Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#659 Charlotte -4 vs.
#660 UNCW 128.5
Saturday, December 7, 2019 at 2:00pm EST
Written by Blake V.

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#659 University of North Carolina at Charlotte
#660 University of North Carolina at Wilmington
3-4
5-5
13-15-1
15-16-1
15-14
19-13
61
76
68
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Charlotte and UNC Wilmington will both look to get off the schneid when the two teams match-up on Saturday afternoon at Raiford G. Trask Coliseum in Wilmington. The 49ers enter Saturday’s game coming off an 83-75 loss to UNC Asheville. The Seahawks are on a two-game losing skid, falling to Boise State and Stanford in consecutive road games. These teams have not played each other in 50 years.

Charlotte seeking road win

Charlotte has had an up-and-down start to the season, failing to find consistent performances. The 49ers opened the year with a five-point road loss against James Madison. Their best two outings of the season were their next two games, picking up wins against Davidson and Wake Forest. They dropped their following two games, losing to Appalachian State and Georgia State on the road. After beating South Carolina Upstate last weekend, Charlotte lost to UNC Asheville on Tuesday.

The 49ers are led by junior guard Jordan Shepherd, who is scoring 14.7 points per game and dishing out 4.1 assists per game. He is also adding 3.6 rebounds per game and is 24 of 28 from the charity stripe. Senior guard Drew Edwards is scoring 11.4 points per game and is 9 of 26 from the 3-point line. Freshman guard Jahmir Young is adding 10.6 points per contest and 5.6 rebounds per outing. He is 10 of 29 from downtown. The most efficient 3-point shooter on the squad is sophomore guard Malik Martin, who is 7 of 17 from distance.

UNC Wilmington in need of home victory

UNC Wilmington has also had trouble stringing wins together this season. The Seahawks opened the year with a 20-point win against Johnson & Wales. They lost by 16 points to No. 9 North Carolina in their next outing, before bouncing back with an overtime win against Campbell. UNC Wilmington fell to Davidson in its worst performance of the season—losing by 38 points. The Seahawks won three of their next four games, picking up victories against North Carolina-Wesleyan, FIU and Emory & Henry. Losses to Cleveland State, Boise State and Stanford have been sprinkled in as well.

The Seahawks only have one player scoring in double figures offensively—sophomore guard Jaylen Sims. He is scoring 15.1 points per game and is also leading the team in rebounds per game with 5.5. Sims is electric from the 3-point line, converting on 28 of 59 attempts. Sophomore forward Marten Linssen is scoring 9.5 points per outing and is 27 of 31 from the free throw line. Freshman guard Shykeim Phillips is making an immediate impact, adding 9.0 points per contest.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Charlotte is the better team in this match-up. The 49ers have been dealt a difficult schedule this year, but they have picked up several quality wins along the way. UNC Wilmington is in the top 100 of KenPom’s luckiest teams, while Charlotte is No. 348 in luck. The market generally fails to adjust for things such as luck, which makes the 49ers the value play in this game. I like the 49ers defensive approach—something that is very important in a road game. Charlotte should take care of business and come away with a win.

Prediction: Charlotte -1.5

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I think this game will go under the total. Charlotte prides itself on the defensive end of the court, while UNC Wilmington is not good offensively or defensively. Both teams will look to slow it down and keep the game in the half court, as the Seahawks are No. 251 in adjusted tempo and the 49ers are No. 278, according to KenPom. UNC Wilmington is one-dimensional on offense, which will allow Charlotte to key-in on Jaylen Sims and limit what he can bring to the table. I like this low-scoring game to be an offensive struggle and to go under the total.

Prediction: Under 130
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Written By Blake V.

Blake is a lifelong sports fan and hoops junkie. Prior to joining our team at Winners & Whiners and StatSalt, Blake worked for several newspapers and websites. He enjoys combining his beat writing expertise with the knack for finding the winning edge in a matchup. Remember, it’s a marathon, not a sprint.