Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#621 Texas State 139.5 vs.
#622 Air Force -2
Saturday, November 9, 2019 at 4:00pm EST
Falcon Stadium, Colorado Springs
Written by Chris Altruda



#621 Texas State University
#622 Air Force Academy


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Texas State at Air Force

When and Where: Saturday, Nov. 9, Clune Arena, Colorado Springs, Colo., 4 p.m. EST.

Looking to regroup after a surprising home loss to start the season, Air Force attempts to get back on track Saturday when it hosts Texas State.

Bobcats roll in near-flawless season-opening rout

Coach Danny Kaspar is seeking his 100th win at Texas State after the Bobcats began their season with a 103-45 demolition of Division III Texas Lutheran on Tuesday night. Nijal Pearson scored 19 points and Eric Terry added 18 and nine rebounds as Texas State hit its first 11 shots and connected on 58.3 percent of its attempts overall.

Kaspar also welcomed the return of guard Marlin Davis, who contributed seven points, two assists, and two steals in 17 minutes off the bench after missing all of last season with a torn ACL suffered in January 2018.

“My confidence, I really don't worry about my knee at all. I'm 100 percent. I mean, I've been practicing everyday — even last year, I was practicing every day with the team. So it really doesn't give me any trouble,” Davis told the San Marcos Record. “Just getting my feel back, getting the game day jitters out the way, it was big for me. I've been waiting for a long time, did a lot of rehab. I just couldn't wait to get it all over with.”

Five players finished in double figures as Kaspar went to his bench early and often. No one played more than 21 minutes, and Alonzo Sule had 12 of Texas State's 46 bench points while hitting all four of his shots.

Pearson gave Air Force all sorts of issues last season, scoring 21 points on 9-of-15 shooting to power Texas State to a 67-57 home win to avenge a 65-57 defeat in Colorado Springs in 2017-18.

Falcons try to clean up defensive breakdowns after loss

Dave Pilipovich would also have been going for his 100th victory -- all at Air Force -- had the Falcons won their season opener Tuesday night versus Idaho State, but that did not come to pass following an 89-79 defeat.

Perimeter struggles on both ends of the court played a key role in the loss. Air Force shot a horrid 1 for 11 from 3-point range, which negated an overall shooting effort of 51.9 percent, and allowed Idaho State to drill 12 of 29 from deep as Tarik Cool lived up to his name with 41 points.

“We get at least 500 shots up before practice,” Chris Joyce told the Colorado Springs Gazette about his team's perimeter woes. “It’s hard to explain. It might be first-game jitters. We’re experienced, but there’s always going to be first-game jitters.”

Joyce finished with 14 points and seven rebounds but missed all four of his long-range shots. A.J. Walker paced the Falcons with 17 points while Ryan Swan (14) and Lavelle Scottie (13) also were in double figures.

Scottie and Swan had 11 points apiece in last year's loss at Texas State, with Swan going 3 of 8 from 3-point range. The Falcons outrebounded the Bobcats 35-28 but also committed 17 turnovers that led to 25 points for Texas State.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


The hunch is Davis is given more of a chance to make an impact in this game for Texas State after being able to get back to game speed in Tuesday night's season-opening win. The Bobcats did not play all that badly in losing at Air Force two seasons ago, and they still play sticky defense -- Texas State did hold opponents to 64.8 points per game in 2018-19.

That included limiting opponents to 30.9 percent shooting from 3-point range, which could lead to another frustrating night on the perimeter for the Falcons.

Prediction: Texas State +1.5

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


The teams have come nowhere near this total in each of the previous two meetings -- scoring 122 in 2017-18 and 124 last season -- and neither team plays an up-tempo style that would be conducive to a high-scoring game breaking out. It would be surprising if either team got to 70 in what should be a close contest, making the under a firm pick.

Prediction: UNDER 139.5 points

Written By Chris Altruda

A 1994 graduate of Marquette University when they were known as the Warriors and Brooklyn native, Chris Altruda is based in Chicago. Prior to joining our team here at Winners & Whiner, he worked at three major U.S. wire services and also has prior experience in sports handicapping and daily fantasy roster building. Now that the Cubs have won a World Series, he holds out hope the Jets will win a Super Bowl before he dies. Follow Chris daily right here at W&W and on Twitter at @AlTruda73. You wonโ€™t be disappointed.