Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#621 Duke -6.5 vs.
#622 Virginia Tech 140.5
Friday, December 6, 2019 at 7:00pm EST
Written by Adam Rauzino

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#621 Duke University
#622 Virginia Tech
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The #9 Duke Blue Devils will head on the road to clash with the Virginia Tech Hokies in an ACC tilt Friday night from the Cassell Coliseum. The Blue Devils registered a big 87-75 road win against Michigan State on Tuesday night, and the Hokies lost 90-77 to BYU in their previous action. Virginia Tech defeated Duke in the first meeting last season, and Duke replied with a win against the Hokies in the NCAA Tournament.

#9 Duke Rebounds with Convincing Win Against #3 Michigan State

The Duke Blue Devils made a statement in Tuesday’s big 87-75 win against #11 Michigan State on Tuesday night. They wanted to prove themselves as a top team after their stunning 85-83 overtime home loss to Stephen F. Austin and they did just that. Duke has also defeated a ranked Kansas team along with a win against Georgia earlier this season.

Look out for Vernon Carey Jr. in this one. The talented freshman center continues to dominate, collecting seven double-doubles on the season, and he has reached 20 points in five out of his last six games. Carey Jr. has compiled an average of 19.2 PPG and 9.7 RPG. Carey Jr. is a top prospect for this year’s NBA draft.

Tre Jones is also putting up big numbers, averaging 15.7 points along with a team-best 7.4 assists per game. The sophomore guard scored 20 points along with 12 assists in the win against Michigan State on Tuesday. Cassius Stanley is another skilled young player capable of big points. The freshman guard tallied 21 points against Georgetown earlier this month and is posting 12.9 PPG. Unfortunately, he sustained a hamstring injury and is not expected to play in this one.

The Blue Devils plummeted from #1 in the country to #9 in the AP Top 25 rankings this past week due to the upset loss, and Ken Pomeroy has them at 3rd in his ratings. Duke features a powerhouse offense that is averaging 84.1 points, good for 12th in the country. They are allowing an average of 65.9 points, positioning them 127th overall.

Hokies Tagged with Second Straight Loss

The Virginia Tech Hokies enter their ACC opener in need of a victory. They opened their season with six consecutive wins and have since lost two straight games. Dayton handed them their first loss and their latest was a rough 90-77 defeat to BYU last week in a matchup that had the Hokies favored by 1.5 points. The Hokies record a big 71-66 upset win against #3 Michigan State last month.

The Hokies are led offensively by Landers Nolley II. The freshman guard has everyone’s attention after his spectacular start. Nolley II is averaging a sizzling 20 points on 47.9% shooting, and he has eclipsed 20 points five times already this season. Nahien Alleyne is another freshman that is playing well, compiling an average of 11.8 points on a 44% mark from the field. Alleyne scored 12 points in last week’s loss to BYU. P.J. Horne features a sizzling 65% field goal efficiency this season. The junior forward ranks third in team scoring with 9.9 PPG.

The Hokies are placed 54th overall in Ken Pomeroy’s college basketball ratings and stand at 4-0 on their home court. Virginia Tech is scoring an average of 76.3 points on the season, ranking them 99th in D1. They are holding opponents to 65.1 points, positioning them 110th in the country.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I am taking the points with Virginia Tech in this clash. Virginia Tech usually seems to play Duke very tough. The Hokies defeated Duke in the regular season last year and only lost by two points to Duke in the NCAA Tournament. While they have several different players on this year’s squad they are having no issues scoring points. I believe the Hokies' three-point shooting will keep them in this game. They rank third in the entire country with a dazzling 43% efficiency from three-point territory on the season.

Furthermore, while Duke is the better team they will give up points due to their quick pace. They have squandered an average of 76 points in their last four games overall.

Prediction: Virginia Tech Hokies

Full-Game Total Pick

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This game should feature a ton of offense. The Blue Devils continue to receive high totals and the total continues to cash. They have scored at least 83 points in four out of their last five games overall, and the Hokies defense has been an area of concern recently. They squandered 90 points at BYU in their previous tilt. The over is 5-0 in Duke’s last five games overall.

In addition, the Hokies feature a terrific  47.8% team field goal efficiency and they attempt a ton of three’s as they rank 19th in the country with 28.1 three-point attempts per game which I expect to translate to points. The over is 3-0-1 in the Hokies’ last four games overall.

Prediction: Over

Full-Game Prop Bet

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The over on the Virginia Tech team total offered on PointsBet is a strong prop bet. Duke’s defense is still a work in progress. Georgetown was able to shoot 51% against them and Stephen F. Austin posted a 49% clip in their win against Duke. The Hokies’ top four scorers all feature a three-point percentage above 43%,  and they should make a big impact from an offensive standpoint in this one.

Prediction: Virginia Tech Team Total Over

Half-Time Total Bet

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I am staying with the over on the halftime total. Duke is placed eighth in the country with an average of 41.4 points in the first half and they have posted a remarkable 44 points in the first half over their last three games. Moreover, the Hokies are averaging a solid 38.8 points in the first half on their home court.

Prediction: Over
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Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.