Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#767 ODU -2 vs.
#768 William & Mary 135.5
Tuesday, December 3, 2019 at 7:00pm EST
Written by Benjamin Hayes

Stats

Back

Teams
Logo
W/L
ATS
O/U
PPG
OPPG
#767 Old Dominion University
#768 College of William & Mary
3-5
5-3
14-21
11-17-1
13-22
14-15
65
74
60
76

More

This article covers a past game!

View upcoming games.

ODU takes on William & Mary in a Virginia rivalry on Tuesday night. ODU is now in Conference USA, but was formerly in the CAA. where the Tribe resides. Last season, the Monarchs knocked off the Tribe, 71-53 at home.

ODU is in a slump

Head coach Jeff Jones won the 500th game of his career after his Monarchs defeated Northeastern, 76-69 on Nov. 16. But since then, Old Dominion has dropped four straight games over James Madison (80-78), George Mason (60-63), Washington State (66-50) and Loyola-Chicago (68-61). In the last four games, the Monarchs have averaged just 60.5 points per game. Offense was an issue against Loyola-Chicago in the seventh-place game of the Cayman Islands Classic on Nov. 27. Malik Curry led the Monarchs with 21 points and shot 10-of-16 from the floor, while Jon Reece added 10 points and six boards off the bench.

ODU shot 47.2% from the floor, but made just 4 of 16 from beyond the arc. On the season, the Monarchs are averaging just 64.4 points per game (305th) on 40.5% shooting from the field (301) and 31.9% from beyond the arc (226). They are also struggling from the free throw line (60.9%), but they are outrebounding their opponents by 5.3 per game.

Defense is Jones' and ODU's calling card. They are giving up 65.4 points per game on 40.8% shooting from the field and 35.1% from beyond the arc (265th). Xavier Green leads the Monarch with 15.8 points per game on 39.5% shooting and adds 5.1 rebounds.

Size matters

William & Mary has gone from being a finesse team to just beating people up under new coach Dane Fischer. His squad has understandably struggled with a transition of a new head guy replacing long-time coach Tony Shaver. The Tribe started the season off well, winning their first four games of the season (High Point, American, Wofford, Hampton) and then fell to Oklahoma (75-70), Stanford (81-50), before beating Morehead State on Nov. 26 (95-84).

On Saturday, the Tribe fell at Buffalo, 88-77. Defensively, William & Mary struggled, allowing the Bulls to shoot 54.8% from the field and 10-of-23 from beyond the arc (43.5%). William & Mary also turned the ball over 18 times, despite shooting 50% from the field. Nathan Knight (6-10, 245) led the Tribe with 30 points and 10 boards, while Luke Loewe added 16 points.

With so many players leaving or graduating after Shaver left, Fischer had to add a bunch of transfers. One of them is 7-1 Andy Van Vliet from Wisconsin, though he was a Shaver transfer, having sat out last season. Van Vliet is averaging 14.3 points and 9.1 rebounds (15-38 3pt) to give the Tribe one of the tallest tandems in mid-major basketball. Knight is the team's star, averaging 21.1 points and 10.2 rebounds with 1.5 blocks.

Defensively, they do need work as they are allowing 74.8 points per game and 44% from the field. The offense though is typical William & Mary as they shoot 49.4% from the field (26th) and 39.8% (25th) from beyond the arc.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I like the Tribe in this one. They've covered in seven of the last eight meetings and four straight at home against ODU. They have an advantage up front with the size of Knight and Van Vliet, who are both over 6-10. At home, William & Mary is shooting a blistering 57.3% from the field and a remarkable 49% from beyond the arc. This is the right time to take on the Monarchs, who are in a major slump. William & Mary also lost to some tough teams so this team could be a possible contender in the CAA.

Prediction: William & Mary -3.5

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

ODU is having issues with scoring, but they are facing a team that wants to push the ball. The Tribe also has their own problems on defense. But their offense has so many good shooters led by Knight and a 7-1 Van Vliet that can make three-pointers with efficiency. I don't ODU wins, but I do think they shoot over 45% from the field. The Tribe are 36-16 Over their last 52 home games.

Prediction: Over 134.5

Half-Time Side Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

It's surprising that ODU is a first half favorite. This is a team that is in a major slump and W&M would love to take advantage of a former CAA rival, that they still play once a year. The combination of the two bigs and the strong perimeter shooting will be too much for the Monarchs to handle.

Prediction: William & Mary +1 first half

Half-Time Total Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

ODU won't cover but they will control the pace for the most part in the first half. They still play tough defense but their shooting is not good enough to keep up with the Tribe. That's why they need to slow it down.

Prediction: Under 61.5
Loading...

Written By Benjamin Hayes

Ben has been a sports writer for over 30 years, dabbling in college and pro basketball, college and pro football, baseball, college lacrosse, minor league baseball and even college gymnastics. He's also been involved in the gaming industry for over 25 years and has been looking to beat the books since he was 13!