Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#723 Arkansas State 139.5 vs.
#724 Colorado State -12
Wednesday, November 20, 2019 at 9:00pm EST
Written by Joshua Broom

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W/L
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O/U
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#723 Arkansas St University
#724 Colorado State University
4-1
3-1
11-19
15-15-1
14-15-1
16-15
73
74
77
75

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Sunbelt meets Mountain West Conference tonight as the Arkansas State Red Wolves visit Colorado State.

One season after finishing 13-19, behind third-year head coach Mike Balado, Arkansas State has surprised with a 4-1 start. The Red Wolves hold three-straight wins after being blown out by 2019 NCAA Tournament inclusion Ole Miss. Arkansas State’s most recent win came 82-68 on Nov. 17 vs. Idaho.

Meanwhile, after a 12-20 season, Colorado State has surprised as well, starting 2019 3-1. Second-year coach Niko Medved looks to bring the Rams respectability as he moves forward as a program architect. Colorado State’s most recent win came 74-64 on Nov. 16 vs. host Loyola Marymount.

The host Rams open tonight as -12.5 point favorites.

Arkansas State seeks continuity after fast start

After adding regarded grad transfer Jerry Johnson Jr. and returning a solid core, Arkansas State averages 68.2 ppg and holds opponents to 62.2 ppg.

The Red Wolves sport four double-figure scorers to complement a reliable nine-man rotation. Canberk Kus, J.J. Matthews, Marquis Eaton and Caleb Fields serve as Balado’s primary offense. Eaton added 22 points to highlight the Red Wolves’ recent 82-68 win over Idaho. Flanking Eaton that night was the trio of Kus (13), Matthew (19) and frosh Caleb Fields (13).

Before a growing CSU arena, Arkansas State will require offensive efficiency to overcome their underdog status. The Red Wolves lost their only home game played this year.

Colorado looks to cover tonight while rebuilding

Gradually declining since a 24-win 2017 campaign, last year’s leading rebounder Nico Carvacho is back and helping his Rams start fast. Carvacho is flanked by talented wings Isaiah Stevens, Kris Martin and Adam Thistlewood. The rebuilding Rams play an eight-man rotation after losing key performers from last season die to graduation or transfer.

To cap their most recent win Nov. 16, Rams standout Stevens led all scorers with 21 points. Teammates Carvacho (17 pts, seven rbs) and Martin (11) joined Stevens in double figures on a night offensive productivity and timely defense secured a 74-64 victory against the Lions.

Colorado State averages 70.8 ppg and allow 70.2 ppg. The Rams are 2-0 from home this season.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Given each teams’ personnel and recent circumstances, I feel Colorado State’s spread is too high for tonight’s contest. Perhaps being underestimated is why Arkansas State is 3-1 against the spread this season. Look for Kus, Matthews, Eaton and Fields to produce their first convincing road performance tonight and beat another spread. Carvacho aside, CSU is a bit overrated early on. Take the Red Wolves against the spread.

Prediction: Arkansas State ATS

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I’ll roll with the Under 138.5  tonight as neither team is offensively loaded. I feel Arkansas State and Colorado State offset one another’s strengths to the point a close, fairly low-scoring contest will prevail tonight. The Red Wolves’ standout defense will also limit CSU’s middling offense on the Rams’ home floor. These trends provided by Covers.com suggest strong Under action. The Under is 3-0-1 in Red Wolves last 4 road games. The Under is 5-1 in Rams last 6 home games. Take the Under.

Prediction: Under
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Written By Joshua Broom

A lifelong sports enthusiast, Joshua Broom has lent his thirty-plus years of insight to several sports outlets and has appeared on national radio to talk hoops. Now a dedicated handicapper, Joshua avidly critiques NBA, MLB and college and professional basketball and football trends for the betting public. Check out his picks today at Stat Salt to get a leg up on your bookie.