Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#677 William & Mary vs.
#678 Pittsburgh
Friday, November 25, 2022 at 7:00pm EST
Written by Adam Rauzino

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The William & Mary Tribe (3-3, 3-2 ATS, 1-4 O/U) battle the Pittsburgh Panthers (3-3, 2-3-1 ATS, 3-3 O/U) in non-conference play on Friday evening. The Tribe defeated Radford on Wednesday. The Panthers earned a blowout home win against Fairleigh Dickinson on Tuesday night.

William & Mary Eye Third Straight Win

The William & Mary Tribe are eying a third straight victory. They had recently lost two in a row, losing to Virginia Tech by a 94-77 score and a loss against American. The Tribe posted a small upset in a 76-67 win against Army and were 3.5 point dogs in a decisive 60-51 home win against Radford on Wednesday. The Tribe has covered the spread in three out of their last four games.

Gabe Dorsey is deadly from three-point range. The sophomore guard has shot at least 50% from deep in four out of his last five games. Dorsey is averaging 11.3 PPG and is shooting 51% from beyond the arc. Ben Wright scored 21 points in the win against Army. The junior forward was one of the Tribe’s best players last year and is thriving, registering an average of 10.7 PPG and 5.3 RPG. Noah Collier has one double-double this season and has nearly collected three. The junior forward posted 10 points and nine boards on Wednesday and has logged an average of 9.7 PPG and 7.7 RPG.

The Tribe are ranked 311th in the country in Ken Pomeroy’s ratings and are 0-2 in their two road games including the loss to VA Tech. The William & Mary offensive play has been encouraging so far. They have amassed a stellar 42% mark from beyond the arc and are averaging 75.7 points, good for 145th. They are allowing an average of 66.2 points, placing them 125th in DI.

Pittsburgh Looks to Climb above .500 Mark

The Pittsburgh Panthers are seeking a third consecutive victory. It’s been an interesting season already. They recently lost three in a row, dropping games against challenging foes in WVU, Michigan, and VCU, and rebounded by defeating Alabama State and were 13-point favorites in an 80-65 win against Fairleigh Dickinson on Tuesday. The Panthers have covered just twice all season.

Blake Hinson has been stellar with his new squad. The junior forward played with Ole Miss and is producing, sinking at least 21 points on two occasions, and is sporting an average of 15.8 PPG and 5.8 RPG. Jamarius Burton is consistently scoring, recording double-digits in each game. The senior guard was one of Pittsburgh’s best players last year and has posted an average of 14.4 PPG on 55% shooting along with 6.2 RPG. Greg Elliot is attempting several threes but isn’t having a lot of success. The senior guard has logged an average of 9 PPG on 33% shooting from deep.

The Panthers are ranked 121st in DI in Ken Pomeroy’s college basketball ratings and are not a contender in the ACC. They have played several home games, recording a 3-1 mark at home including a loss to WVU. Pittsburgh has not fared particularly well offensively, averaging 69.8 points, landing them 251st. They are conceding an average of 69.3 points, placing them 199th. 

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Full-Game Side Bet

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The William & Mary Tribe are used to being the big dog. They have been labeled a dog in every game. They covered against Virginia Tech and were also the dog in outright wins against Army and Radford in their last two games. Pittsburgh has only covered twice all season and has won just two out of their last five games.

Furthermore, the Tribe continues to have success from three-point land. They rank 13th in all of DI with a dazzling 42.2% efficiency from deep. Pittsburgh can be solved from beyond the arc, ranking 130th in three-point defense. The Panthers have not been very threatening offensively. They are shooting an abysmal 28.1% from deep and are only averaging 5.6 more points per 100 possessions than the Tribe, making this spread more than reasonable. 

Prediction: William & Mary Tribe +15

Full-Game Total Pick

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I am opting for the over. William & Mary are generating points. They scored a remarkable 77 against Virginia Tech and 76 points against Army. They can quickly score because of their three-point shooting which continues to shine. Their scoring leader Gabe Dorsey is sporting a 51.4% efficiency from beyond the arc.

In addition, the Pittsburgh offense has been productive against inferior foes. They scored 73 points against Alabama State and 83 against Farleigh Dickson in their last two games. The Tribe are a poor defensive team that ranks 334th in adjusted defensive efficiency.

Prediction: Over 135

Written By Adam Rauzino , "Adam Rauzino"

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball, and football. He enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and being an expert sports bettor. Prior to bringing his talents here to Winners and Whiners, Adam graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance. You would do yourself a huge favor by following Adam on a daily basis.