Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#639 Florida State (FSU) vs.
#640 Siena College
Thursday, November 24, 2022 at 11:00am EST
Written by Kevin V.

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The Florida State Seminoles (1-4, 0-0 ACC) play an early game on Thursday at 11:00 a.m. in Kissimmee, Florida at the State Farm Fieldhouse in the ESPN Events Invitational against the Siena Saints (2-2, 0-0 MAAC). Florida State opened the season with four consecutive losses but defeated the Mercer Bears 81-72 on Monday behind 23 points from Cam’Ron Fletcher. Siena opened the season with two consecutive victories but has lost each of the last two including a 69-59 loss to Harvard on Sunday. Florida State is without Jeremy Bembry, Jaylan Gainey and Baba Miller. Siena’s Killian Gribben is questionable.

Florida State's defense must improve

It's not surprising that Florida State is 1-4 through the first five games of the season as the Seminoles are allowing an average of 75.6 points per game. Florida State allows a field goal shooting percentage of 41.6% and a three-point shooting percentage of 37.7%. The Seminoles are allowing an average of 35.0 rebounds per game, while averaging 32.6 boards per contest. Cam’Ron Fletcher is the leading rebounder for Florida State with an average of 7.8 boards per contest. Caleb Mills is the leader in steals with an average of 2.2 per game and Naheem McLeod is the leader in blocked shots with an average of 1.8 per contest.

 

Florida State's offense is scoring an average of only 69.6 points per game while shooting 43.6% overall and 37.3% from behind the three-point line. Darin Green Jr. is the leading scorer for Florida State with an average of 13.6 points per game but is shooting only 44.4% overall with an above-average 50.0% from behind the three-point line. Mills is the second leading scorer with an average of 13.0 points per game but shoots just 40.4% overall and 28.6% from long range. Jalen Warley is the leader in assists with an average of 3.6 dishes per contest. FSU is averaging 12.8 turnovers per game.

Siena is giving up too much on defense

The Siena Saints are allowing an average of 73.8 points per game. Opponents are shooting 51.8% overall and 32.2% from behind the three-point line. Siena allows an average of 27.3 rebounds per game while the Saints are averaging 36.0 boards per contest. Michael Baer is averaging a team-best 6.2 rebounds per game. Andrew Plateck is the leader in steals with an average of 1.0 per game and Jackson Stormo averages a high best 0.7 blocked shots per contest.

Siena’s strength is on offense, as the Saints are scoring an average of 75.8 points per game. Siena is shooting 47.8% overall and 41.5% from three-point territory which is 21st in the country. Javian McCollum is the leading scorer for Siena with an average of 15.8 points per game. McCollum is shooting 50.0% overall and 41.2% from long range. Andrew Platek is second in scoring with an average of 14.5 points per game and shoots 53.8% overall and 50.0% from behind the line. McCollum is the dish leader for Siena with an average of 4.5 assists per game. Siena is committing an average of 16.0 turnovers per contest.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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Florida State has started the season poorly, but the Seminoles are coming off a victory over Mercer and will use their strength on offense to beat Siena on Thursday. Florida State has a balanced attack on offense with four players averaging between 11.2 points and 13.6 points per game with each of the four players averaging 40.4% shooting or higher. FSU will play against a Siena defense that is allowing an average of 73.8 points per game and opponents are shooting 51.8% overall against the Saints. Florida State’s superior speed, size and athleticism will make a big difference as the Seminoles will overpower the Saints on the boards. FSU will gradually wear down the Saints' defense and walk away with a double-digit victory.

Prediction: Florida State Seminoles -8.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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The total has finished over in 3 of Florida State's first five games to open the regular season. The Seminoles are allowing an average of 75.6 points per game. The total has finished over in 3 of Siena’s first four games and the Saints are allowing an average of 73.8 points per game and scoring even more at a rate of 75.8 points per game. Siena allows its opponents to shoot 51.8% overall.

Prediction: OVER 141
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Written By Kevin Vallego , "Kevin V."

Kevin grew up in a sports-only household. Every afternoon was set to watching any sport that was on T.V. After years of watching sports he got introduced to the betting world, and soon stats, trends, and odds were Kevin's best friends. Now, almost 2 decades later, His life revolves around sports, writing about them, and betting on them. We are glad to have Kevin on our Winners & Whiners & StatSalt teams and you should be happy that we have him as well.