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Princeton vs. Cal Poly,
12-16-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#581 Princeton
Tigers
#582 Cal Poly
Mustangs

Saturday, December 16, 2017 at 10:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Princeton Tigers

-

-
ATS
-
O/U
0
PPG
0
OPPG

Cal Poly Mustangs

-

-
ATS
-
O/U
0
PPG
0
OPPG

Betting Trends

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Princeton heads to Cal Poly on Saturday, a battle of two teams from opposite coasts who are both struggling.  The Tigers are 3-6 coming into Saturday’s contest and only 1-3 on the road. The Mustangs aren’t much better, coming in at 4-6 and they are 2-1 at home.  Both teams have a negative point differential with Princeton’s being about five points while the Mustangs is just over a point.

Neither team shoot the ball well either, as the Tigers are shooting 44.4% while the Mustangs are shooting an extremely low 41.9%.  Neither team averages over 13.5 assists per game and have trouble scoring.  I think this will likely be a low scoring, closely contested for all 40 minutes.  Cal Poly is a better rebounding team which could make the difference in this type of game.

Princeton comes in off of a win

Princeton will be coming into Saturday’s contest off of a win, defeating Monmouth 69-58 on Tuesday night.  They had lost three straight although two of the games were to George Washington and 10th ranked Miami, so you can understand why.  Their defense looked good  on Tuesday, holding Monmouth to 36% shooting, despite the Hawks making of eight of 17 three-pointers, but they held them to nine of 27 on two’s.

Offensively, they were led by Myles Stephens.  The junior guard has been their best player this season, putting up 14.4 points and 6.0 boards per contest.  Against Monmouth, he had 19 points and eight boards, shooting a solid seven of 14 from the field and also hitting five three pointers along the way.

Cal Poly looks for fifth win

Cal Poly has been a weird team over the years.  Three years ago they were in the NCAA tournament and actually won one of the First 4 games.  Last year, they finished eighth (out of nine) in the Big West, one of the worst conferences in college basketball.  This year, they are only 4-6, but do look better than they were last year, at least getting some decent out of conference wins, including beating Pepperdine and Santa Clara.

In their latest game on Tuesday, they threw in one of the clunkers, losing 67-53 to Bethune-Cookman.  They were down 35-31 at halftime and were outplayed the whole second half, getting outscored 32-22 in the process.  The team only shot 33% from the field and were an atrocious three of 25 from the three point line.  They will need to shoot much better to win on Saturday.

The Princeton Tigers are:

  • 9-23 ATS in their last 32 non-conference games.
  • 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.

The Cal Poly Mustangs are:

  • 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Neither team is playing well and I think being at home is a big advantage here.  Also, the Tigers have been a very bad rebounding team and a low scoring game that could make all the difference.  I like the Mustangs.

Pick: Cal Poly

Big B

Known as Big B since his time at UCSB, Brian O’Sullivan is a novelist, screenwriter, & poker player who follows sports religiously. His betting style would be considered that of a contrarian, and he likes to bet against the general public. It seems to be working. You can find him at the coffee shops of Vegas, hanging with his family in SF, or at the bars of LA.

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