Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#847 Northern Iowa vs.
#848 St. Bonaventure
Saturday, November 27, 2021 at 2:00pm EST
Written by Nick Raffoul

The Northern Iowa Panthers will head on the road to the Reilly Center in St. Bonaventure, New York on Saturday afternoon for a non-conference showdown versus the No. 16-ranked St. Bonaventure Bonnies.

Northern Iowa comes in with a 1-3 record through four games but it has yet to beat a Division-I opponent. Meanwhile, the Bonnies remain tough to beat under head coach Mark Schmidt. St. Bonaventure has won each of its first five games, including three quality wins in the Shriners Children’s Charleston Classic last week.

Can the Bonnies take care of business at home versus Northern Iowa on Saturday afternoon?

Panthers' 3-point barrage not enough vs. Arkansas

Northern Iowa came up short on the road 93-80 versus Arkansas on Wednesday evening. Senior Trae Berhow finished with 23 points while AJ Green and Nate Heise chipped in 16 points apiece for the Panthers, who shot 17-for-37 from 3-point range in the loss.

Ben Jacobson’s squad comes into the weekend slotted at No. 135 in the latest KenPom rankings following a 1-3 start. The Panthers have scored 102.5 points per 100 possessions for the season, 131st in the NCAA. However, they sport an effective field goal percentage of only 43.5 percent, 304th in the country, including just 39.3 percent shooting from 2-point range, which ranks 343rd in the NCAA.

On defense, the Panthers have given up just 99.4 points per 100 possessions for the season, 143rd in the NCAA. Northern Iowa leads the country in defensive rebounding rate at 82.3 percent.

Bonnies trounce Marquette to improve to 5-0

St. Bonaventure ousted Marquette in the Shriners Children’s Charleston Classic 70-54 to remain undefeated on Sunday. Senior guard Jaren Holmes finished with 19 points and 13 rebounds while fellow senior Osun Osunniyi added 16 points, 11 rebounds, and four blocks in the win. The Bonnies led by as many as 27 points on the night despite shooting just 2-for-17 from 3-point range.

Schmidt’s squad comes into the weekend slotted at No. 30 in the latest KenPom rankings following their impressive 5-0 start. St. Bonaventure has posted an adjusted 109.6 offensive rating, 32nd in the NCAA, while turning the ball over just 15.1 percent of the time, 31st in the nation.

On defense, the Bonnies have posted an adjusted 90.9 defensive rating, good for 31st in the country. St. Bonaventure has limited opponents to an effective field goal percentage of 41.3 percent, 16th in the country, including just 38.5 percent shooting from 3-point range, good for sixth in the nation.

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Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

The Bonnies come into this game favored by 11.5 points but that number seems a bit too low in this spot. While the Panthers were able to keep up with Arkansas in their previous contest, they shot nearly 50 percent from 3-point range in the loss. On the other hand, the Bonnies are fresh off of a dominant performance on the inside against Marquette. Take St. Bonaventure to cover the spread at home in this matchup at the Reilly Center on Saturday.

 

Prediction: St. Bonaventure Bonnies -11.5

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

These two teams are projected for 132.5 points but that number might be too high in this spot. St. Bonaventure has yet to give up more than 65 points in a game this season. Not only are the Bonnies one of the best defensive teams in the nation but they also like to slow the pace down on offense, where they rank 319th in the country in pace and 251st in average possession length on offense. Take this game to stay under the projected total in St. Bonaventure on Saturday.

Prediction: Under 132.5
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Written By Nick Raffoul , "Nick Raffoul"

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. He has been a very successful sports bettor over the years and has now brought his talents to us here at Winners & Whiners. Nick uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits. Let Nick win for you.