Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#857 Georgia State vs.
#858 Rhode Island
Saturday, November 27, 2021 at 4:00pm EST
Written by Nick Raffoul

The Georgia State Panthers will travel to the Ryan Center in Kingston, Rhode Island on Saturday afternoon for a non-conference showdown against the Rhode Island Rams.

The Rams have won four of their first six games of the season but enter this contest in a bit of a slump after dropping two of their last three contests. Meanwhile, Georgia State is 4-1 through five games after edging High Point in overtime last weekend.

Can the Rams bounce back with a win at home against Georgia State on Saturday?

Georgia State took down High Point 74-66 in overtime last Sunday behind a big game from senior guard Justin Roberts, who finished with 25 points on the night. Fellow senior Kane Williams added 21 points, 11 rebounds, and four assists for the Panthers, who managed to pull away in the extra session.

Rob Lanier’s squad enters this matchup ranked No. 106 in the latest KenPom rankings. The Panthers have scored 106.4 points per 100 possessions for the season, 74th in the NCAA. While the Panthers don’t shoot a lot of 3-point shots, they’ve knocked their attempts down at a high rate from long-range. Georgia State has shot a healthy 41.4 percent from 3-point range, 14th in the NCAA, but just 46.3 percent from inside the arc and 62.8 percent from the free-throw line, which ranks 321st in the country.

On defense, Georgia State relies on forcing turnovers to get stops. The Panthers have limited opponents to just 99.4 points per 100 possessions for the season, 144th in the country. They’ve forced turnovers on 23.3 percent of their defensive possessions, 49th in the NCAA, but have also given up an effective field goal percentage of 54.5 percent, 307th in the nation.

Rams blow big lead, fall short vs. FGCU

Rhode Island suffered a heartbreaking 67-66 loss versus Florida Gulf Coast on Tuesday night. Makhel Mitchell had 16 points while Makhi Mitchell added 12 points for the Rams, who led by as many as 14 points on the night.

David Cox’s squad comes into the weekend slotted at No. 99 in the latest KenPom rankings after dropping two of their last three games. The Rams sport an adjusted 104.3 offensive rating, 102nd in the NCAA and they rank fifth in the country with a free throw rate of 48.6 percent. However, Rhode Island has also turned the ball over 23.1 percent of the time, which ranks 309th in the country.

On defense, Rhode Island has given up 96.7 points per 100 possessions, 93rd in the country. While the Rams have allowed opponents to shoot just 39.2 percent from 2-point range, ninth in the NCAA, they’ve struggled to contain teams on the offensive glass, where they’ve given up an offensive rebounding rate of 34.4 percent, 318th in the country.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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Rating:

The Rams are favored by 5.5 points at home in this spot but should have the advantage here. Georgia State has shot the ball well from 3-point range this season but it takes more than 65 percent of its shots from inside the arc this season. Meanwhile, Rhode Island has been a top-10 2-point defense in the country, which bodes well for its chances at home in this spot. The Rams have also been among the best teams in the country at getting to the free throw line. Take Rhode Island to cover the spread at home in this non-conference showdown on Saturday.

Prediction: Rhode Island Rams -5.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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Rating:

These two teams are projected for 143.5 points but that number might be set a bit too high here. Rhode Island should be able to make life tough on Georgia State inside the arc in this game. The Rams have limited opponents to just 39.2 percent shooting from 2-point range this season. Meanwhile, they’ve also struggled with taking care of the basketball on the offensive end and Georgia State relies on its ability to create turnovers to get stops. Take this game to stay under the projected total on Saturday afternoon.

Prediction: Under 143.5
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Written By Nick Raffoul , "Nick Raffoul"

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. He has been a very successful sports bettor over the years and has now brought his talents to us here at Winners & Whiners. Nick uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits. Let Nick win for you.