Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#733 Drake vs.
#734 Dayton
Saturday, December 14, 2019 at 7:00pm EST
Written by Benjamin Hayes

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#733 Drake University
#734 University of Dayton
8-2
7-1
23-8-1
14-17-2
17-14-1
17-15-1
75
72
70
66

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Drake travels to Ohio to take on No. 14 Dayton on Saturday at 7pmET. The Bulldogs have won four straight games, including defeating Southeast Missouri State last Saturday, 78-73 at home. Dayton has just one loss at Kansas on Nov. 27 (90-84ot). They answered with two straight wins over Houston Baptist (99-68) and Saint Mary's (78-68) from Phoenix last Sunday in the Jerry Colangelo Classic.

Bulldogs look like a contender again

Drake finished at 24-10 last season, but wound up in the CIT because they didn't win the Missouri Valley Conference tournament. This season, they return four starters and they look to go even further this season. In their last game, they struggled defensively in their 78-73 win over SE Missouri State, allowing them to shoot 50% from the floor and 10-of-19 from beyond the arc. Liam Robbins nailed two free throws with 46 seconds left to break a 73-73 tie. The Redhawks went scoreless in the last 2:10 to help Drake win their eighth game. Roman Penn led the Bulldogs with 16 points, while D.J. Walkins added 15 points. Drake shot 47% from the floor and just 6-of-23 from beyond the arc.

Drake is averaging 70.8 points per game on 46% shooting (36.4% 3pt). They allow just 60.7 points per game on 40.2% shooting (34.3% 3pt). They also force 15.9 turnovers per game, while outrebounding teams by 3.3 per contest.

The Bulldogs are led by guard Anthony Murphy, who averages 10.9 points per game. The Bulldogs have a lot of balance with four players averaging between 10.9 and 10.0 points per game.

Dayton is Flying

The Dayton Flyers have been one of the nation's surprise teams. It's not completely unexpected that this was going to be a good team. They finished 21-12 last season and 13-5 in the Atlantic 10. But they have done it in dominant fashion and the win over Saint Mary's was an impressive one.

Leading the way is redshirt sophomore Obi Toppin (6-9, 220), who is averaging 21.4 points and 8.3 rebounds per game. Toppin is so highly-regarded, he's considered a sure-fire lottery pick if he enters this draft. He was held to 16 points and six boards against the Gaels on Sunday. Guard Jalen Crutcher stepped up with 21 points and six assists to lead the Flyers, who shot 54% and 13-of-24 from beyond the arc. They also outrebounded Saint Mary's by 10.

Dayton is averaging a whopping 87.4 points per game to rank second in the nation on 54.6% shooting (1st in the nation) and 40.3% from beyond the arc (20th). They are allowing 69.9 points per game on 45.7% shooting (38.8% 3pt).

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Dayton is good, but this line is ridiculous. Drake won 21 games last season and is playing good basketball. Even if this their biggest challenge of the season, they have a week to prepare and not having a start player helps them. You can't focus on any individual player, because they can get 15 points from a group of five players on any night. Dayton has been good at home, but they also beat Indiana State, another Missouri Valley team, but just five on Nov. 9. Drake is good enough to keep this game close so take the road dog.

Prediction: Drake +16.5

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Drake plays at a slow pace but they shot the ball very well, especially from downtown and the Flyers are 336th in the nation at defending the three-ball. The Flyers enter this game at 3rd in the nation in scoring, putting up 87.4 ppg, plus they are 1st in shooting and 19th in three-point shooting. They do not play at a fast pace but they shoot the ball very well and Drake is 247th in the nation at defending the three-ball. I will look for this game to go Over the total.

Prediction: Over 139
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Written By Benjamin Hayes

Ben has been a sports writer for over 30 years, dabbling in college and pro basketball, college and pro football, baseball, college lacrosse, minor league baseball and even college gymnastics. He's also been involved in the gaming industry for over 25 years and has been looking to beat the books since he was 13!