Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#631 USC 137 vs.
#632 TCU -4
Friday, December 6, 2019 at 9:00pm EST
Written by Blake V.

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#631 University of Southern California
#632 Texas Christian University
7-2
6-1
15-18
18-19
16-17
19-17-1
76
73
73
69

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The Pac-12 will meet the Big-12 in a marquee non-conference matchup between USC and TCU on Friday night at Dickies Arena in Fort Worth. USC comes into this game with a 7-2 record, having beat Harvard by 15 points last weekend in the Trojans’ most recent contest. The Horned Frogs are 6-1 this season, coming into Friday night’s game fresh off an 81-69 win against Illinois State on Tuesday.

USC hoping to pick up big road win

USC opened the season with five wins in a row. The Trojans picked up victories against Florida A&M, Portland, South Dakota State, Nevada and Pepperdine to open the year. They have gone 2-2 since then, losing games to Temple and Marquette, while beating Fairfield and Harvard. In Sunday’s win against Harvard, USC picked up a third-place finish at the Orlando Invitational. The Trojans held a 25-point lead with nine minutes left in the game.

Freshman forward Onyeka Okongwu has not disappointed in the early stages of his first season on campus, leading the team with 17.9 points per game and 9.0 rebounds per game. He is not a threat from the perimeter, missing all three of his attempts from long range. Senior forward Nick Rakocevic is scoring 12.1 points per game and grabbing 8.1 rebounds per outing. Senior guard Jonah Mathews is the other Trojan averaging double digits, as he is scoring 10.9 points per game. He leads the team in made 3-pointers, converting on 17 of 51 attempts. Freshman forward Isaiah Mobley is scoring 9.1 points per game and freshman guard Ethan Anderson leads the team with 4.9 assists per contest.

TCU looking to win third game in a row

TCU also got off to a quick start this season, winning each of its first four games. The Horned Frogs beat Southwestern, Louisiana, Air Force and UC Irvine to get to 4-0 on the year. Their lone loss came in a 62-60 road loss against Clemson in overtime. TCU led by 15 points, but could not hold onto the lead. The Horned Frogs have bounced back with a pair of wins against Wyoming and Illinois State to improve to 6-1 this season.

Senior guard Desmond Bane leads the team with 18.7 points per game and 7.6 rebounds per game. He is the best outside shooter on the team, making 21 of 47 attempts from beyond the arc. Sophomore guard RJ Nembhard has scored 12.8 points per game, but is only 9 of 31 from downtown. Sophomore center Kevin Samuel is scoring 11.4 points and leading the team with 8.4 rebounds per contest. Free throws have not come easily for the big man, as he is 6 of 21 from the charity stripe this season. Senior guard Jaire Grayer is scoring 9.7 points per game and is adding 5.1 rebounds per contest.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

TCU is a bad matchup for this USC team. The Trojans are a very athletic squad, but they struggle against teams with really good guard play. TCU has several really good guards that should have no problem scoring the rock against USC. The Trojans have struggled to cover the spread on the road, failing to cover in 14 of their last 17 games as a road underdog. I like TCU’s guard play to show up and take control of this game within their home confines, which will limit what USC can do with its athleticism.

Prediction: TCU -5.5

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

USC is going to look to push the ball in transition much more than TCU is going to. The Trojans rank No. 44 in KenPom’s adjusted tempo rankings, while TCU is all the way at No. 234. Since TCU is the one that I expect to win the style battle, I like this game to go under the total. This number would be set much lower than 136 if USC was not going to be pushing the ball, but the Horned Frogs’ defense will offset much of that damage. I like TCU to pick up the win and keep this game under the number.

Prediction: Under 136
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Written By Blake V.

Blake is a lifelong sports fan and hoops junkie. Prior to joining our team at Winners & Whiners and StatSalt, Blake worked for several newspapers and websites. He enjoys combining his beat writing expertise with the knack for finding the winning edge in a matchup. Remember, it’s a marathon, not a sprint.