Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#705 Middle Tennessee State vs.
#706 Ole Miss
Saturday, December 14, 2019 at 3:00pm EST
Written by Adam Rauzino

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#705 Middle Tennessee State University
#706 University of Mississippi
4-6
6-3
12-18
23-10
12-18
13-18-2
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The Ole Miss Rebels will host the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders in non-conference play Saturday afternoon from the Pavilion at Ole Miss. The Blue Raiders were crushed 85-52 by Murray State in their latest action, and the Rebels registered an 83-67 home win over CSU Bakersfield in their latest contest. The Rebels posted a 74-56 road win against the Blue Raiders last season.

Middle Tennessee State Pegged with Another Rough Loss

The Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders defense continues to be exploited. They are having trouble containing their opposition which included a rough 85-52 road loss to Murray State in their latest tilt in a clash that had them as 8.5 point underdogs. The Blue Raiders offensive production has been a bright spot.

C.J. Jones is struggling, shooting below 40% in three straight games. The junior guard has reached the 20 point mark four times this season, and he is averaging 16.2 PPG on 46% shooting. Antonio Green only netted four points on 2 for 10 shooting in his latest action. The senior guard is a threat from three-point range, and he is logging 15.7 PPG. Jayce Johnson is also having issues with his shot recently. The sophomore guard is third in team scoring with 10.6 PPG along with 5.6 RPG.

The Blue Raiders are placed down at 264th overall in Ken Pomeroy’s college basketball ratings. They own a 1-2 road record and were defeated 98-69 to a ranked Villanova team last month. Middle Tennessee State is scoring an average of 76.3 points, ranking them 94th overall. They are allowing an average of 75.9 points, positioning them 307th in DI.

Ole Miss Thwarts Two Game Slide with Easy Victory

The Ole Miss Rebels have rebounded from a two-game slide. They tallied an 83-67 victory against CSU Bakersfield in their latest action to cover the 15 point spread. The Rebels own a 2-5 record in their last five games overall, and their defense has been their top strength.

Breein Tyree is red-hot, netting over 20 points in two straight games including 20 points in Saturday’s win. The senior guard has reached 20 points five times this season, and he is averaging 16.4 points on 39% shooting. Blake Hinson is coming off a season-best 23 points in his latest action. The sophomore guard is having a terrific season, recording a stellar 51.2% field goal efficiency and he is posting 13.4 PPG. KJ Buffen has only reached double-digits in points in out of his last three games. The sophomore forward is a solid rebounder, logging 6.6 boards per game and 11 PPG.

The Rebels are currently placed at 70th overall in Ken Pomeroy’s college basketball ratings, and they feature a 5-1 home record with their lone home defeat coming to a ranked Butler Team. Ole Miss is scoring an average of 69.7 points, ranking them 233rd overall. They are holding opponents to 64.3 points, placing them 97th in DI.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I expect a decisive home win from Ole Miss in this one. The Rebels got back on track with an 83-67 win against CSU Bakersfield in their latest game. Four of their five home wins have occurred by double-digits in points. The Rebels' strong defense should steer them to a convincing win. Middle Tennessee State has netted 59 or fewer points in two out of their last three games.

Furthermore, the Blue Raiders are a poor defensive team and the Rebels should take advantage. They just surrendered 85 points to Murray State and they are one of the worst teams in the country when it comes to defending the three.

Prediction: Ole Miss Rebels

Full-Game Total Pick

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This should be a low scoring game. The Rebels place an emphasis on defense and they make it tough for opponents to connect on their shots as opponents are only shooting 41% against them. I expect their success to continue considering Middle Tennessee State owns a mediocre 44.5% clip from the field.  The under is also 5-1-1 in the Blue Raiders’ last seven road games.

In addition, the Rebels are not a high scoring team. They are only shooting 43% on the season, and while they should do enough to cover the spread, I don’t anticipate a huge output. They have also only averaged 67.7 possessions in their last three games. The under is 4-1 in the Rebels' last five games following an ATS win and it should convert in this one.

Prediction: Under

Full-Game Prop Bet

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The under on the Middle Tennessee State team total offered on PointsBet is a solid option. The Blue Raiders are not dangerous from beyond the arc where they own a 33.9% efficiency, and the Rebels are one of the best teams in the country defending the three. They are limiting opponents to 27% shooting from deep, good for 15th in DI. Also, the Rebels have allowed 55 or fewer points in four of their six home games.

Prediction: Middle Tennessee State Team Total Under

Half-Time Total Bet

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I am sticking with the under on the first half total. Both teams are struggling to score in the first half. The Blue Raiders are only averaging 29.7 points in the opening half, placing them 276th overall. The Rebels have only posted an average of 25.7 points in the opening half in their last three games.

Prediction: Under
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Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.