Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#755 Fresno State vs.
#756 Cal Poly
Saturday, December 14, 2019 at 10:00pm EST
Written by Diamond Dave



#755 California State University, Fresno
#756 California Polytechnic State University


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The Cal Poly Mustangs host the Fresno State Bulldogs Saturday night in non-conference college basketball action. Both of these teams have gotten off to bump starts this season. Cal-Poly is 2-7 on the young season, as is Fresno State. Fresno State has won the last 3 meetings between these two, including a 75-64 win last year. But Cal-Poly was a heavy underdog and covered. Tipoff is Saturday at 10:00 p.m. ET at Mott Gym in San Luis Obispo, California.

Fresno State can't execute down the stretch

The Fresno State Bulldogs, who play in the Mountain West Conference, are off to a 2-7 start overall and 0-2 in the conference. But they are not as bad as the record might indicate. In the conference, they lost to 7-4 UNLV by one point, 81-80, and they lost to 25th ranked Utah State 77-70 in overtime. Outside of the conference, two of their losses came at Pac-12 schools, Oregon and Cal-Berkeley. So while they haven't been very successful, they have played well against some good teams.

Against Cal, they almost pulled it off but lost 69-63. Guard New Williams led the Bulldogs with 21 points on 5 three-pointers. He also had 5 rebounds. Mark Lawrence had 16 points off the bench while Nate Grimes had 7 points, 14 rebounds, and 2 blocked shots. Orlando Robinson added seven points with six rebounds. The Bulldogs outrebounded the Golden Bears 38-28.

"We just have to be better in those situations. Winning time, we have to buckle down and be solid. We played how we were supposed to play the majority of the game so in a time like that we just have to be solid and continue to be poised," said Williams, reported the Fresno State web site.

Cal-Poly gets second win

The Cal Poly Mustangs have stumbled out of the gates in 2019-20 with a record of 2-7. They snapped a 5 game losing streak last Saturday with a 70-66 win over Siena. Guard Junior Ballard led the Cal Poly attack with 15 points as the Mustangs scored a thrilling come-from-behind win. They had trailed by 11 points in the second half but came back to win. But a 17-6 run brought the Mustangs back to 45-45. The game remained close the rest of the way, but two free throws by Malik Harwell with three second left sealed it.

Mustangs forward Alimamy Koroma added 14 points while Malek Harwell and Colby Rogers each tossed in 12 points. Cal-Poly shot 50 percent from the floor and held Siena to 43 percent shooting. Mustangs guard Job Alexander added 7 points and four assists.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


I really like the Bulldogs in this one. cal-Poly is home, but that's about the only edge they have. While both teams have the same record -- 2-7, one is definitely not like the other. Cal-Poly has only beaten one Division 1 team. Also, their losses have pretty much all been by double figures. Fresno State has actually played very well. They took No. 25 Utah State to overtime and lost to conference rival UNLV by one. Further, they nearly beat the Pac-12's Cal on the road, and played No. 10 Oregon very well, losing by just 14 at Oregon. Fresno State has had some tough losses, but they'll get a win here.

Prediction: Fresno State

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


Take the under in this one. Cal-Poly, on a good day, is not going to score much more than 70 points. They put up 89 points on a Div. 11 opponent, but for the most part, they have struggled to score points. Fresno State is similar in terms of points per game, but they do that by design. They play solid defense and like to slow down the pace of play. They rank No. 278 in pace of play. Cal-Poly is even more deliberate, ranking No. 313 in that category. The pace here will be slow, which means the scoring will be low. Look for a game in the 60s.

Prediction: Under

Written By David Shields , "Diamond Dave"

Dave has covered every major sport with passion and expertise for national sports publications. In addition to being a sportswriter, Dave has also worked in financial industry and brings a critical eye for numbers to his analysis of games. Dave thoroughly researches the statistics to spot the trends and breakdown the matchups to successfully find the winners in the NFL, NBA, MLB, college hoops, and other sports.