Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#805 Maryland vs.
#806 Richmond
Thursday, November 25, 2021 at 7:00pm EST
Written by David Delano

The Richmond Spiders (3-2) will take on the Maryland Terrapins (4-1) from the Bahamas Championship on Thanksgiving Day. Maryland last played on Friday, November 19, and beat Hofstra 69-67. Richmond beat Hofstra 81-68 on Monday.

Maryland winning, but struggling to cover

The Maryland Terrapins are coming off of a 17-14 overall and 9-11 season in the Big Ten. Maryland was selected fifth in the conference preseason poll. The Terrapins opened the season with three straight wins taking down Quinnipiac, George Washington, and Vermont. They suffered their first loss last Wednesday, 71-66 to George Mason but bounced back with a tight win over Hofstra last Friday.

Despite the four straight-up wins, Maryland has only covered the spread in one game this season when they beat Vermont 68-57 as a 9.5 point favorite. The Terrapins have three double-digit scorers led by 6'5 senior Eric Ayala with 15.5 ppg and 4.4 rebounds and 5'11 senior Fatts Russell with 12.8 ppg and 3.4 assists. Ayala is in his fourth year with Maryland, while Russell is a transfer from Rhode Island.

Spiders look to stay above .500

The Richmond Spiders went 14-9 last season and 6-5 in the Atlantic 10. The hopes are high for this season as Richmond was selected second behind St. Bonaventure in the Preseason Poll. The Spiders have two All-Conference first-team selections in 5'9 guard Jacob Gilyard and 6'10 forward Grant Golden. Tyler Burton, a 6'7 forward, was named to the second team.

The Spiders 3-2 record is the same against the spread this season. Before beating Hofstra in their last game, Richmond has wins over NC Central, Utah State, and Georgia State. The lone loss came 73-70 to Drake last Saturday. The lead trio has delivered as expected. Burton has been the top player so far, averaging 19.8 points and 7.4 rebounds per game, followed by Golden with 17.6points and 7.2 rebounds per game. Gilyard is averaging 11 ppg and a team-best 5.8 assists.

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Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Maryland is the bigger name here but Richmond has played a little better so far seeing that they have faced strong competition. The Terppains are 41st overall according to KenPom, 49th in adjusted offensive efficiency, and 42nd in adjusted defensive efficiency. The Spiders are 63rd overall, 34th in adjusted offensive efficiency, and 114th on the defensive end. The schedule for Richmond however is rated 141st compared to Maryland's strength of schedule that is only 274th. Maryland is coming off a tough two-point win over Hofstra, but Richmond was able to flex its muscles a bit by handling Hofstra by double digits the last time out. Richmond is also shooting far better than Maryland this season. The Spiders are shooting 48.1% from the floor and 40.6% from three-point range, compared to the Terpps who are only making 42% of their shots from the floor and 25.4% of their threes. I will take the Spiders in this game

Prediction: Richmond Spiders +1

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Both teams play at a relatively slow pace but are excelling in offensive efficiency. Richmond has scored at least 70 points in all five games this season and averaged 77.8 ppg. Maryland has not been held below 66 points yet and averaged 71.4 ppg. I think the oddsmakers are very close on the total here, but I recommend taking the over.

Prediction: Over 139
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Written By David Marotta , "David Delano"

David Delano is a Bowling Green State University graduate with a passion for sports, traveling, and music. David loves to handicap MLB, NFL, NCAAF, NCAAB, NBA, WNBA, and is also a big fan of boxing and track and field. Over the years, David has worn several hats in the sports world, from being behind the camera to writing, filming, editing, scouting, and coaching, along with servicing his clients as a sports handicapper.  He is also an expert sports bettor. We are glad to have David on our Winners & Whiners team, and we recommend that you follow along with him every day. 

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