On Friday afternoon, the Purdue Boilermakers (5-0) will host the Omaha Mavericks (1-4). Purdue is 3-0 at home this season, and overall is 4-1 against the spread. The Mavericks are 2-2 ATS overall and 0-4 straight-up in road games.
Omaha coming off a 56 point lossThe 2020-21 season was rough for Omaha. The Mavericks finished with a 5-20 record. The team faced a lot of unfortunate circumstances due to COVID-19 and injuries and lost 18 of their first 20 games. This season hasn't started much better. After winning the opening game 67-57 win over Hastings Collge, an NAIA opponent, the Mavericks have lost their last four games, with the last three losses coming by double-digits.
Omaha was no contest for Texas Tech on Tuesday in a 96-40 loss.Frankie Fidler, a 6'7 freshman, and Dylan Brougham, a 6'9 sophomore, both led the team with seven points in the loss. Omaha only managed to make 13 field goals in the game, shooting 26.5% from the floor.
Purdue one of the nation's best all aroundPurdue went 18-10 last season and advanced to the NCAA Tournament as a No. 4 seed, with the season-ending with a 78-69 first-round upset loss in overtime to North Texas. Expectations are incredibly high for the Purdue Boilermakers this season, with all five starters back. They came in with+1400 odds to win the 2021-22 NCAAChampionship, which ties them for the fifth-best odds, behind only Gonzaga, Michigan, UCLA, and Villanova.
Boilermakers in the NCAA ranks.— Purdue Mens Basketball (@BoilerBall) November 24, 2021
4️⃣: Scoring Offense
8️⃣: Field Goal Percentage
8️⃣: Rebound Margin
1️⃣7️⃣: 3-Point Percentage
1️⃣7️⃣: Assists Per Game
1️⃣9️⃣: 3-Pointers Per Game
2️⃣3️⃣: Scoring Margin
2️⃣7️⃣: Assist/Turnover Ratio pic.twitter.com/17IP01be4Z
Purdue is ranked No. 3 in the nation after opening up the season with five straight wins. According to KenPom, Purdue is rated second in adjusted offensive efficiency and 36th in adjusted defensive efficiency. They already have two marquee wins on their resume, defeating No. 18 North Carolina 93-84 and No. 5 Villanova 80-74 in the last two games.
Four Purdue players are averaging double-digits in scoring, led by 7'4 sophomore Zach Edey (17.2 ppg, 8.0 rebs) and 6'4 sophomore Jaden Ivey (15.6 ppg, 7.2 rebs).
Best Bets for this Game
Full-Game Side Bet
It'd be hard to find a bigger matchup between two Division I basketball teams. Purdue is coming off of back-to-back wins against two teams ranked in the top-20, and Omaha is coming off of 21 points loss to Montana and a 56 points loss to Texas Tech. According to KenPom, Purdue is rated as the No. 3 team overall, and Omaha is 326th amongst 358 teams. The Boilermakers will likely play their entire team in this game and can win it by as many points as they want. Even though Purdue may call off the hounds early, there's nothing about Omaha that gives me confidence in backing them. Take Purdue regardless of high the spread is.
Full-Game Total Pick
As good as Purdue has played defensively, they have the offensive firepower to do the heavy lifting towards the total each time they step on the floor. The Boilermakers are averaging 91.4 ppg and allowing 68.8 ppg, and four of the first five Purdue games have gone over the total. I expect to see Purdue empty its bench late in the second half, allowing Omaha to add some buckets as the game becomes looser. Take the over.