Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#775 Buffalo 155.5 vs.
#776 Vanderbilt -4
Tuesday, December 3, 2019 at 8:00pm EST
Written by Benjamin Hayes

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#775 State University of New York at Buffalo
#776 Vanderbilt University
5-2
5-2
19-14-1
11-21
17-17
9-22-1
84
68
70
72

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This article covers a past game!

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Buffalo meets Vanderbilt in a non-conference matchup on Tuesday from Nashville. Both teams are 5-2 this season, although Buffalo is coming off a win over William & Mary. Vandy lost to Tulsa at home in their last game.

New coach, similar record

Buffalo hired Jim Whitesell, who was an assistant on the staff, to replace Nate Oats, who left for Alabama. Whitesell lost three starters so there was no chance the Bulls were going to repeat last year's 32-4 performance. However, the Bulls have played well, winning three straight. Their only two losses came in the opener to Dartmouth at home (68-63) and to UConn (79-68) in the Charleston Classic.

Since the loss to the Huskies, the Bulls came back to beat Towson by three, edged Missouri State by one and beat up on William & Mary on Saturday, 88-77. Jayvon Graves led the Bulls with 24 points, while Davonta Jordan added 18 points and seven steals. The Bulls forced 18 turnovers and had 15 steals from their pressure defense. They also shot 54.8% from the field and 10-of-23 (43.5%) from beyond the arc. The Tribe shot 50% from the field and Buffalo shot just 10-of-20 from the line.

Free throw shooting could come back to haunt the Bulls down the line (60.6%) but they certainly like a fast pace (81ppg). On defense, they are allowing 74.1 points per game and teams are shooting 44.6% (32.3% 3pt) against them. Graves leads the Bulls with 17.7 points per game, while Jordan leads with 5.4 assists per contest.

Vandy goes cold

Vanderbilt had won three straight games over mediocre competition (Austin Peay, SC State, SE Louisiana), before facing Tulsa at home on Saturday. The Commodores fell to the Golden Hurricane, 67-58 as they shot just 35.7% from the floor and turned the ball over 15 times. Vandy made just 8-of-24 (33.3%) from beyond the arc and 10-of-16 from the line, while Tulsa hit most of their free throws (16-20) and 45.1% of their shots.

“They just slowed the pace down,” Aaron Nesmith said after the game. “We couldn’t play with our speed and we’ve just got to do a better job of executing our offense all the way through.”

Nesmith (6-6, 215) had 26 points on 8-of-20 shooting (5-8 3pt) and is the nation's leading three-point shooter at 54% (34-63). He's averaging 23.7 points per game and 5.1 rebounds. Scotty Pippen Jr. added 12 points and four assists. He's averaging 11.7 points and 4.4 assists per contest. The 'Dores are shooting 39.7% from the three-point line and 49% overall, while averaging 81.3 points per game. They are allowing 70.4 points on 43.1% shooting (33.3% 3pt).

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

This is going to be a very fast-pace game. The problem for Buffalo? This is their first true road game and they are playing one of the more unusual gyms in the country in the Memorial Gymnasium, where the benches are situated on the baseline and the court is raised. It's tough to get used to playing there and I expect the Bulls to struggle from the field. Buffalo is not the best defensive team so Nesmith will get plenty of good looks.

Prediction: Vanderbilt -2

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Buffalo is all about pace, even with a new coach, since he was on the previous staff. Vanderbilt loves to run, so there's no doubt that this game could be in the 80's if not higher. Throw in the fact that the Commodores have some outstanding three-point shooters, and this will be the epitome of an NBA game of the early eighties if not today.

Prediction: Over

Half-Time Side Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

This is a pretty good Buffalo team, but they are not as strong as last year's club. This is a tough place to play and it could take them a half to get adjust to the gym.

Prediction: Vanderbilt -2 first half
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Written By Benjamin Hayes

Ben has been a sports writer for over 30 years, dabbling in college and pro basketball, college and pro football, baseball, college lacrosse, minor league baseball and even college gymnastics. He's also been involved in the gaming industry for over 25 years and has been looking to beat the books since he was 13!