Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#731 Boston College 133 vs.
#732 Notre Dame -12.5
Saturday, December 7, 2019 at 2:00pm EST
Written by Chris Kubala

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#731 Boston College
#732 University of Notre Dame
4-5
6-2
15-16
13-20
16-15
13-20
70
68
72
68

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It’s a battle of ACC teams on the hardwood in the Hoosier State in the shadow of the Golden Dome. The Boston College Eagles are on the road as they travel to face the Notre Dame Fighting Irish Saturday afternoon. Boston College took an 82-64 defeat to Northwestern at home in their matchup in the ACC/Big Ten Challenge Wednesday night. Notre Dame was crunched 72-51 by #3 Maryland on the road in their ACC/Big Ten Challenge contest Wednesday night. The Fighting Irish leads the all-time series 23-10 between the teams and have won the last 13 matchups. That includes a 79-73 road win in the most recent matchup on February 2, 2019.

Boston College Eagles Looking to Get Back on Track

Boston College suffered a fourth straight defeat as they were upended at home by Northwestern in their last game. The Eagles hope to get back on track here as they try to improve to 2-0 in conference play. Boston College led by one with nine minutes to play in the first half before giving up a 16-0 run over the next six minutes to trail 35-20. The Eagles failed to get closer than 10 the rest of the way. Boston College shot 44.8 percent from the field, including eight of 27 from three-point range, while losing the rebounding battle 38-21. The Eagles also allowed Northwestern to shoot 58.2 percent from the field in the contest. Jairus Hamilton led Boston College with 12 points in the loss.

The Eagles come into this contest 317th in scoring offense with an average of 66.2 points per game. Boston College is 336th in rebounding by pulling down 33.6 rebounds per game while ranking 204th by dishing out 13.3 assists per contest. The Eagles are 168th in scoring defense as they limit the opposition to 68.1 points per game. Derryck Thornton contributes 14.8 points and 4.1 assists per contest to lead the team this season. Nik Popovic chips in 11.8 points plus 5.9 rebounds per game while Jay Heath chips in 12.5 points a night. Jared Hamilton, CJ Felder, Steffon Mitchell and Julian Rishwain are important pieces for Boston College as far as logging double-digit minutes a night goes. Boston College shoots 41.3 percent from the field as a team on the year. The Eagles are knocking down seven triples a night while shooting 31.8 percent from beyond the arc. Boston College has been mediocre at the free throw line, sinking 67.7 percent of their attempts.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish Seeking to Bounce Back

Notre Dame had won six straight before getting walloped by #3 Maryland in their contest in the ACC/Big Ten Challenge. The Fighting Irish’s two losses this season have come to top-10 teams so they have a good shot at evening their conference mark here. Notre Dame led 9-4 less than five minutes into the game before getting outscored 28-11 the rest of the first half. The Fighting Irish didn’t get closer than 11 in the second half of the game. Notre Dame shot only 29 percent from the field, including seven of 25 from three-point range, and lost the rebounding battle 48-39. John Mooney led the Fighting Irish with 17 points and 12 rebounds in the loss.

The Fighting Irish stands tied for 181st in the nation in scoring offense as they average 72.4 points per game. Notre Dame is 36th with 41.6 rebounds per contest while the team is tied for 40th by dishing out 16.4 assists a night. The Fighting Irish stands 63rd in scoring defense as they allow 62.5 points per game this year. Prentiss Hubb, who puts up 10.3 points plus 4.3 assists per game on the year, is third on the team in scoring. John Mooney chips in a team-high 14.7 points plus 12.9 rebounds per contest, TJ Gibbs adds 10.5 points plus 3.3 assists a night while Dane Goodwin puts up 10.3 points a night. Juwan Durham, Nate Laszewski and Rex Pfleuger are key rotation pieces for the Fighting Irish. Notre Dame shoots 40.2 percent from the field as a team on the year. The Fighting Irish connects on eight three-pointers a night while shooting 31.2 percent from beyond the arc. Notre Dame is mediocre at the charity stripe, cashing in 68.5 percent of their chances this season. Robby Carmody suffered an ACL injury against Maryland and is expected to miss the rest of the year.

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Boston College suffered their fourth straight loss and they haven’t been close for the most part. The Eagles have lost by five to DePaul, by 10 to Saint Louis, by 20 to Richmond and by 18 to Northwestern in this slide. Only the Richmond game was a road tilt, meaning they’ve struggled on their own floor this season. Notre Dame has been tough this season with their two defeats coming to #6 North Carolina and #3 Maryland. Both those contests were on the road but this one is in South Bend. With Boston College struggling and on the road here, you have to give the upper hand to Notre Dame as they get back in the win column.

Prediction: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -13.5

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Boston College has really struggled on the offensive end of the floor of late and their inability to come up with buckets has been an issue. The Eagles have scored under 65 points four times already this season, which is cause for concern with conference play looming. Notre Dame has been solid offensively this season though they were shut down by Maryland. The Eagles have been decent on the defensive end but the big question remains. Can Boston College come up with a way to earn a win in this one?

The under is 9-1-1 in the Eagles' last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, 8-1 in their last 9 games following a double-digit loss at home and 9-2 in their last 11 games following an ATS loss. Notre Dame has seen the under go 8-1 in their last 9 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points and 20-6 in their last 26 overall. Notre Dame clamps down on Boston College's already struggling offense, which keeps this one under the total.

Prediction: Under 132.5

Half-Time Side Pick

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Notre Dame is a tough team at home and they're facing a cold Boston College team. The Fighting Irish own a +7 ppg scoring differential in the opening half of games this season. Boston College has a +3.4 ppg scoring differential in the first half of their games this season, showing they've had second-half issues. The Eagles tend to turn the ball over a lot as they've committed 15.2 turnovers per game. Notre Dame should take advantage of Boston College to have the lead at the half.

Prediction: Notre Dame Fighting Irish

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Boston College is tied for 142nd in scoring offense in the opening half of games this season. The Eagles are tied for 103rd in scoring defense in the first half of games on the year. For the season, Boston College's first halves of games average 64 points per contest. Notre Dame stands tied for 119th in scoring offense in the first half this season with 34.5 ppg so far. The Fighting Irish is tied for 29th in scoring defense in the first half on the year by allowing 27.5 points per game. The average first half for Notre Dame has 62 points per game. This one falls short of the mark.

Prediction: Under
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.