Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#649 Texas 134 vs.
#650 Purdue -7.5
Saturday, November 9, 2019 at 7:00pm EST
Ross-Ade Stadium, West Lafayette
Written by Adam Rauzino

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#649 University of Texas
#650 Purdue University
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The #23 Purdue Boilermakers will host the Texas Longhorns in an inter-conference showdown Saturday night from the Mackey Arena. The Longhorns finished last year with a 21-15 record and stomped Northern Colorado by a 69-45 score in their season opener. The Boilermakers went 26-10 last season and defeated Green Bay 79-57 in their first clash. Texas registered a 72-68 home win over Purdue last season.

Longhorns Poised for Bounce Back Season

The Texas Longhorns are an interesting squad. They lost their top three scorers on a team that went 8-10 in conference play last season but have plenty of talent to fill the void. Texas returns three players that averaged over seven points last season. A player to watch for is Andrew Jones. The sophomore guard has made his return from a battle with cancer. Jones was able to sink a career-high 20 points in Tuesday’s 69-45 season-opening win in an emotional night. Jones is a big talent and he averaged over 13 points in the 2017-2018 season.

The Longhorns also have starter Matt Coleman III back in the mix. The junior guard posted 9.8 PPG last year, but only shot 39% from the field. Coleman netted 10 points on 4 for 8 shooting in Tuesday’s victory. Courtney Ramey is a skilled three-point shooter. The sophomore guard shot 39% from beyond the arc last season. Ramey tallied the double-double with 16 points and 10 boards on Tuesday night. Head coach Shaka Smart also brought in highly-touted recruit Will Baker who only played 10 minutes on Tuesday.

The Longhorns were selected to finish in fourth place in the BIG 12 in the preseason poll. They averaged 71 points last season, ranking them 271st overall. Texas is a strong defensive team that conceded an average of only 66.4 points, good for 52nd in the country.

#23 Purdue Leaning on Matt Haarms

The #23 Purdue Boilermakers have lofty expectations after winning the Big Ten title and losing to Virginia in the NCAA Tournament. Purdue lost their top two scorers in Carsen Edwards and Ryan Cline which leaves a noticeable void. Their leading returning scorer is Matt Haarms. The 7-foot-3 junior center had a stellar 2018-2019 season, logging an average of 9.4 points on a dazzling 63% clip from the field, and he averaged 5.4 rebounds. Haarms scored 16 points along with seven boards in Wednesday’s season-opening win.

Also ready to make a big impact is Nojel Eastern. The junior guard sported an average of 7.5 PPG and a great 49.5% field goal efficiency last year. Eastern is questionable for this one with a hand injury. Head coach Matt Painter also brought in Jahaad Proctor on a transfer from High Point. The senior guard will be in the starting lineup this season after averaging a remarkable 19.5 points on 46% shooting last year. Proctor had a big night in his Purdue debut, accumulating 26 points.

The Boilermakers were voted to finish in fourth place in the Big Ten in the preseason media poll. The Big Ten is very deep again this season. Purdue averaged 76.7 points last season, placing them 74th in the country. They are a strong defensive team that held opponents to 67.3 points, good for 61st overall.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I am taking the points with Texas in this one. The Longhorns are a team that cannot be taken lightly and I expect them to keep this one very close. Head coach Shaka Smart is a good coach that focuses on defense. Purdue lost their two top scorers including Carsen Edwards who averaged a sizzling 24.3 PPG last year, and that production will not be easy to replace.

Furthermore, the Longhorns have an intriguing roster led by Andrew Jones who has made his return after battling cancer. He is an inspiration to the entire team and scored 20 points in Tuesday’s victory. The Longhorns also return Matt Coleman II and Courtney Ramey who combined to average 17.9 points last season.

Prediction: Texas Longhorns

Full-Game Total Pick

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I anticipate a low scoring battle between two strong defensive teams. Both Purdue and Texas thrive on their defensive play. Purdue limited opponents to 41% shooting from the field last season, and Texas is not a high scoring team. Also, the under is 7-2 in the Longhorns’ last nine games overall.

In addition, the Longhorns defensive play is their strongest asset. They held opponents to an average of only 66 points last season, and Purdue is not the offensive powerhouse they were last season. The under is also 4-1 in the Longhorns’ last five games against the Big Ten.

Prediction: Under

Full-Game Prop Bet

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The under on the Purdue team total available on PointsBet is a solid option. Purdue is relying heavily on Matt Haarms who averaged 9.4 points last year along with Jahaad Proctor. He transferred from High Point this season and could take time for him to get accumulated with the speed and finesse against power conference teams such as Texas. Also, the Longhorns limited Purdue to 68 points last season.

Prediction: Purdue Team Total Under

Half-Time Total Bet

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I am going with the over on the halftime total. Texas was a strong first half team last year. They averaged a terrific 35.1 points in the opening half and outscored their Northern Colorado opponent 34-15 in the first half in their season opener. While I obviously don’t expect them to outscore Purdue by that margin,  I would not be surprised if they have the lead.

Prediction: Over
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Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.