Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#727 Texas State 130.5 vs.
#728 UNLV -4
Wednesday, November 20, 2019 at 10:00pm EST
Written by Scott Reichel



#727 Texas State University
#728 University of Nevada, Las Vegas


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This Wednesday, there is an NCAAB matchup between the Texas State Bobcats and the UNLV Rebels. This will be the first meeting between these teams this season and it will take place at the Thomas & Mack Center.

Texas State Looks For First Road Win

The Texas State Bobcats have looked pretty good up to this point in the regular season. The Bobcats have three of their first five games of the season including a 15 home victory against Jackson State in their last game. In that game, Texas State's defense was great as it only allowed 58 points while forcing the opposition to shoot just 36.2% from the floor. However, Texas State has struggled on the road this season as it is currently winless through two road games. Now, Texas State will look for its first road win of the season against UNLV on Wednesday. If the Bobcats can continue to play lockdown defense in this game, they should be able to break the seal and move to a 4-2 record.

Leading the Bobcats offensively is senior guard Nijal Pearsonwho has been great so far this season. He is averaging a team-high 17.8 points per game along with 4.0 rebounds. In addition, he has also been efficient from downtown as he is shooting 40.0% from the three-point line. Now, Pearson will look to bounce back after scoring just 13 points in his last game.

Texas State's most underrated player is junior forward Isiah Small who has been extremely solid this season. He is averaging 9.4 points per game along with a team-high 8.8 rebounds in just 24.2 minutes of action. In addition, he also enters this game in great form as he scored a team-high 20 points on 85.7% shooting from the floor against Jackson State. Now, he will look to continue playing well in this game.

UNLV Looks To Get Back To .500

The UNLV Mavericks have looked a bit underwhelming up to this point in the season. The Rebels have lost three of its first five games despite winning its last game against Abilene Christian by 14 points. In that game, UNLV's defense was great as it allowed just 58 points on just 37.3% shooting from the floor. However, Texas State is significantly better than Abilene Christian so one can expect UNLV's defense to struggle a bit more in this game. UNLV could easily be 4-1 instead of 2-3 if it managed to avoid consecutive overtime losses to Kansas State and California but that is in the past. Now, the Rebels will need to just take it one game at a time if they plan on getting back to a .500 record.

Leading the Rebels offensively is junior guard Amauri Hardywho has looked good this season. He is averaging a team-high 19.0 points per game along with 3.4 rebounds and 3.0 assists. In addition, Hardy is shooting 48.1% from the floor and 41.9% from the three-point line as he will look to continue shooting well on Wednesday. However, Hardy has struggled with his ball security up to this point as he is averaging 3.0 turnovers per game.

UNLV's most underrated player is junior center Cheikh Mbacke Diong who has looked great this season. He is currently averaging 7.2 points per game along with a team-high 10.6 rebounds. In addition, Diong has been elite defensively as he is leading the team with 2.2 blocks and 1.2 steals per game. Diong is the defensive anchor of this squad and he will need to stay out of foul trouble if UNLV plans on stopping Texas State's offense for all 40 minutes.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


Even though this is a road game for Texas State, I still think that it is the better team in this matchup as UNLV has looked like a below-average team up to this point. Texas State has the better offense and defense in this game while also averaging 1.8 more rebounds per game so I do not see an area that UNLV has an advantage in for Wednesday's game. Until UNLV pieces their roster together in such a way to improve upon its current flaws, then I cannot back the Rebels. I think this game will be close throughout but give me the road team.

Prediction: Texas State

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


Both teams have been playing solid defense up to this point so I have to take the under in this game. Texas State is only allowing 60.2 points per game while UNLV is allowing 67.8 points per game so I think that neither of these teams should break 70 points in regulation. Plus, both teams operate at two of the slowest paces in all of college basketball so I do not expect to see many opportunities in transition during this game. This game should end in the low-120s so I think that this total is too high. Give me the under.

Prediction: Under

Half-Time Side Pick

Insiders Status:


Texas State has only trailed after the first half in one game this season and that was the season opener so the Bobcats have done a great job at remaining competitive in the first 20 minutes of their games up to this point. Plus, UNLV has struggled a lot with its offense up to this point so I expect it to continue struggling against Texas State's extremely underrated defense for at least the first 20 minutes on Wednesday. Plus, Texas State has the superior offense in terms of points per game and field goal percentage so I think that the Bobcats should be able to cover this spread. Give me the road team.

Prediction: Texas State 1H

Written By Scott Reichel

Scott Reichel is a University of Wisconsin-Madison graduate with an insane passion for sports. His commitment to endlessly researching statistics helps separate him from other handicappers with regard to MLB, NBA, NCAAB, NCAAF, NHL and NFL coverage. Scott also shares his passion for sports on StatSalt's YouTube page where he does a daily show called Scott's Selections.