The Ball State Cardinals (2-3) will host the Indiana State Sycamores (3-3) on Saturday afternoon. These non-conference rivals play every season. Ball State won each year from 2017 to 2019, but Indiana State won 67-57 as a 3.5 point favorite last season.
Indiana State coming off back-to-back lossesThe Indiana State Sycamores have split their first six games but have faced the 58th strongest schedule, according to KenPom. They have wins over Green Bay 81-77, non-Division I foe Hanover 90-49, and Old Dominion 77-36. The losses were against No. 3 Purdue 92-67, and most recently to Oklahoma 87-63, and New Mexico State 80-66 at theMyrtle Beach Invitational.
Indiana State is averaging 74 ppg, shooting 46.9% from the field and 32.3% from three. Cooper Neese, a 6'4 junior, leads the team with 16 ppg, then 6'6 junior Cameron Henry averaging 15.8 ppg, and leads the squad with 6.8 rebounds and 4.3 assists per game. The Sycamores are allowing 70.2 ppg. They're 221st with 6.3 steals per game and 321st with 1.8 blocks.
Cardinals take the court for the first time in a weekBall State is 1-4 ATS this spread, covering for the first time in their last game, which resulted in an 89-86 win as a 7.5-point underdog to UMass. Tyler Cochran, a 6'2 junior, led the Cardinals with 22 points, shooting 7 of 8 from the field. Luke Bumbalough, a 6'1 junior added 14 points, and reserves Jalen Windham and Mickey Pearson finished with 13 and 12 points, respectively.
CARDINALS WIN! CARDINALS WIN!@captaintc23 records his best performance in a BSU jersey with 22 points! @Mickeypearson24, @LukeBumbalough, and @Gohamjdub all finish in double digits!#ChirpChirp | #WeFly | #Family pic.twitter.com/w8mYR5xZ3F— Ball State Men's Basketball (@BallStateMBB) November 21, 2021
Ball State averages 73.4 ppg through the first five games, shooting 43.3% from the floor and 38.8 from the three-point range. The Cardinals are a subpar free-throw shooting team making 64.5%, but they made 26 of 32 (81.3%) in the win over UMass. Luke Bumbalough leads the team with 13 points and 3.8 assists per game, followed by 6'5 junior Jalen Windham averaging 11.6 ppg, andPayton Sparks, a 6'9 freshman, is averaging 9.4 ppg and a team-best 7.2 rebounds per contest.
Best Bets for this Game
Full-Game Side Bet
Ball State is coming off a big upset win over KenPom's No. 121 rated team UMass last week, but I believe the Sycamores are better. Indiana State is undervalued due to losing their previous two games, but those came against KenPom's No. 39 rated team Oklahoma and No. 108 New Mexico State. Going back to last season, Indiana State has covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as a favorite, and Ball State has failed to cover in their last four games after an against the spread.
Full-Game Total Pick
This season, the over is 4-1 in Indiana State games, and they are 54th in adjusted tempo. In their last two games, Ball State has played to the over and is also one of the fastest-paced playing teams ranking 49th in adjusted tempo.