Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#863 Marshall vs.
#864 Indiana
Saturday, November 27, 2021 at 7:00pm EST
Written by Eric P.

The Indiana Hoosiers play host to the Marshall Thundering Herd on Saturday night from Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall. In what is looking more and more like a potentially intriguing non-conference matchup. Marshall has won two straight and has only dropped one game on the season. For their opponents, the Hoosiers, they enter undefeated, though they've had a generous schedule to help get them to this point. Marshall comes in with an emphasis on pushing the pace and scoring the ball, while the Hoosiers have made a living on the defensive end early on. With no recent meetings to draw much from in terms of expectations, this one could be one of the more interesting games on the Saturday slate.

Marshall Putting Scoring Pace On Watch

Marshall is off to one of their better starts in the last few seasons but will have their work cut out for them going on the road to Indiana. While the students being away for Thanksgiving break is going to be a blessing, the home-court advantage will certainly still be intact for the Hoosiers. Marshall is yet to even play a road game this season, so Saturday night's game might be an eye-opening experience for their lineup. The win against Wright State to open the year was a nice one, but besides that, the Thundering Herd have been challenged even less than Indiana has. One piece of good news is that Marshall will at least enter the game without any injuries to worry about. Their rotations are developed and having some consistency in their first true road game will be positive.

Marshall's offense is one of the fastest-paced in the country and they love getting shots up in a hurry. They rank 40th nationally in points per game and 26th in fields goal attempted per game. While the field goal percentage is respectable, their three-point percentage is dreadful, coming in 342nd nationally.

Taevion Kinsey enters as the leading scorer, at 19.6 ppg, but the Thundering Herd have three other double-digit scorers to give some support. Obinna Anochili-Killen is a force on the interior and has added 14 ppg through the first five of the season.

Defensively, while the Thunder Herd lacks the scoring defense that the Hoosier shave, they still have plenty to make it interesting for Indiana. They are a top 45 team in both rebounding and steals per game, which could play a crucial role in falling right in line with the tempo at which they want to play out. Most importantly though, Marshall ranks second nationally in blocks per game, which is going to be needed against the frontcourt scoring that Indiana has.

Hoosiers Off To Great Start Under Woodson

Indiana is off to a great start in the Mike Woodson era, winning their first five games. While four of those games haven't been against the best of opponents, their win against St. John's was a great indication of the success that they might be able to find this season. Their defense has been suffocating, which has served as their primary cause for success, but the offense definitely has some talent that can compete on Saturday night.

One concern for the Hoosiers is the mounting number of injuries. Trey Galloway (wrist) remains out, while Logan Duncomb is yet to be able to come back from a suspension. One to keep an eye on though is Rob Phinisee (leg), the experienced guard who is can provide some scoring punch to the lineup.

Indiana's offense might not be elite so far, but there are still plenty of respectable facing Marshall. They're averaging 75 points per game and are 47th nationally in field goal percentage, shooting 48 percent from the field. Expected All-American, Trayce Jackson-Davis, leads the way at 16 ppg. Unfortunately, he only has one double-digit scorer able to help him, in Xavier Johnson (10.2 ppg).

Indiana's calling card is their defense in the early going, finding themselves ranked fifth nationally in scoring defense. While Marshall has the advantage in blocks per game and rebounds per game, the Hoosiers should be able to hold their own. Given their easier schedule so far, Marshall's offense should provide a good test.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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Considering how low Indiana has kept the scores in their games, in addition to Marshall's offensive prowess, Marshall has to like their chances to keep things close in this one. The key will be Marshall's scoring depth and most importantly, their height inside. Indiana typically holds that advantage without a problem but the Thundering Herd have some athleticism of their own at the center position. Averaging nine blocks per game, things won't come easy for Jackson-Davis and the Hoosiers inside. Marshall's pace will also pose some challenges for the Hoosiers, especially without one of their primary ball handlers in all likelihood. Eventually, Indiana's talent will shine through but the Thundering Herd won't make it easy for them. Additionally, according to covers.com, the Hoosiers are 0-5 ATS in their last five Saturday games.

Prediction: Marshall (+11.5)

Full-Game Total Pick

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Defense is going to control the day on Saturday and the under seems like a safe bet to hit. While Marshall will play at a high pace, their scoring ability will be limited by the Hoosiers. The two teams combine to allow only 124 points per game, which seems like a large gap between the expected total. Both teams also rank top seven nationally in blocks per game and points will be hard to come by inside, as opposed to what these two teams are accustomed to. Additionally, according to covers.com, for Indiana, the under is 9-0 in their last nine games overall, is 4-0 in their last four games following a straight-up win, and is 6-0 in their last six home games.

Prediction: Under 148.5
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Written By Eric Ploch , "Eric P."

Eric grew up surrounded by sports, whether it was spending the weekend catching games in person or on tv, or heading out to the fields to play whatever sport was in season. What started as a hobby, soon became a passion, as he became the sports editor of his high school newspaper, then wrote for his university newspaper during his undergrad years. After obtaining a degree in Sports Operations and Promotions, and spending 8 years deeply immersed in the sports world, Eric decided to take his love for analytics and predictions, and his experience, to online sports fans everywhere. James is now an integral part of our team here at StatSalt and has also been a very successful sports bettor over the years. Be sure and follow him daily.