Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#849 Detroit vs.
#850 Hofstra
Saturday, November 27, 2021 at 2:00pm EST
Written by Ben the Pen

We have a game of two struggling mid-majors from Hempstead, N.Y. on a Saturday afternoon. Detroit is coming off a tough loss, falling by just six points at Louisville last Saturday. However, they have now lost five straight games.

Hofstra has had their own issues, having lost three straight games, before beating Division II Molloy 87-49 on Wednesday.

Steady progress

Detroit Mercy has been in a hole for a long time. Last year, they started to show program, as they finished with a 161 KenPom rating. This year, they rank 218 after that Louisville loss. What they really need more than anything is a win having played just four games. One thing that the Titans have that most programs don't have is an Antoine Davis. The 6-1 fourth-year junior guard poured in 27 points on 6-of-14 three-point shooting to keep the game competitive. He averaged 24 points and 4.7 assists while shooting 91.7% from the line last season. South Florida transfer could be the second option that veteran head coach Mike Davis needs. He poured in 19 points and 10 rebounds on 6-of-12 shooting against Louisville. The 6-7 transfer from South Florida is averaging 14.5 points and 8.8 rebounds this season.

They hung in there against Louisville, forcing 17 turnovers, while committing 17 turnovers. Lousiville shot 38% (8-21) from 3-point range and 49% from the field. This season, Davis averages 20 points per game, but is shooting just 36% from the floor and 34.2% from the field. On the season, Detroit is averaging just 62.8 points per game (316th) on 39.4% shooting (309th) and 33.3% from beyond the arc. They are allowing 79 points per game on 52.7% shooting (39% 3pt). That field goal percentage mark ranks 355th in the nation.

Speedy's streak ends

At one point, when Jay Wright was just beginning as a head coach, guard Speedy Claxton was Hofstra basketball. And he still is, now that he has taken over as the head coach after a long career as an NBA player and then as an assistant coach. Even though Hofstra has a veteran team led by Jalen Ray, they are playing for their third coach in three seasons. Veteran coach Joe Mihalich stepped down two seasons ago due personal reasons, Mike Farrelly took over on an interim basis last season and Claxton took over this year. So far, you'd have to say mixed results for the Pride, who have just one win (Duquesne 73-63), but they held their own with Maryland (69-67), Iona (82-74) and Houston (83-75ot).

An 87-49 win over a Division I team didn't mean a whole lot, except as a chance to get the bench in, though Hofstra played just eight players. That's been a common theme with Mihalich teams. They go about seven or eight and rely on a zone defense and strong arsenal of shooters. The other constant is Jalen Ray, the 6-2 guard, who was an All-CAA performer last season and is averaging 15.3 points per game on 43.2% shooting.

The Pride are averaging 74 points per game on 45.6% shooting and 34.8% 3-point shooting. Defensively, they are allowing 71.2 points per game on 43.1% shooting (28.9% 3pt).

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Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

KenPom does have Hofstra at 143rd and Detroit at 218, but at some point, Detroit is going to get a win. The fact they're getting eight in this contest after losing to Louisville by six is one of the reasons I'm taking them to cover. Add in the fact that you got Antonio Davis and Jalen Ray going after it after having so-so starts from the field and this should be a closer game than the line anticipates. Hofstra is also not a very big team with a 6-7 center, so the Titans should be able to take advantage of the paint.

Prediction: Detroit +8

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Hofstra is a pretty slow-paced team (233rd) and Detroit is a very slow-paced team (334th). Detroit has struggled at times to score, putting up 47 points against Wyoming and they've scored over 67 points just once. They are not likely to win a high-scoring game. The Pride also wants to control the pace and while Ray is a really good player, he's not as quick as the 5-11 Claxton was in his prime.

Prediction: Under 146.5
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Written By Ben Hayes , "Ben the Pen"

Ben has been a sports writer for over 35 years, dabbling in college and pro basketball, college and pro football, baseball, college lacrosse, minor league baseball and even college gymnastics. He's also been involved in the gaming industry for nearly 30 years and has been looking to beat the books since he was 13! Ben has had great success in handicapping college football, the NFL, college basketball, the NBA and MLB for 27+ years. His Twitter handle is @BenHayesWAW