ton of shots and both are enjoying a strong start. Johnson is averaging 19.5 points and Drew is up to 18.3 points. The over is 5-1 in the Wolf Pack last six games following a double-digit home loss and 7-2 in Davidson’s last nine games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game.

Prediction: Over

Full-Game Prop Bet

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The over on the Davidson team total offered on PointsBet is a good play. Davidson broke out of their little slump with 89 points in their home opener and I expect that momentum to carry into this one. The Wildcats have too many scoring threats all over the court. Four of Davidson’s top five scorers are all shooting over 53% from the field as well. 

Prediction: Davidson Team Total Over

Half-Time Total Bet

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I am going for the under on the halftime total. Davidson hasn’t been nearly as efficient in the first half compared to the second. They are averaging 32.7 points in the first and a  37.7 points in the second half. The same applies to Nevada who is up to an average of 38.8 points in the second half.

Prediction: Under
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Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.