Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#6205 Dayton vs.
#6206 Kansas
Friday, November 26, 2021 at 1:30pm EST
Written by Chris King

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It’s a semifinal matchup on the college hardwood in the Sunshine State as the Atlantic 10 takes on the Big 12 in the ESPN Events Invitational. The Dayton Flyers are the “road” team as they take on the #4 Kansas Jayhawks Friday afternoon. Dayton comes in off a 76-60 victory over Miami in their first-round matchup Thursday afternoon. Kansas knocked off North Texas 71-59 in their first-round matchup Thursday afternoon to advance. The Jayhawks have won two of the three previous meetings between the teams, including a 90-84 overtime triumph at home in the most recent matchup on November 27, 2019.

Dayton Flyers Look to Punch Ticket to Title Game

Dayton took control of the game midway through the first half and never let Miami in striking distance the rest of the way. The Flyers improved to 2-3 on the season as they snapped a three-game slide and now look to even their record on the season. Against Miami, Dayton trailed by two before going on a 9-0 run to take a 20-13 lead with 7:27 to go in the opening half. The Flyers led by 11 at the half and never let the Hurricanes closer than five the rest of the way en route to the victory. Dayton shot a sizzling 58.7% from the field, including knocking down 11 of 19 from three-point range and overcame 16 turnovers in the win. Daron Holmes II led the Flyers with 15 points in the victory.

The Flyers come into this contest putting up 67.6 points per game, which is 260th in the nation, on the season. Dayton pulls down 31.8 rebounds per contest and hands out 11.4 assists per game on the year. The Flyers are 160th in scoring defense as they give up an average of 67.6 points per game. Toumani Camara is one of two players averaging in double figures as he averages 10.2 points plus seven rebounds per contest. Elijah Weaver (10.2 points), Daron Holmes II, Kobe Elvis, Koby Brea, Malachi Smith, R.J. Blakney, Mustapha Amzil, Lynn Greer and Moulaye Sissoko are important role players for coach Anthony Grant. Dayton shoots 46.3% from the field as a team on the year. The Flyers sink 5.8 three-pointers a game while shooting a rough 29.6% from beyond the arc. Dayton is shooting a below-average 70.9% at the free-throw line this season.

Kansas Jayhawks Seek to Remain Unbeaten

Kansas had a little tougher than expected challenge in their first-round matchup against North Texas but took care of business to remain unbeaten on the year. The Jayhawks improved to 4-0 and look to punch their ticket to the championship game here. Kansas was even at three in the early minutes of the game before reeling off a 15-2 run to take an 18-5 advantage. The Jayhawks saw the Mean Green get within six late in the first half but that proved to be as close as they would get. Kansas maintained their control to earn the victory. The Jayhawks shot an even 51% from the floor, including six of 14 from beyond the arc, and held a 33-29 advantage on the glass. Ochai Agbaji led Kansas with 18 points in the win.

The Jayhawks are averaging a solid 83.5 points per game this season, putting them 37th in the nation in scoring offense. Kansas collects 35 rebounds per contest and dishes out 18.3 assists a night. The Jayhawks are 96th in scoring defense as they allow 63.5 points per contest this season. Ochai Agbaji is one of two Jayhawks in double figures as he puts up 24.3 points plus 3.5 rebounds per game. Christian Braun (12 points, seven rebounds) is one of two other players averaging in double figures this season. Remy Martin (11 points), David McCormack, Jalen Coleman-Lands, Zach Clemence, Bobby Pettiford, Mitch Lightfoot, Dajuan Harris and Joseph Yesufu all have to contribute on the offensive end of the floor. The Jayhawks shoot 51.9% from the field as a team this season. Kansas knocks down 7.8 three-pointers a night while sinking 39.2% from beyond the arc. The Jayhawks are average at the free throw line as they convert 72.9% so far this season.

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Dayton had a hot afternoon from the perimeter against Miami in the opening round but they are still shooting less than 30% from beyond the arc on the season. The Flyers now have to contend with a very good Kansas team that is starting to get their rotation in order as Martin is starting to jell with Agbaji and company. Kansas is coming off their season-low in points in the win over North Texas but they are facing a Dayton team that is only slightly above average on the defensive end of the floor as opposed to an elite one like the Mean Green. Look for the Jayhawks to take care of business in this contest as they punch their ticket to the title game.

Prediction: Kansas Jayhawks

Full-Game Total Pick

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Dayton comes in having seen the over hit in three of their five games on the season after the win over Miami. The Flyers have gone over the mark in each of their last three games, including a combined 136 points against a 134.5-point number in the win over Miami. Kansas has seen the over hit in three of their four games with the lone under coming in the win over North Texas. Even that game was close to the mark as they combined for 130 points against a number of 131 points. With the explosive offense that Kansas brings to the table, you have to think that the potential for a good offensive night is there. This one winds up over the mark.

Prediction: Over

Written By Chris King , "Chris King"

Chris King has been immersed in the world of professional and collegiate sports for more than three decades. Whether it's playing pickup games or being involved in organized sports to being a fan, he's checked all the boxes. From the NFL to arena football, the NHL to the KHL, the NBA to the WNBA to college hoops, and even MLB to the KBO.  If it's out there, he's covered it and bet on it as well, as Chris has been an expert bettor in his career.  Before joining Winners and Whiners back in 2015, his work appeared around the internet and in print. He's written books for Ruckus Books about college basketball, the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, golf, and the World Cup. If you're looking for the inside track on hitting a winner, do yourself a favor and read what Chris has to say.