Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#643 Ole Miss vs.
#644 Stanford
Thursday, November 24, 2022 at 1:30pm EST
Written by Kevin V.

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The Ole Miss Rebels (4-0, 0-0 SEC) play the Stanford Cardinal (2-2, 0-0 Pac-12) on Thursday in the opening round of the ESPN Events Invitational in Kissimmee, Florida at the State Farm Fieldhouse. Ole Miss has opened the season with four consecutive victories with the most recent a 72-68 win over UT Martin last Friday. Stanford is coming off an 80-43 victory over Cal Poly last Friday. Stanford opened a 19-0 lead at the start of the game and never looked back. Daeshun Ruffin is questionable on Thursday for Ole Miss. Stanford does not have any players listed on its injury report.

Ole Miss is off to a strong start on defense

The Ole Miss Rebels are allowing an average of 62.8 points per game which is 78th in the nation. Ole Miss allows a field goal shooting percentage of 40.0% and a three-point shooting percentage of 38.1%. The Rebels are allowing an average of just 26.8 rebounds per game while averaging 42.0 rebounds per contest. The king of the boards is Robert Allen with an average of 5.8 rebounds per game. Myles Burns is the leader in steals with an average of 3.2 per game and Theo Akwuba is the leader in blocked shots with an average of 1.5 swats per game.

 

Ole Miss is scoring an average of 73.8 points per game, while shooting 44.2% overall and 34.9% from behind the line. Matthew Murrell is the leading scorer for Ole Miss with an average of 17.8 points per game. Murrell is shooting 41.0% overall and 38.9% from long range. Robert Allen is the second leading scorer with an average of 9.3 points per game and is shooting 50.0% overall but has missed each of his three, 3-point attempts. Murrell is the leader in assists with an average of 3.2 dishes per contest. Old Miss is averaging 14.5 turnovers per contest.

Stanford’s key to success is its defense

Stanford has a tough defense that is allowing an average of 63.8 points per game which is 88th in the nation. Opponents have a field goal shooting percentage of 40.0% and a three-point shooting percentage of 31.9% against the Cardinal defense. Stanford is allowing an average of 26.3 rebounds per game while averaging 37.0 rebounds per game. Harrison Ingram is the leading rebounder for Stanford with an average of 5.5 boards per contest. Michael O'Connell is the leader in steals with an average of 1.5 per game and Spencer Jones is the swat leader with an average of 2.3 blocked shots per contest.

Stanford is scoring an average of 70.0 points per game. The Cardinal are shooting 46.6% overall and 31.8% from long range. Michael Jones is the leading scorer with an average of 13.8 points per game and is shooting 50.0% overall and 37.5% from behind the line. Spencer Jones is the second leading scorer with an average of 11.0 points per game but is shooting only 33.3% overall and 23.5% from long distance. Ingram is the leader in assists with an average of 4.2 dishes per contest. Stanford averages too many turnovers at a rate of 15.5 per contest.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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Ole Miss is holding opponents to 40.0% shooting overall which is 117th in the nation and 62.8 points per game, while at the same time the Rebels are averaging 11.0 points more per game at 73.8. Stanford struggles against opponents from the SEC, failing to cover the number in eight of the last 11 in that situation. Mississippi is fifth in the nation in offensive rebounds, averaging 14.3 off the offensive glass each game, giving the Rebels plenty of second-look opportunities. Stanford is far down the list in offensive rebounding at 211th, averaging 8.0 offensive rebounds per game. Ole Miss has the 67th best defensive efficiency at 0.896 while Stanford is 86th at 0.915.

Prediction: Ole Miss Rebels +0.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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The total has finished under in each of Stanford's last three games as the Cardinal are scoring an average of just 70.0 points per game and allowing an average of 63.8 points per game. The total has finished under in each of the last six games that Ole Miss has played on the road on a Thursday. The Ole Miss offensive efficiency is just 1.054 which is 92nd and the Stanford offensive efficiency is 148th at 1.005.

Prediction: UNDER 131
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Written By Kevin Vallego , "Kevin V."

Kevin grew up in a sports-only household. Every afternoon was set to watching any sport that was on T.V. After years of watching sports he got introduced to the betting world, and soon stats, trends, and odds were Kevin's best friends. Now, almost 2 decades later, His life revolves around sports, writing about them, and betting on them. We are glad to have Kevin on our Winners & Whiners & StatSalt teams and you should be happy that we have him as well.