Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#735 San Diego State -7.5 vs.
#736 San Diego 129.5
Wednesday, November 20, 2019 at 11:00pm EST
Written by Scott Reichel

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#735 San Diego State University
#736 University of San Diego
3-0
2-3
17-15-1
18-17
9-23-1
11-23-1
71
71
67
68

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This Wednesday, there is an NCAAB matchup between the San Diego State Aztecs and the San Diego Toreros. This will be the first meeting between these teams this season and it will take place at the Jenny Craig Pavilion.

Aztecs Look To Stay Undefeated

The San Diego State Aztecs have looked incredible up to this point in the regular season. The Aztecs have won each of their first three games of the season including a blowout home victory against Grand Canyon in their last game. In that game, San Diego State's defense was great as it only allowed 61 points while forcing the opposition to shoot just 22.4% from the three-point line. San Diego State is only giving up 58.0 points per game this season as teams have found it almost impossible to score against the Aztecs on a regular basis. Now, the Aztecs will look to continue playing solid defense with the hopes of keeping its undefeated record intact.

Leading the Aztecs offensively is junior guard Malachi Flynnwho has been great so far this season. He is averaging a team-high 15.3 points per game along with 6.3 assists. In addition, he has also been great defensively as he is averaging a team-high 1.7 steals per game. Now, Flynn will look to continue dominating on both sides of the ball against an instate rival on the road.

San Diego State's most underrated player is sophomore forward Nathan Mensah who has been extremely solid this season. He is averaging 8.7 points per game along with a team-high 10.3 rebounds in just 20.3 minutes of action. In addition, he has also been extremely efficient from the floor as he is shooting 70.6% from the floor. Mensah has been vital to the undefeated start to San Diego State's season and he will look to continue playing well.

San Diego Looks To Get Back To .500

The San Diego Toreros have looked a bit underwhelming so far this season. The Toreros currently have a losing record through five games including an 18 point loss against Colorado on the road in their last game. In that game, San Diego's offense was awful as it scored just 53 points while shooting 34.5% from the floor. Now, San Diego will look to get back on track offensively with its home crowd behind it. However, the Toreros are just 1-1 at home this season so one has to wonder just how much better they will realistically play at home. With a great defensive team up next, San Diego will need to find a way to shoot the ball more efficiently from the floor.

Leading the Toreros offensively is sophomore guard Joey Calcaterra who has been solid so far this season. He is averaging a team-high 16.8 points per game along with 2.8 rebounds and 2.6 assists. In addition, he has also been extremely efficient from the floor as he is shooting 41.4% from the three-point line. Now, Calcaterra will have to face an elite defensive team as he will look to continue his hot shooting from the perimeter.

San Diego's most underrated player is junior forward James Jean-Mariewho has been good so far this season. He is averaging 8.6 points per game along with 8.4 rebounds which is the most on the roster. In addition, he is also shooting 45.5% from the three-point line as he has proven that he can hit that outside shot repeatedly when he needs to. Look for him to continue trusting his shot on Wednesday.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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San Diego State is an extremely underrated team and it should be able to take care of business once again on the road. San Diego State has one of the best statistical defenses in the country up to this point and it is also averaging 13.5 more points per game in comparison to San Diego so I think there is a clear mismatch in this game. Plus, the Aztecs have an insane rebounding edge in this game as they are averaging 14.7 more rebounds per game than the Toreros so I think that the Aztecs should get a ton of second chance points as a result. Give me the road team.

Prediction: San Diego State

Full-Game Total Pick

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San Diego's offense has left a lot to be desired up to this point in the season and I expect it to continue struggling against an elite defensive team on Wednesday. San Diego State is only allowing 58.0 points per game so I would be shocked to see San Diego score more than 62 in this game. At the same time, San Diego's defense is only giving up 68.6 points per game so I think that it should be able to limit San Diego State's offense for the majority of this game. This total is low but not low enough so I have to take the under at this number.

Prediction: Under

Half-Time Side Pick

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San Diego State has been rolling so far this season and I think that San Diego does not have enough offensive weapons to keep this game close in the first half. The Aztecs are still undefeated while the Toreros still have a losing record and I think that this game is just too much of a mismatch for home court to truly matter. San Diego State is the better team on offense and defense and I think that San Diego will be in danger of getting run out of its own gym as soon as the opening tip takes place. Give me the road team.

Prediction: San Diego State 1H
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Written By Scott Reichel

Scott Reichel is a University of Wisconsin-Madison graduate with an insane passion for sports. His commitment to endlessly researching statistics helps separate him from other handicappers with regard to MLB, NBA, NCAAB, NCAAF, NHL and NFL coverage. Scott also shares his passion for sports on StatSalt's YouTube page where he does a daily show called Scott's Selections.