Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#737 Evansville vs.
#738 Wisconsin-Green Bay
Saturday, December 14, 2019 at 7:00pm EST
Written by Chris Kubala

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#737 University of Evansville
#738 University of Wisconsin - Green Bay
7-3
3-6
16-14
19-17
16-14
18-18
69
81
72
79

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It’s a non-conference clash on the parquet floor when the Missouri Valley Conference tangles with the Horizon League up in the land of cheese. The Evansville Purple Aces are on the road as they travel to face the Green Bay Phoenix Saturday night. Evansville comes in off a 101-87 win over Miami (OH) at home last Saturday in their previous game. Green Bay took a 79-66 road loss to UCF in their last game Wednesday night. The Purple Aces lead the all-time season series between the teams 5-2, including an 80-75 home win in the most recent matchup on December 22, 2018.

Evansville Purple Aces Seek Fifth Straight Win

Evansville earned their fourth straight win with another run and gun victory as they took down Miami (OH) last week. The Purple Aces look to make it five straight victories as they look to keep their high-octane offense of coach Walter McCarty going. Evansville trailed by two at the half and by three a minute into the second half before going on a 7-0 run to take a 55-51 lead. The Purple Aces led the rest of the way, widening the margin toward the middle of the second half and earning the win. Evansville shot a scorching 64.2 percent from the field, including 12 of 24 from three-point range, and controlled the glass by a 36-20 margin. Deandre Williams poured in 37 points and pulled down 10 boards to lead the Purple Aces in the victory.

The Purple Aces put up an average of 80.6 points per game this season. Evansville grabs 34 rebounds a night and dishes out 13.8 assists per contest. The Purple Aces are struggling defensively, ranking 331st in the nation in scoring defense by allowing 78.1 points per contest. Deandre Williams leads the team in scoring with 16.7 points plus 7.6 rebounds a night. K.J. Riley (14.4 points), Sam Cunliffe (11.9 ppg) and Artur Labinowicz (11.7 ppg) are also averaging in double figures. Noah Frederking, John Hall and Shamar Givance are solid role players for the team. Evansville is shooting 46.4 percent from the floor as a team on the year. The Purple Aces splash 9.1 three pointers a night while shooting 37.6 percent from beyond the arc. Evansville is cashing in a very good 76.1 percent of their chances at the free throw line this season.

Green Bay Phoenix Hoping to Rise Again

Green Bay suffered their third straight loss as they were unable to hang with UCF on the road in their previous contest. The Phoenix hopes they can rise to the occasion at home in this contest. Green Bay was tied at 11 early in the first half but a 16-3 UCF run put them in a 13-point hole. The Phoenix was unable to bet any closer than five the rest of the way as they ended up with the defeat. Green Bay shot 48.1 percent from the field, including four of 13 from three-point range, and turned the ball over 17 times in the loss. Amari Davis finished with 25 points to lead the Phoenix in the loss.

The Phoenix is an explosive offensive attack as they pile up an average of 80.1 points per game this season. Green Bay collects 32.8 rebounds a night while dishing out an average of 17.1 assists per game. The Phoenix is miserable defensively as they rank 347th of 353 Division I programs in scoring defense by allowing 83.5 points a game. Amari Davis leads the team with 16.1 points per game this season. JayQuan McCloud contributes 15.2 points a night while PJ Pipes (11.1 ppg) and Kameron Hankerson (10.3 ppg) are averaging in double figures. Cody Schwartz, Trevian Bell and Josh McNair are solid contributors offensively for the Phoenix. Green Bay shoots 46.4 percent from the field as a team this season. The Phoenix splashes 8.1 triples a night while shooting 36.3 percent from beyond the arc as a team. Green Bay is mediocre at the charity stripe, cashing in only 71.4 percent of their attempts as a team this year.

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This one has the makings of a track meet as both teams have been excellent offensively and porous defensively. One has to think the team that holds the opposition under 80 or 85 points will emerge victorious in this one. As it stands, Evansville is clicking right now with four straight wins and no one is going to forget that this team went into Rupp Arena and stunned #1 Kentucky last month. After winning on hallowed ground like that, it’s hard to be intimidated by other venues. Green Bay does their part offensively but Evansville’s attack is too much here as the Purple Aces get the win.

Prediction: Evansville Purple Aces +2

Full-Game Total Pick

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We know that both teams can pile up points. Evansville has cracked the century mark twice and put up at least 79 points on three other occasions this season. On the other hand, the Phoenix has scored at least 78 points six times this season. The defenses are atrocious on both sides. Evansville is 301st in field goal percentage defense (45.8 percent) and three-point field goal percentage defense (35.9 percent) this season. On the flip side, Green Bay is even worse, ranking 345th in field goal percentage defense (49.1 percent) and 341st in three-point field goal percentage defense (39.3 percent) on the year. Should we expect anything less than an avalanche of points here?

The over is 5-1 in the Purple Aces' last 6 overall and 12-3-1 in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Green Bay has seen the over go 7-1 in their last eight overall, 6-1 in their last seven on Saturday and 18-6 in their last 24 at home after at least three straight games on the road. This one blows past the total as the winner likely cracks 90 in the contest. Defense is optional.

Prediction: Over 164
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.