Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#661 Cal State Northridge vs.
#662 New Mexico
Saturday, November 9, 2019 at 9:00pm EST
Dreamstyle Stadium, Albuquerque
Written by Chris Kubala

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#661 California State University, Northridge
#662 University of New Mexico
0-1
1-0
22-8-2
12-19
17-14-1
16-15
76
76
79
76

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It’s a battle between the Big West and the Mountain West on the college hardwood down the Land of Enchantment. The CSU Northridge Matadors are on the road as they make the trip to face the New Mexico Lobos Saturday night. CSU Northridge was drubbed 87-67 on the road by Oregon State in their season opener Tuesday night. New Mexico rolled to a 92-71 triumph over Division II Eastern New Mexico at home Tuesday night in their season opener. The Lobos own a 4-0 edge in the all-time series between the teams, including an 87-84 road win in the most recent matchup on November 6, 2018.

CSU Northridge Matadors Look to Even Record

CSU Northridge opened their season with a one-sided defeat as they were clobbered by Oregon State in their season opener. The Matadors now have to go on the road in an effort to try and even their record on the season. CSU Northridge was tied at 14 six and a half minutes into the game before giving up an 11-0 run to leave them in a hole. The Matadors never recovered: they trailed by 14 at the half and couldn’t get closer than six midway through the second half. CSU Northridge, after getting to within six, gave up a 17-2 run over the next five and a half minutes to put the game firmly out of reach.

The Matadors shot 38.3 percent from the field, including eight of 26 from three-point range, and lost the rebounding battle 45-35 in the game. Terrell Gomez led CSU Northridge with 19 points in the loss. Elijah Harkless contributed 15 points while Darius Brown II finished with 13 points, eight rebounds and four assists in the loss. CSU Northridge turned the ball over 15 times in the game and committed 24 personal fouls, which sent Oregon State to the line 31 times in the game. The Matadors turned the ball over 15 times in the loss.

New Mexico Lobos Seek to Roll to 2-0 Start

New Mexico had little problem with Division II Eastern New Mexico to open their season on a positive note. The Lobos hope to take a step forward this season and that starts with beating teams that they should defeat, especially at home. New Mexico led by one midway through the opening half before outscoring Eastern New Mexico 28-18 the rest of the way to take an 11-point lead at intermission. The Lobos saw their lead trimmed to nine in the opening minute of the second half before ripping off a 16-2 run to put the game away. New Mexico led by as many as 28 points in the second half en route to the victory.

The Lobos shot a sizzling 60 percent from the field, including seven of 20 from three-point range, and knocked down 19 of 26 free throw attempts. New Mexico held the Greyhounds to 37.3 percent shooting in the game and forced 22 turnovers to shake off 21 of their own. Makuach Maluach led five Lobos in double figures with 16 points in the win. Carlton Bragg Jr. finished with 13 points, six rebounds plus two blocks, Corey Manigault added 13 points, Zane Martin had 13 points plus six boards and Keith McGee chipped in 12 in the game. JaQuan Lyle contributed nine points and 11 assists in the victory.

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New Mexico hasn’t been overpowering in recent years but they did put together a solid offensive showing in their opening contest. There is plenty of returning experience for the Lobos in Maluach, Bragg Jr. and Lyle so the hopes are high for the team this season. CSU Northridge showed the same maddening play we saw from them in recent seasons. The Matadors alter solid stretches of play with ones where they get blown out of the gym. That happened against Oregon State and showed how inconsistent their rotation is. That gives the Lobos the upper hand here, especially playing at home.

Prediction: New Mexico Lobos -13.5

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We know that CSU Northridge struggles on the defensive end of the floor, which was part of their issues last season as well. The Matadors were a dismal 336th in scoring defense a season ago, allowing 79.4 points per game, and things didn't look any better in the opener as they gave up 87 points to Oregon State. New Mexico racked up plenty of points in their win over Eastern New Mexico and the Greyhounds' defense might not be much worse than the Matadors despite being a D-II program. Will the Matadors find a way to run and gun their way to a victory here or will this one end up being another defensive failure?

The over is 6-1-1 in the Matadors' last 8 non-conference games, 12-2 in their last 14 Saturday games, 4-1 in their last five on the road and 10-3 in their last 13 after an ATS loss. New Mexico has seen the over go 4-1 in their last five against Big West opponents. This one has the makings of a track meet and it ends up going over the total as New Mexico takes advantage of the weak CSU Northridge defensive presence.

Prediction: Over 163.5
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.